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Predictions for August 25, 2026
18 games across 2 sports
Free sports predictions for August 25, 2026: 18 games across MLB and WNBA. Win probabilities come from MechaPip's calibrated Glicko-2 and LightGBM models.
Highest-confidence forecasts
- WNBA Portland Fire @ Dallas Wings — Wings 73% · 7:00 PM CT
- WNBA Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury — Mercury 56% · 9:00 PM CT
- WNBA Chicago Sky @ Connecticut Sun — Sun 56% · 6:00 PM CT
- MLB Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals — Nationals 55% · 5:45 PM CT
- MLB Houston Astros @ New York Yankees — Yankees 55% · 6:05 PM CT
MLB (15 games)
| Matchup | Forecast | Win% | Ratings | Top Away Players | Top Home Players | MechaPicks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins  5:40 PM CT |
Marlins |
51%
LEAN 49% / 51% |
W. Contreras 26 HR / 78 RBI / 0.280 AVG W. Abreu 22 HR / 69 RBI / 0.256 AVG C. Mead 17 HR / 48 RBI / 0.253 AVG |
H. Hernández 19 HR / 53 RBI / 0.232 AVG K. Stowers 16 HR / 52 RBI / 0.242 AVG G. Conine 14 HR / 31 RBI / 0.261 AVG |
||
 Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers  5:40 PM CT |
Tigers |
51%
LEAN 49% / 51% |
J. Caminero 35 HR / 84 RBI / 0.277 AVG Y. Díaz 19 HR / 72 RBI / 0.305 AVG L. Hicks 17 HR / 72 RBI / 0.284 AVG |
D. Dingler 26 HR / 82 RBI / 0.253 AVG S. Torkelson 20 HR / 63 RBI / 0.221 AVG R. Greene 16 HR / 54 RBI / 0.273 AVG |
||
 Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals  5:45 PM CT |
Nationals |
55%
LEAN 45% / 55% |
H. Goodman 34 HR / 69 RBI / 0.251 AVG M. Moniak 21 HR / 60 RBI / 0.260 AVG W. Castro 15 HR / 54 RBI / 0.264 AVG |
J. Wood 30 HR / 73 RBI / 0.265 AVG C. Abrams 29 HR / 92 RBI / 0.278 AVG D. Lile 16 HR / 71 RBI / 0.246 AVG |
||
 Houston Astros @ New York Yankees  6:05 PM CT |
Yankees |
55%
LEAN 45% / 55% |
Y. Alvarez 36 HR / 90 RBI / 0.320 AVG C. Walker 23 HR / 72 RBI / 0.233 AVG I. Paredes 17 HR / 71 RBI / 0.260 AVG |
B. Rice 34 HR / 82 RBI / 0.249 AVG L. García Jr. 26 HR / 82 RBI / 0.277 AVG T. Grisham 18 HR / 56 RBI / 0.221 AVG |
||
 Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays  6:07 PM CT |
Jays |
55%
LEAN 45% / 55% |
J. Caglianone 22 HR / 60 RBI / 0.276 AVG S. Perez 17 HR / 58 RBI / 0.222 AVG C. Jensen 17 HR / 57 RBI / 0.219 AVG |
K. Okamoto 26 HR / 74 RBI / 0.230 AVG G. Springer 12 HR / 41 RBI / 0.240 AVG E. Clement 9 HR / 43 RBI / 0.284 AVG |
||
 Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets  6:10 PM CT |
Brewers |
50%
LEAN 50% / 50% |
J. Bauers 23 HR / 75 RBI / 0.273 AVG J. Chourio 17 HR / 50 RBI / 0.280 AVG B. Turang 16 HR / 75 RBI / 0.259 AVG |
J. Soto 21 HR / 52 RBI / 0.283 AVG C. Benge 16 HR / 53 RBI / 0.278 AVG B. Bichette 14 HR / 66 RBI / 0.266 AVG |
||
 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves  6:15 PM CT |
Braves |
52%
LEAN 48% / 52% |
S. Ohtani 30 HR / 80 RBI / 0.288 AVG M. Muncy 26 HR / 67 RBI / 0.256 AVG A. Pages 21 HR / 80 RBI / 0.272 AVG |
M. Olson 36 HR / 77 RBI / 0.258 AVG M. Harris II 21 HR / 71 RBI / 0.294 AVG D. Baldwin 21 HR / 63 RBI / 0.268 AVG |
||
 Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox  6:40 PM CT |
Sox |
53%
LEAN 47% / 53% |
J. Burger 22 HR / 75 RBI / 0.236 AVG J. Pederson 22 HR / 46 RBI / 0.234 AVG W. Langford 15 HR / 36 RBI / 0.253 AVG |
M. Vargas 29 HR / 74 RBI / 0.246 AVG M. Murakami 29 HR / 58 RBI / 0.223 AVG C. Montgomery 27 HR / 72 RBI / 0.211 AVG |
||
 Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals  6:45 PM CT |
Cardinals |
53%
LEAN 47% / 53% |
P. Alonso 30 HR / 85 RBI / 0.270 AVG G. Henderson 20 HR / 51 RBI / 0.220 AVG S. Basallo 17 HR / 48 RBI / 0.236 AVG |
J. Walker 27 HR / 96 RBI / 0.289 AVG A. Burleson 21 HR / 96 RBI / 0.291 AVG J. Wetherholt 17 HR / 48 RBI / 0.244 AVG |
||
 Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels  8:38 PM CT |
Angels |
50%
LEAN 50% / 50% |
J. Adell 20 HR / 80 RBI / 0.242 AVG N. Lowe 14 HR / 48 RBI / 0.262 AVG C. DeLauter 13 HR / 59 RBI / 0.288 AVG |
Z. Neto 22 HR / 62 RBI / 0.237 AVG M. Trout 20 HR / 46 RBI / 0.240 AVG J. Soler 12 HR / 49 RBI / 0.203 AVG |
||
 Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks  8:40 PM CT |
Diamondbacks |
52%
LEAN 48% / 52% |
P. Crow-Armstrong 33 HR / 83 RBI / 0.278 AVG S. Suzuki 22 HR / 75 RBI / 0.269 AVG I. Happ 22 HR / 58 RBI / 0.220 AVG |
K. Marte 21 HR / 67 RBI / 0.249 AVG N. Arenado 21 HR / 65 RBI / 0.239 AVG C. Carroll 18 HR / 58 RBI / 0.251 AVG |
||
 Minnesota Twins @ Athletics  8:40 PM CT |
Athletics |
51%
LEAN 49% / 51% |
B. Buxton 25 HR / 46 RBI / 0.256 AVG K. Clemens 21 HR / 66 RBI / 0.239 AVG B. Lee 20 HR / 69 RBI / 0.247 AVG |
S. Langeliers 23 HR / 51 RBI / 0.263 AVG N. Kurtz 21 HR / 69 RBI / 0.256 AVG T. Soderstrom 19 HR / 56 RBI / 0.245 AVG |
||
 Philadelphia Phillies @ Seattle Mariners  8:40 PM CT |
Mariners |
51%
LEAN 49% / 51% |
K. Schwarber 39 HR / 78 RBI / 0.243 AVG B. Harper 26 HR / 75 RBI / 0.262 AVG B. Marsh 17 HR / 55 RBI / 0.274 AVG |
R. Arozarena 20 HR / 58 RBI / 0.274 AVG J. Rodríguez 20 HR / 56 RBI / 0.249 AVG D. Canzone 19 HR / 56 RBI / 0.256 AVG |
||
 Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres  8:40 PM CT |
Padres |
55%
LEAN 45% / 55% |
B. Lowe 27 HR / 80 RBI / 0.252 AVG R. O'Hearn 17 HR / 69 RBI / 0.270 AVG O. Cruz 16 HR / 51 RBI / 0.259 AVG |
M. Machado 24 HR / 72 RBI / 0.215 AVG J. Merrill 21 HR / 66 RBI / 0.238 AVG T. France 18 HR / 56 RBI / 0.289 AVG |
||
 Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants  8:45 PM CT |
Giants |
52%
LEAN 48% / 52% |
S. Stewart 27 HR / 98 RBI / 0.263 AVG E. De La Cruz 21 HR / 58 RBI / 0.262 AVG J. Bleday 21 HR / 51 RBI / 0.220 AVG |
R. Devers 27 HR / 73 RBI / 0.243 AVG C. Schmitt 21 HR / 55 RBI / 0.271 AVG W. Adames 21 HR / 51 RBI / 0.230 AVG |
WNBA (3 games)
| Matchup | Forecast | Win% | Ratings | Top Away Players | Top Home Players | MechaPicks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chicago Sky @ Connecticut Sun  6:00 PM CT |
Sun |
56%
LEAN 44% / 56% |
R. Jackson 18.0 PTS / 2.0 AST / 4.8 REB K. Cardoso 14.8 PTS / 2.5 AST / 8.8 REB S. Taylor 14.5 PTS / 1.7 AST / 1.6 REB |
B. Griner 13.2 PTS / 2.5 AST / 5.8 REB L. Lacan 11.6 PTS / 4.6 AST / 1.9 REB O. Nelson-Ododa 10.0 PTS / 1.6 AST / 5.9 REB |
||
 Portland Fire @ Dallas Wings  7:00 PM CT |
Wings |
73%
STRONG 27% / 73% |
C. Leite 15.5 PTS / 6.2 AST / 2.2 REB B. Carleton 14.6 PTS / 2.1 AST / 4.5 REB M. DiLeo 13.0 PTS / 1.0 AST / 4.3 REB |
P. Bueckers 20.3 PTS / 5.8 AST / 4.1 REB A. Ogunbowale 15.3 PTS / 3.1 AST / 3.1 REB J. Shepard 14.3 PTS / 5.0 AST / 11.1 REB |
||
 Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury  9:00 PM CT |
Mercury |
56%
LEAN 44% / 56% |
S. Citron 16.9 PTS / 4.1 AST / 3.8 REB S. Austin 16.6 PTS / 2.6 AST / 9.5 REB K. Iriafen 15.1 PTS / 1.6 AST / 9.3 REB |
K. Plum 22.3 PTS / 5.6 AST / 2.2 REB K. Copper 21.0 PTS / 1.9 AST / 3.5 REB A. Thomas 14.8 PTS / 8.3 AST / 7.7 REB |
Injury listings (12)
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky |
Rickea Jackson | Out | The Sky announced Tuesday that Jackson will miss the remainder of the season after suffering a torn ACL in her left knee during Sunday's 86-79 win over the Lynx. |
| Chicago Sky |
Skylar Diggins | Out | Diggins (knee) is out for Monday's game against the Storm. |
| Connecticut Sun |
Brittney Griner | Out | Griner (knee) is questionable for Tuesday's game against the Sky. |
| Connecticut Sun |
Leila Lacan | Out | The Sun announced Sunday that Lacan will join Team France for the FIBA World Cup and miss the Sun's next four games. |
| Dallas Wings |
Aziaha James | Out | James (leg) is not with the team and is without a timetable for a return to game action, Christan Braswell of Off The Record WBB reports. |
| Dallas Wings |
Azzi Fudd | Out | Fudd will undergo an arthroscopic procedure to address her right knee soreness and will be sidelined for the remainder of the 2026 season. |
| Dallas Wings |
Costanza Verona | Out | Verona's contract was temporarily suspended by the Wings Saturday. |
 Phoenix Mercury |
Jovana Nogic | Out | Nogic (not injury related) intends to play professionally in Russia and won't return to Phoenix this season, Aya Abdeen of TheIXSports.com reports. |
| Phoenix Mercury |
Marta Suarez | Out | Suarez (concussion protocol) is listed as out for Tuesday's game versus Washington. |
 Portland Fire |
Luisa Geiselsoder | Out | Geiselsoder (personal) won't return this season, according to Sean Highkin of RoseGardenReport.com. |
| Portland Fire |
Sania Feagin | Out | Feagin (knee) was diagnosed with a torn left ACL on Thursday and will miss the rest of the 2026 campaign, WNBA reporter Kareem Copeland reports. |
| Portland Fire |
Sarah Ashlee Barker | Out | The Fire announced Friday that Barker will undergo surgery to repair a torn ACL and will miss the remainder of the 2026 campaign. |
FAQ
- What does Win% mean?
- Win% is the model's projected chance that the listed favorite wins the game. The second line shows the away and home split.
- How does MechaPip pick a favorite?
- MechaPip blends Glicko-2 team ratings with a LightGBM ensemble, then calibrates the final probabilities. The higher projected side is the forecast.
- What is Elo Edge?
- Elo Edge is the rating-point advantage of the projected winner. The Ratings column shows each team's Glicko rating and that edge.
- What do the confidence tiers mean?
- 70%+ = High-confidence forecast. 60-69% = Moderate-confidence forecast. 50-59% = Slight favorite.
- What do top-player lines show?
- Season stat leaders for each side. Totals vary by sport (points, yards, goals, or batting line).
- What is MechaPicks?
- The MechaPip logo in the MechaPicks column means MechaPip signaled that pick (paper or live). Rows without the logo are model forecasts only.
- What injury statuses are shown?
- Out listings for teams on today's board. Public ESPN injury listings, refreshed throughout the day.
- How does MechaPip use injuries?
- Out and Doubtful listings can adjust team Glicko ratings before a forecast. The blog table shows Out players only.