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MechaPip

MechaPip 🔮 Data-driven sports predictions. Glicko-2 + LightGBM models with Daily picks.




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MechaPip Predictions - 2026-08-23

Predictions for August 23, 2026

20 games across 3 sports

Free sports predictions for August 23, 2026: 20 games across MLB, NFL and WNBA. Win probabilities come from MechaPip's calibrated Glicko-2 and LightGBM models.

Highest-confidence forecasts

  1. NFL Seattle Seahawks @ Tennessee Titans — Seahawks 63% · 7:00 PM CT
  2. WNBA Las Vegas Aces @ Toronto Tempo — Aces 61% · 6:00 PM CT
  3. WNBA Seattle Storm @ Dallas Wings — Wings 59% · 3:00 PM CT
  4. MLB Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers — Dodgers 56% · 3:10 PM CT
  5. MLB San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox — Sox 56% · 2:15 PM CT

MLB (15 games)

MLB board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies
12:35 PM CT
Phillies
54%
LEAN
46% / 54%
AWAY 1501
HOME 1512
+11 edge
J. Walker 27 HR / 96 RBI / 0.289 AVG
A. Burleson 21 HR / 94 RBI / 0.289 AVG
J. Wetherholt 17 HR / 47 RBI / 0.243 AVG
K. Schwarber 38 HR / 76 RBI / 0.245 AVG
B. Harper 26 HR / 75 RBI / 0.257 AVG
B. Marsh 17 HR / 55 RBI / 0.276 AVG
Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles
12:35 PM CT
Orioles
51%
LEAN
49% / 51%
AWAY 1511
HOME 1498
-13 edge
J. Caminero 35 HR / 82 RBI / 0.276 AVG
Y. Díaz 19 HR / 72 RBI / 0.306 AVG
L. Hicks 17 HR / 72 RBI / 0.283 AVG
P. Alonso 30 HR / 85 RBI / 0.273 AVG
G. Henderson 20 HR / 51 RBI / 0.222 AVG
S. Basallo 17 HR / 48 RBI / 0.239 AVG
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
12:35 PM CT
Yankees
55%
LEAN
45% / 55%
AWAY 1501
HOME 1513
+12 edge
K. Okamoto 26 HR / 74 RBI / 0.230 AVG
G. Springer 12 HR / 41 RBI / 0.240 AVG
E. Clement 9 HR / 43 RBI / 0.286 AVG
B. Rice 34 HR / 80 RBI / 0.248 AVG
L. García Jr. 26 HR / 82 RBI / 0.279 AVG
A. Judge 17 HR / 38 RBI / 0.248 AVG
Washington Nationals @ Miami Marlins
12:40 PM CT
Marlins
54%
LEAN
46% / 54%
AWAY 1491
HOME 1498
+7 edge
J. Wood 30 HR / 73 RBI / 0.265 AVG
C. Abrams 29 HR / 91 RBI / 0.279 AVG
D. Lile 15 HR / 66 RBI / 0.242 AVG
H. Hernández 19 HR / 52 RBI / 0.227 AVG
K. Stowers 16 HR / 52 RBI / 0.242 AVG
G. Conine 14 HR / 31 RBI / 0.263 AVG
Athletics @ Houston Astros
1:10 PM CT
Astros
56%
LEAN
44% / 56%
AWAY 1481
HOME 1501
+20 edge
S. Langeliers 23 HR / 51 RBI / 0.263 AVG
N. Kurtz 21 HR / 69 RBI / 0.256 AVG
T. Soderstrom 19 HR / 56 RBI / 0.245 AVG
Y. Alvarez 36 HR / 90 RBI / 0.319 AVG
C. Walker 23 HR / 72 RBI / 0.234 AVG
C. Smith 17 HR / 48 RBI / 0.216 AVG
Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals
1:10 PM CT
Royals
51%
LEAN
49% / 51%
AWAY 1498
HOME 1488
-9 edge
D. Dingler 26 HR / 82 RBI / 0.253 AVG
S. Torkelson 20 HR / 63 RBI / 0.222 AVG
R. Greene 16 HR / 54 RBI / 0.273 AVG
J. Caglianone 22 HR / 60 RBI / 0.276 AVG
S. Perez 17 HR / 57 RBI / 0.220 AVG
C. Jensen 17 HR / 57 RBI / 0.219 AVG
New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox
1:10 PM CT
Sox
53%
LEAN
47% / 53%
AWAY 1495
HOME 1495
+0 edge
J. Soto 21 HR / 52 RBI / 0.283 AVG
C. Benge 16 HR / 53 RBI / 0.276 AVG
B. Bichette 14 HR / 66 RBI / 0.268 AVG
M. Vargas 29 HR / 74 RBI / 0.245 AVG
M. Murakami 29 HR / 58 RBI / 0.225 AVG
C. Montgomery 27 HR / 72 RBI / 0.215 AVG
Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers
1:35 PM CT
Rangers
55%
LEAN
45% / 55%
AWAY 1481
HOME 1498
+18 edge
Z. Neto 21 HR / 61 RBI / 0.235 AVG
M. Trout 20 HR / 46 RBI / 0.239 AVG
J. Soler 12 HR / 49 RBI / 0.203 AVG
J. Pederson 22 HR / 46 RBI / 0.237 AVG
J. Burger 21 HR / 73 RBI / 0.235 AVG
W. Langford 14 HR / 34 RBI / 0.247 AVG
Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies
2:10 PM CT
Guardians
51%
LEAN
51% / 49%
AWAY 1500
HOME 1474
+27 edge
J. Adell 20 HR / 77 RBI / 0.240 AVG
N. Lowe 14 HR / 46 RBI / 0.266 AVG
C. DeLauter 13 HR / 57 RBI / 0.284 AVG
H. Goodman 34 HR / 69 RBI / 0.251 AVG
M. Moniak 21 HR / 60 RBI / 0.264 AVG
W. Castro 14 HR / 53 RBI / 0.264 AVG
San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox
2:15 PM CT
Sox
56%
LEAN
44% / 56%
AWAY 1488
HOME 1510
+22 edge
R. Devers 26 HR / 70 RBI / 0.243 AVG
C. Schmitt 21 HR / 55 RBI / 0.271 AVG
W. Adames 21 HR / 51 RBI / 0.229 AVG
W. Contreras 26 HR / 78 RBI / 0.285 AVG
W. Abreu 22 HR / 69 RBI / 0.258 AVG
C. Mead 17 HR / 48 RBI / 0.253 AVG
Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners
3:10 PM CT
Mariners
51%
LEAN
49% / 51%
AWAY 1514
HOME 1499
-15 edge
P. Crow-Armstrong 32 HR / 80 RBI / 0.279 AVG
S. Suzuki 22 HR / 74 RBI / 0.267 AVG
I. Happ 21 HR / 52 RBI / 0.215 AVG
R. Arozarena 19 HR / 57 RBI / 0.275 AVG
D. Canzone 19 HR / 56 RBI / 0.256 AVG
J. Rodríguez 19 HR / 53 RBI / 0.250 AVG
Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres
3:10 PM CT
Padres
55%
LEAN
45% / 55%
AWAY 1496
HOME 1509
+13 edge
B. Buxton 25 HR / 46 RBI / 0.251 AVG
K. Clemens 21 HR / 64 RBI / 0.239 AVG
B. Lee 19 HR / 68 RBI / 0.247 AVG
M. Machado 24 HR / 72 RBI / 0.216 AVG
J. Merrill 20 HR / 65 RBI / 0.241 AVG
T. France 18 HR / 56 RBI / 0.292 AVG
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers
3:10 PM CT
Dodgers
56%
LEAN
44% / 56%
AWAY 1496
HOME 1520
+24 edge
B. Lowe 27 HR / 80 RBI / 0.254 AVG
R. O'Hearn 17 HR / 69 RBI / 0.270 AVG
O. Cruz 16 HR / 51 RBI / 0.266 AVG
S. Ohtani 30 HR / 80 RBI / 0.289 AVG
M. Muncy 26 HR / 66 RBI / 0.258 AVG
A. Pages 21 HR / 80 RBI / 0.272 AVG
Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks
3:15 PM CT
Diamondbacks
54%
LEAN
46% / 54%
AWAY 1495
HOME 1503
+8 edge
S. Stewart 27 HR / 97 RBI / 0.262 AVG
E. De La Cruz 21 HR / 58 RBI / 0.263 AVG
J. Bleday 21 HR / 51 RBI / 0.224 AVG
K. Marte 21 HR / 67 RBI / 0.249 AVG
N. Arenado 21 HR / 65 RBI / 0.243 AVG
C. Carroll 18 HR / 57 RBI / 0.250 AVG
Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers
6:00 PM CT
Brewers
54%
LEAN
46% / 54%
AWAY 1512
HOME 1522
+10 edge
M. Olson 36 HR / 77 RBI / 0.260 AVG
D. Baldwin 21 HR / 63 RBI / 0.268 AVG
M. Harris II 20 HR / 70 RBI / 0.294 AVG
J. Bauers 23 HR / 74 RBI / 0.273 AVG
J. Chourio 17 HR / 50 RBI / 0.278 AVG
B. Turang 16 HR / 75 RBI / 0.260 AVG

NFL (1 game)

NFL board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
Seattle Seahawks @ Tennessee Titans
7:00 PM CT
Seahawks
63%
MODERATE
63% / 37%
AWAY 1583
HOME 1420
+163 edge
S. Darnold 4143 YDS / 25 TD
J. Smith-Njigba 1829 YDS / 10 TD
K. Walker III 1309 YDS / 5 TD
C. Ward 3328 YDS / 17 TD
T. Pollard 1288 YDS / 5 TD
C. Okonkwo 560 YDS / 2 TD

Injury listings (1)

NFL injury listings
Team Player Status Note
Seattle Seahawks Zach Charbonnet Out Charbonnet (knee) remains on the active/PUP list as the Seahawks' second preseason contest (Sunday, Aug. 23 versus the Titans) approaches.

WNBA (4 games)

WNBA board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
Seattle Storm @ Dallas Wings
3:00 PM CT
Wings
59%
LEAN
41% / 59%
AWAY 1447
HOME 1499
+52 edge
D. Malonga 17.2 PTS / 1.7 AST / 9.0 REB
N. Hiedeman 15.4 PTS / 4.8 AST / 2.7 REB
F. Johnson 13.5 PTS / 3.0 AST / 4.9 REB
P. Bueckers 20.3 PTS / 5.8 AST / 4.1 REB
A. Ogunbowale 15.3 PTS / 3.1 AST / 3.1 REB
J. Shepard 14.3 PTS / 5.0 AST / 11.1 REB
Indiana Fever @ Chicago Sky
6:00 PM CT
Sky
50%
LEAN
50% / 50%
AWAY 1524
HOME 1463
-60 edge
K. Mitchell 24.7 PTS / 2.7 AST / 1.7 REB
C. Clark 21.7 PTS / 8.2 AST / 3.9 REB
A. Boston 17.0 PTS / 3.0 AST / 8.4 REB
R. Jackson 18.0 PTS / 2.0 AST / 4.8 REB
K. Cardoso 14.8 PTS / 2.5 AST / 8.8 REB
S. Taylor 14.5 PTS / 1.7 AST / 1.6 REB
Washington Mystics @ Portland Fire
6:00 PM CT
Mystics
54%
LEAN
54% / 46%
AWAY 1502
HOME 1418
+85 edge
S. Citron 16.9 PTS / 4.1 AST / 3.8 REB
S. Austin 16.6 PTS / 2.6 AST / 9.5 REB
K. Iriafen 15.1 PTS / 1.6 AST / 9.3 REB
C. Leite 15.5 PTS / 6.2 AST / 2.2 REB
B. Carleton 14.6 PTS / 2.1 AST / 4.5 REB
M. DiLeo 13.0 PTS / 1.0 AST / 4.3 REB
Las Vegas Aces @ Toronto Tempo
6:00 PM CT
Aces
61%
MODERATE
61% / 39%
AWAY 1534
HOME 1352
+182 edge
A. Wilson 25.9 PTS / 3.1 AST / 9.5 REB
J. Young 18.7 PTS / 6.6 AST / 4.5 REB
C. Carter 12.2 PTS / 1.3 AST / 1.8 REB
M. Mabrey 20.8 PTS / 3.7 AST / 3.3 REB
B. Sykes 18.6 PTS / 3.4 AST / 3.5 REB
N. Sabally 12.3 PTS / 1.7 AST / 5.3 REB

Injury listings (16)

WNBA injury listings
Team Player Status Note
Chicago Sky Rickea Jackson Out The Sky announced Tuesday that Jackson will miss the remainder of the season after suffering a torn ACL in her left knee during Sunday's 86-79 win over the Lynx.
Chicago Sky Skylar Diggins Out Diggins (knee) is out for Monday's game against the Storm.
Dallas Wings Aziaha James Out James (leg) is not with the team and is without a timetable for a return to game action, Christan Braswell of Off The Record WBB reports.
Dallas Wings Azzi Fudd Out Fudd will undergo an arthroscopic procedure to address her right knee soreness and will be sidelined for the remainder of the 2026 season.
Dallas Wings Costanza Verona Out Verona's contract was temporarily suspended by the Wings Saturday.
Indiana Fever Michelle Onyiah Out Onyiah is out for Saturday's game against the Liberty due to a coach's decision.
Las Vegas Aces Dana Evans Out Evans (leg) is questionable for Sunday's game in Toronto.
Portland Fire Luisa Geiselsoder Out Geiselsoder (personal) won't return this season, according to Sean Highkin of RoseGardenReport.com.
Portland Fire Sania Feagin Out Feagin (knee) was diagnosed with a torn left ACL on Thursday and will miss the rest of the 2026 campaign, WNBA reporter Kareem Copeland reports.
Portland Fire Sarah Ashlee Barker Out The Fire announced Friday that Barker will undergo surgery to repair a torn ACL and will miss the remainder of the 2026 campaign.
Seattle Storm Natisha Hiedeman Out Hiedeman (shoulder) won't play Sunday in Dallas.
Toronto Tempo Aneesah Morrow Out Morrow (knee) is out for Sunday's game against the Aces.
Toronto Tempo Brittney Sykes Out Sykes (foot) is out for Sunday's game against the Aces.
Toronto Tempo Maria Conde Out Conde (calf) is out for Sunday's game against Las Vegas.
Toronto Tempo Marina Mabrey Out Mabrey (adductor) won't play Sunday against the Aces.
Toronto Tempo Nyara Sabally Out Sabally (calf) is in a walking boot and will be re-evaluated in "a few weeks," Chelsea Leite of TSN reports.

FAQ

What does Win% mean?
Win% is the model's projected chance that the listed favorite wins the game. The second line shows the away and home split.
How does MechaPip pick a favorite?
MechaPip blends Glicko-2 team ratings with a LightGBM ensemble, then calibrates the final probabilities. The higher projected side is the forecast.
What is Elo Edge?
Elo Edge is the rating-point advantage of the projected winner. The Ratings column shows each team's Glicko rating and that edge.
What do the confidence tiers mean?
70%+ = High-confidence forecast. 60-69% = Moderate-confidence forecast. 50-59% = Slight favorite.
What do top-player lines show?
Season stat leaders for each side. Totals vary by sport (points, yards, goals, or batting line).
What is MechaPicks?
The MechaPip logo in the MechaPicks column means MechaPip signaled that pick (paper or live). Rows without the logo are model forecasts only.
What injury statuses are shown?
Out listings for teams on today's board. Public ESPN injury listings, refreshed throughout the day.
How does MechaPip use injuries?
Out and Doubtful listings can adjust team Glicko ratings before a forecast. The blog table shows Out players only.
For analysis only. Not financial or gambling advice.
MechaPip  -  automated Glicko-2 + LightGBM sports predictions

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