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MechaPip Glicko-2 Model Update
Version 2026-08-30 - August 30, 2026
MechaPip Glicko-2 ratings updated to version 2026-08-30 on August 30, 2026 across MLB, WNBA and NCAAF. Each table lists the largest rating movers, with rating deviation (RD) as the uncertainty measure.
MLB (10 movers)
| Team | Rating | Change | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 1502.9 | +2.5 | 15.2 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 1499.4 | -1.7 | 14.1 |
| Boston Red Sox | 1511.5 | +1.7 | 14.0 |
| Kansas City Royals | 1489.8 | +1.7 | 14.1 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 1520.4 | -1.5 | 14.0 |
| Washington Nationals | 1489.6 | -1.3 | 14.1 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 1479.5 | -1.2 | 14.1 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 1493.8 | -1.2 | 14.1 |
| Atlanta Braves | 1513.3 | +1.2 | 13.9 |
| Minnesota Twins | 1494.4 | -1.2 | 14.1 |
WNBA (10 movers)
| Team | Rating | Change | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Fire | 1403.4 | -14.2 | 56.7 |
| Chicago Sky | 1457.2 | -6.2 | 28.6 |
| Toronto Tempo | 1347.0 | -5.0 | 58.4 |
| Golden State Valkyries | 1575.2 | +5.0 | 41.2 |
| Seattle Storm | 1442.6 | -4.6 | 28.7 |
| Washington Mystics | 1506.6 | +4.2 | 29.0 |
| Dallas Wings | 1503.2 | +3.9 | 29.0 |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 1464.3 | -3.8 | 29.5 |
| Indiana Fever | 1526.8 | +3.3 | 28.5 |
| Atlanta Dream | 1531.5 | +3.3 | 28.8 |
NCAAF (10 movers)
| Team | Rating | Change | Volatility |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina State Bulldogs | 1654.4 | +315.1 | 236.2 |
| Pennsylvania Quakers | 1733.3 | +286.9 | 217.3 |
| Texas A&M Aggies | 1350.4 | -228.8 | 244.2 |
| Montana State Bobcats | 1720.4 | +224.2 | 221.2 |
| Lafayette Leopards | 1585.7 | +223.9 | 238.6 |
| Florida A&M Rattlers | 1569.6 | +221.0 | 284.3 |
| Delaware State Hornets | 1675.2 | +217.2 | 246.3 |
| Houston Christian Huskies | 1553.5 | +206.7 | 338.1 |
| SE Louisiana Lions | 1603.5 | +195.1 | 211.5 |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 1835.9 | +190.0 | 158.8 |
FAQ
- What is rating deviation?
- Glicko-2 adds a rating deviation (RD) that measures uncertainty. Teams with fewer recent games have higher RD, while active teams have tighter ratings.
- How are final probabilities built?
- MechaPip blends Glicko-2 with a LightGBM ensemble that includes home advantage, rest, and season stats. Final probabilities pass through calibration before forecasts are published.