Predictions for October 17, 2026
123 games across 4 sports
Free sports predictions for October 17, 2026: 123 games across NHL, MLB, WNBA and NCAAF. Win probabilities come from MechaPip's calibrated Elo ratings.
MechaPicks
- NCAAF VMI Keydets @ Wofford Terriers — Terriers 94% · 12:30 PM CT

- NCAAF Central Arkansas Bears @ Tarleton State Texans — Texans 92% · 6:00 PM CT

- NCAAF Florida State Seminoles @ Miami Hurricanes — Hurricanes 92% · 6:00 PM CT

- NCAAF Auburn Tigers @ Georgia Bulldogs — Bulldogs 92% · 2:30 PM CT

- NCAAF Nevada Wolf Pack @ North Dakota State Bison — Bison 91% · 6:00 PM CT

NHL (14 games)
| Matchup | Forecast | Win% | Ratings | Top Away Players | Top Home Players | MechaPicks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:00 PM CT |
57%
LEAN 43% / 57% P_raw 56.9% |
J. Hughes 27 G / 50 A / 77 P J. Bratt 22 G / 49 A / 71 P N. Hischier 28 G / 38 A / 66 P |
A. Ovechkin 32 G / 32 A / 64 P T. Wilson 30 G / 32 A / 62 P J. Chychrun 26 G / 34 A / 60 P |
|||
2:30 PM CT |
54%
LEAN 54% / 46% P_raw 39.5% |
S. Aho 27 G / 53 A / 80 P N. Ehlers 26 G / 45 A / 71 P A. Svechnikov 31 G / 39 A / 70 P |
M. Scheifele 36 G / 67 A / 103 P K. Connor 39 G / 53 A / 92 P G. Vilardi 30 G / 39 A / 69 P |
|||
3:00 PM CT |
67%
MODERATE 33% / 67% P_raw 78.1% |
E. Pettersson 15 G / 36 A / 51 P F. Hronek 8 G / 41 A / 49 P B. Boeser 22 G / 26 A / 48 P |
N. Kucherov 44 G / 86 A / 130 P J. Guentzel 38 G / 50 A / 88 P B. Hagel 36 G / 38 A / 74 P |
|||
5:00 PM CT |
57%
LEAN 43% / 57% P_raw 56.7% |
J. Eberle 26 G / 29 A / 55 P M. Beniers 20 G / 30 A / 50 P C. Stephenson 16 G / 33 A / 49 P |
S. Reinhart 29 G / 32 A / 61 P S. Bennett 26 G / 32 A / 58 P C. Verhaeghe 25 G / 30 A / 55 P |
|||
6:00 PM CT |
55%
LEAN 45% / 55% P_raw 52.6% |
M. Barzal 19 G / 53 A / 72 P M. Schaefer 23 G / 36 A / 59 P B. Horvat 31 G / 26 A / 57 P |
W. Nylander 30 G / 49 A / 79 P J. Tavares 31 G / 40 A / 71 P M. Knies 23 G / 43 A / 66 P |
|||
6:00 PM CT |
55%
LEAN 45% / 55% P_raw 52.2% |
T. Thompson 40 G / 41 A / 81 P R. Dahlin 19 G / 55 A / 74 P A. Tuch 33 G / 33 A / 66 P |
N. Suzuki 29 G / 72 A / 101 P C. Caufield 51 G / 37 A / 88 P L. Hutson 12 G / 66 A / 78 P |
|||
6:00 PM CT |
59%
LEAN 41% / 59% P_raw 60.4% |
M. Celebrini 45 G / 70 A / 115 P W. Smith 24 G / 35 A / 59 P A. Wennberg 18 G / 37 A / 55 P |
A. DeBrincat 41 G / 44 A / 85 P L. Raymond 25 G / 51 A / 76 P D. Larkin 34 G / 33 A / 67 P |
|||
6:00 PM CT |
51%
LEAN 51% / 49% P_raw 43.8% |
T. Stutzle 34 G / 49 A / 83 P D. Batherson 33 G / 38 A / 71 P D. Cozens 28 G / 31 A / 59 P |
T. Konecny 27 G / 41 A / 68 P T. Zegras 26 G / 41 A / 67 P O. Tippett 28 G / 23 A / 51 P |
|||
6:00 PM CT |
56%
LEAN 44% / 56% P_raw 54.2% |
M. Zibanejad 34 G / 44 A / 78 P A. Lafreniere 24 G / 33 A / 57 P V. Trocheck 16 G / 37 A / 53 P |
Z. Werenski 22 G / 59 A / 81 P K. Marchenko 27 G / 40 A / 67 P A. Fantilli 24 G / 35 A / 59 P |
|||
6:00 PM CT |
61%
MODERATE 61% / 39% P_raw 30.5% |
J. Robertson 45 G / 51 A / 96 P W. Johnston 45 G / 41 A / 86 P M. Rantanen 22 G / 55 A / 77 P |
C. Bedard 30 G / 45 A / 75 P T. Bertuzzi 32 G / 26 A / 58 P F. Nazar 15 G / 26 A / 41 P |
|||
7:00 PM CT |
54%
LEAN 46% / 54% P_raw 51.9% |
R. Thomas 25 G / 39 A / 64 P D. Holloway 22 G / 29 A / 51 P J. Snuggerud 21 G / 30 A / 51 P |
F. Forsberg 40 G / 35 A / 75 P R. O'Reilly 25 G / 49 A / 74 P S. Stamkos 42 G / 24 A / 66 P |
|||
8:00 PM CT |
51%
LEAN 51% / 49% P_raw 44.0% |
D. Pastrnak 29 G / 71 A / 100 P M. Geekie 39 G / 29 A / 68 P P. Zacha 30 G / 35 A / 65 P |
A. Panarin 28 G / 56 A / 84 P A. Kempe 36 G / 37 A / 73 P Q. Byfield 24 G / 25 A / 49 P |
|||
9:00 PM CT |
52%
LEAN 52% / 48% P_raw 42.4% |
C. McDavid 48 G / 90 A / 138 P L. Draisaitl 35 G / 62 A / 97 P E. Bouchard 21 G / 74 A / 95 P |
C. Keller 26 G / 62 A / 88 P N. Schmaltz 33 G / 41 A / 74 P D. Guenther 40 G / 33 A / 73 P |
|||
9:00 PM CT |
58%
LEAN 42% / 58% P_raw 59.2% |
S. Crosby 29 G / 45 A / 74 P E. Karlsson 15 G / 51 A / 66 P B. Rust 29 G / 36 A / 65 P |
J. Eichel 27 G / 63 A / 90 P M. Marner 24 G / 56 A / 80 P M. Stone 28 G / 45 A / 73 P |
Injury listings (16)
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Dahlin | Out | out | |
| Taylor Hall | Out | Head coach Rod Brind'Amour said Friday that Hall (upper body) is considered week-to-week, Chip Alexander of The Raleigh News & Observer reports. | |
| David Perron | Out | out | |
| Jason Dickinson | Out | out | |
| Jacob Markstrom | Out | Markstrom (undisclosed) won't be available for Thursday's home game against the Canucks, Jameson Olive of the Panthers' official site reports. | |
| Radko Gudas | Out | out | |
| Florian Xhekaj | Out | out | |
| Luke Evangelista | Out | out | |
| Alexander Romanov | Out | out | |
| Nikolas Matinpalo | Out | Matinpalo (upper body) won't play against St. Louis on Tuesday, and there is no timeline for his return, Bruce Garrioch of Postmedia reports. | |
| Egor Chinakhov | Out | Chinakhov (lower body) has no clear timeline for his return to action after missing Friday's game versus the Avalanche, Josh Yohe of The Athletic reports. | |
| Michael Carcone | Out | Carcone is week-to-week due to his upper-body injury, the team announced Saturday. | |
| Parker Wotherspoon | Out | out | |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | Out | out | |
| Josh Morrissey | Out | out | |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | Out | out |
MLB (1 game)
| Matchup | Forecast | Win% | Ratings | Top Away Players | Top Home Players | MechaPicks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7:00 PM CT |
50%
LEAN 50% / 50% P_raw 50.3% |
J. Caminero 42 HR / 101 RBI / 0.276 AVG Y. Díaz 22 HR / 85 RBI / 0.293 AVG J. Aranda 22 HR / 92 RBI / 0.274 AVG |
J. Adell 23 HR / 94 RBI / 0.240 AVG A. Martínez 18 HR / 62 RBI / 0.254 AVG N. Lowe 17 HR / 64 RBI / 0.252 AVG |
Injury listings (2)
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Walters | Out | Walters underwent a right elbow UCL repair with an internal brace Wednesday, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports. | |
| Shane McClanahan | Out | McClanahan (forearm) won't be available to pitch during the rest of the postseason, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports. |
WNBA (1 game)
| Matchup | Forecast | Win% | Ratings | Top Away Players | Top Home Players | MechaPicks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2:30 PM CT |
62%
MODERATE 38% / 62% P_raw 56.7% |
A. Gray 19.0 PTS / 2.6 AST / 3.5 REB R. Howard 17.7 PTS / 3.7 AST / 3.8 REB A. Reese 16.4 PTS / 2.8 AST / 12.1 REB |
G. Williams 14.4 PTS / 2.2 AST / 3.3 REB J. Salaun 12.7 PTS / 1.2 AST / 4.0 REB V. Burton 12.2 PTS / 5.7 AST / 3.6 REB |
Injury listings (4)
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | Out | Gray (hand) is listed as questionable for Game 1 of the WNBA Finals against Golden State on Saturday. | |
| Brionna Jones | Out | Jones will miss the remainder of the season after sustaining a left leg injury against the Sun on Aug. 13, Annie Costabile of The Athletic reports. | |
| Matilde Villa | Out | Villa (coach's decision) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against New York. | |
| Iliana Rupert | Out | Rupert is pregnant, and the Valkyries have filed for a replacement contract ahead of the 2026 season, Alexa Philippou of ESPN.com reports Thursday. |
NCAAF (107 games)
| Matchup | Forecast | Win% | Ratings | Top Away Players | Top Home Players | MechaPicks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11:00 AM CT |
67%
MODERATE 33% / 67% P_raw 66.6% |
J. Sayin 1789 YDS / 19 TD J. Smith 921 YDS / 11 TD B. Jackson 529 YDS / 4 TD |
J. Hoover 1406 YDS / 18 TD T. Richard 644 YDS / 5 TD L. Beebe Jr. 555 YDS / 4 TD |
|||
11:00 AM CT |
83%
STRONG 17% / 83% P_raw 81.2% |
A. Philo 1445 YDS / 12 TD J. Baugh 718 YDS / 12 TD D. Wilson 382 YDS / 4 TD |
A. Manning 1224 YDS / 10 TD C. Coleman 318 YDS / 5 TD H. Smothers 310 YDS / 3 TD |
|||
11:00 AM CT |
78%
STRONG 22% / 78% P_raw 76.6% |
K. Taylor 1609 YDS / 18 TD A. Evans III 575 YDS / 5 TD F. Bothwell 499 YDS / 4 TD |
S. Leavitt 1755 YDS / 17 TD D. Jones 614 YDS / 5 TD W. Watkins Jr. 439 YDS / 2 TD |
|||
11:00 AM CT |
79%
STRONG 21% / 79% P_raw 77.2% |
B. Pribula 1171 YDS / 14 TD J. Middlebrook 388 YDS / 4 TD X. Davis 277 YDS / 2 TD |
K. Jennings 1657 YDS / 16 TD K. Raphael 486 YDS / 6 TD Y. Knight 367 YDS / 2 TD |
|||
11:00 AM CT |
72%
STRONG 72% / 28% P_raw 29.3% |
A. Chiles 1245 YDS / 15 TD G. Wilde 425 YDS / 3 TD C. Komolafe 415 YDS / 3 TD |
A. Milivojevic 1016 YDS / 5 TD C. Edwards 339 YDS / 3 TD J. Patterson 284 YDS / 6 TD |
|||
11:00 AM CT |
51%
LEAN 49% / 51% P_raw 51.3% |
J. French IV 1142 YDS / 11 TD C. Tabb 413 YDS / 7 TD G. Payne 408 YDS / 2 TD |
M. Hawkins Jr. 1727 YDS / 19 TD C. Cook 854 YDS / 7 TD D. Epps 425 YDS / 4 TD |
|||
11:00 AM CT |
69%
MODERATE 31% / 69% P_raw 68.6% |
I. Marshall 1404 YDS / 9 TD D. Edwards 445 YDS / 4 TD N. McMillan 345 YDS / 3 TD |
A. Johnson 1422 YDS / 12 TD R. Fields Jr. 360 YDS / 4 TD J. Jackson 314 YDS / 3 TD |
|||
11:00 AM CT |
76%
STRONG 24% / 76% P_raw 74.1% |
No data | T. Reynolds 877 YDS / 1 TD G. Davidson 380 YDS / 4 TD B. Wesco Jr. 308 YDS / 0 TD |
|||
11:00 AM CT |
68%
MODERATE 68% / 32% P_raw 33.3% |
M. Heintschel 1416 YDS / 15 TD H. Geriner 460 YDS / 2 TD D. Ferguson Jr. 414 YDS / 4 TD |
M. McKenzie 1404 YDS / 8 TD E. Dickens 342 YDS / 4 TD J. Green 177 YDS / 0 TD |
|||
11:00 AM CT |
69%
MODERATE 31% / 69% P_raw 68.3% |
C. Veltkamp 1387 YDS / 13 TD K. Valsin 512 YDS / 5 TD E. Messer 445 YDS / 3 TD |
C. Hellums 880 YDS / 11 TD S. Howard 377 YDS / 1 TD Z. Mundell 321 YDS / 4 TD |
|||
11:00 AM CT |
75%
STRONG 25% / 75% P_raw 73.4% |
K. Luster 935 YDS / 6 TD T. Horton 321 YDS / 5 TD T. Mizzell 289 YDS / 1 TD |
J. Kastantin 1071 YDS / 6 TD A. Dendy 278 YDS / 3 TD N. Amachree 272 YDS / 1 TD |
|||
11:00 AM CT |
91%
STRONG 9% / 91% P_raw 88.3% |
C. Brown 1269 YDS / 13 TD L. McCrary Jr. 388 YDS / 3 TD Q. Wiggins 294 YDS / 2 TD |
C. Coleman 1230 YDS / 12 TD G. Pettaway 692 YDS / 6 TD N. Herman 325 YDS / 3 TD |
|||
11:00 AM CT |
81%
STRONG 19% / 81% P_raw 79.4% |
No data | No data | |||
11:00 AM CT |
50%
LEAN 50% / 50% P_raw 51.3% |
No data | No data | |||
11:00 AM CT |
79%
STRONG 21% / 79% P_raw 77.2% |
No data | No data | |||
11:00 AM CT |
69%
MODERATE 31% / 69% P_raw 68.4% |
No data | No data | |||
11:00 AM CT |
65%
MODERATE 65% / 35% P_raw 36.4% |
No data | L. Walker 49 YDS / 0 TD |
|||
11:00 AM CT |
69%
MODERATE 31% / 69% P_raw 68.6% |
No data | No data | |||
11:00 AM CT |
58%
LEAN 42% / 58% P_raw 58.0% |
No data | No data | |||
11:30 AM CT |
59%
LEAN 41% / 59% P_raw 58.8% |
D. Lonergan 798 YDS / 7 TD K. Duff 628 YDS / 7 TD A. Raymond 541 YDS / 5 TD |
M. Washington 1408 YDS / 8 TD C. Durr Jr. 506 YDS / 4 TD D. Williams 288 YDS / 3 TD |
|||
12:00 PM CT |
88%
STRONG 12% / 88% P_raw 86.0% |
No data | M. Reed 1249 YDS / 8 TD R. Owens II 365 YDS / 1 TD I. Horton 270 YDS / 3 TD |
|||
12:00 PM CT |
86%
STRONG 14% / 86% P_raw 83.4% |
C. Gonzales 830 YDS / 5 TD J. Barnes 337 YDS / 0 TD C. Harrell 301 YDS / 1 TD |
A. Sheppard 1150 YDS / 10 TD K. Mason 508 YDS / 2 TD S. Brown V 310 YDS / 4 TD |
|||
12:00 PM CT |
77%
STRONG 23% / 77% P_raw 75.3% |
W. Watson III 987 YDS / 11 TD T. Harding 417 YDS / 3 TD C. Kimmons IV 322 YDS / 4 TD |
J. Wright 830 YDS / 6 TD M. Burch 502 YDS / 2 TD C. Morrow 414 YDS / 6 TD |
|||
12:00 PM CT |
54%
LEAN 46% / 54% P_raw 54.2% |
No data | No data | |||
12:00 PM CT |
57%
LEAN 57% / 43% P_raw 44.6% |
No data | No data | |||
12:00 PM CT |
74%
STRONG 26% / 74% P_raw 72.7% |
No data | No data | |||
12:00 PM CT |
82%
STRONG 18% / 82% P_raw 79.6% |
No data | No data | |||
12:00 PM CT |
80%
STRONG 20% / 80% P_raw 78.5% |
No data | No data | |||
12:00 PM CT |
68%
MODERATE 32% / 68% P_raw 67.3% |
No data | No data | |||
12:00 PM CT |
59%
LEAN 41% / 59% P_raw 59.2% |
No data | No data | |||
12:00 PM CT |
65%
MODERATE 35% / 65% P_raw 64.7% |
No data | No data | |||
12:00 PM CT |
72%
STRONG 72% / 28% P_raw 29.1% |
No data | No data | |||
12:30 PM CT |
66%
MODERATE 66% / 34% P_raw 35.7% |
B. Lowry 1218 YDS / 10 TD J. Buckley 485 YDS / 5 TD A. Chenault 292 YDS / 1 TD |
A. Flores 814 YDS / 5 TD J. Clerveaux 256 YDS / 2 TD J. Glasser 243 YDS / 1 TD |
|||
12:30 PM CT |
94%
STRONG 6% / 94% P_raw 91.6% |
No data | No data | |||
1:00 PM CT |
72%
STRONG 72% / 28% P_raw 29.8% |
No data | No data | |||
1:00 PM CT |
53%
LEAN 53% / 47% P_raw 48.3% |
No data | No data | |||
1:00 PM CT |
64%
MODERATE 64% / 36% P_raw 37.5% |
No data | No data | |||
1:00 PM CT |
73%
STRONG 73% / 27% P_raw 27.9% |
No data | No data | |||
1:00 PM CT |
66%
MODERATE 34% / 66% P_raw 65.5% |
No data | No data | |||
1:30 PM CT |
73%
STRONG 27% / 73% P_raw 71.6% |
No data | No data | |||
1:30 PM CT |
75%
STRONG 25% / 75% P_raw 74.0% |
No data | No data | |||
2:00 PM CT |
52%
LEAN 52% / 48% P_raw 48.6% |
No data | No data | |||
2:00 PM CT |
89%
STRONG 11% / 89% P_raw 86.5% |
No data | No data | |||
2:00 PM CT |
52%
LEAN 48% / 52% P_raw 52.9% |
No data | No data | |||
2:00 PM CT |
67%
MODERATE 33% / 67% P_raw 66.4% |
No data | No data | |||
2:00 PM CT |
68%
MODERATE 32% / 68% P_raw 66.9% |
No data | No data | |||
2:00 PM CT |
64%
MODERATE 36% / 64% P_raw 63.3% |
No data | No data | |||
2:00 PM CT |
57%
LEAN 43% / 57% P_raw 57.1% |
No data | No data | |||
2:00 PM CT |
51%
LEAN 51% / 49% P_raw 50.3% |
No data | No data | |||
2:00 PM CT |
55%
LEAN 45% / 55% P_raw 55.0% |
No data | No data | |||
2:00 PM CT |
51%
LEAN 49% / 51% P_raw 51.6% |
No data | No data | |||
2:00 PM CT |
85%
STRONG 15% / 85% P_raw 83.3% |
No data | No data | |||
2:30 PM CT |
92%
STRONG 8% / 92% P_raw 89.8% |
B. Brown 1404 YDS / 12 TD K. Singleton 322 YDS / 1 TD J. Cobb 289 YDS / 2 TD |
G. Stockton 1432 YDS / 15 TD D. Phillips Jr. 372 YDS / 2 TD R. Puglisi 282 YDS / 3 TD |
|||
2:30 PM CT |
51%
LEAN 51% / 49% P_raw 49.6% |
K. Russell 1814 YDS / 16 TD R. Coleman-Williams 428 YDS / 4 TD L. Brooks 392 YDS / 1 TD |
F. Brandon 827 YDS / 10 TD D. Bishop 716 YDS / 8 TD M. Matthews 410 YDS / 3 TD |
|||
2:30 PM CT |
69%
MODERATE 31% / 69% P_raw 67.9% |
A. Simmons 1460 YDS / 14 TD J. Roberts 912 YDS / 8 TD C. Lee 616 YDS / 5 TD |
T. Chambliss 1548 YDS / 16 TD D. Alexander 523 YDS / 5 TD K. Lacy 246 YDS / 5 TD |
|||
2:30 PM CT |
86%
STRONG 14% / 86% P_raw 84.1% |
C. Boley 1320 YDS / 13 TD R. Harris 590 YDS / 7 TD K. Brown 335 YDS / 1 TD |
W. Hammond 1164 YDS / 6 TD J. Williams 510 YDS / 3 TD K. Johnson 298 YDS / 1 TD |
|||
2:30 PM CT |
58%
LEAN 42% / 58% P_raw 57.8% |
A. Mendoza 1183 YDS / 7 TD J. Haynes 509 YDS / 5 TD J. Allen 312 YDS / 1 TD |
E. Grunkemeyer 1694 YDS / 16 TD J. Overton Jr. 718 YDS / 5 TD Q. Brown 434 YDS / 2 TD |
|||
2:30 PM CT |
78%
STRONG 22% / 78% P_raw 76.4% |
B. Edwards Jr. 1075 YDS / 8 TD J. Shipp 366 YDS / 0 TD B. Hall 334 YDS / 2 TD |
W. Eget 988 YDS / 7 TD N. Sheppard 904 YDS / 11 TD J. Hasley 234 YDS / 0 TD |
|||
2:30 PM CT |
63%
MODERATE 37% / 63% P_raw 62.4% |
R. Becht 1449 YDS / 12 TD K. Howard 368 YDS / 3 TD C. Sowell 359 YDS / 2 TD |
B. Underwood 1093 YDS / 7 TD J. Buchanan 446 YDS / 4 TD A. Marsh 283 YDS / 1 TD |
|||
2:30 PM CT |
81%
STRONG 19% / 81% P_raw 79.5% |
T. Dickens 958 YDS / 3 TD T. Johnson Jr. 347 YDS / 3 TD D. Rogers 333 YDS / 2 TD |
T. Hughes 1098 YDS / 4 TD M. Holman 405 YDS / 3 TD S. Harris 392 YDS / 2 TD |
|||
2:30 PM CT |
57%
LEAN 43% / 57% P_raw 57.1% |
J. Arnold 1470 YDS / 13 TD J. Thomas 610 YDS / 4 TD T. Reddicks 280 YDS / 2 TD |
L. Szarka 687 YDS / 8 TD E. Medders 270 YDS / 4 TD O. Allen 238 YDS / 2 TD |
|||
2:30 PM CT |
55%
LEAN 45% / 55% P_raw 55.2% |
J. Alan Richter 1561 YDS / 13 TD C. Walendzak 457 YDS / 9 TD C. Miller 430 YDS / 5 TD |
N. Kim 1461 YDS / 12 TD A. Blue 349 YDS / 3 TD B. Bennett 322 YDS / 2 TD |
|||
2:30 PM CT |
77%
STRONG 23% / 77% P_raw 75.0% |
B. Roggow 803 YDS / 7 TD C. Broughton 550 YDS / 4 TD J. Gant 524 YDS / 3 TD |
D. McComb 1166 YDS / 10 TD C. Heavner 443 YDS / 2 TD M. Huggins 309 YDS / 1 TD |
|||
2:30 PM CT |
78%
STRONG 22% / 78% P_raw 76.7% |
No data | No data | |||
2:30 PM CT |
63%
MODERATE 63% / 37% P_raw 38.1% |
No data | No data | |||
2:30 PM CT |
63%
MODERATE 63% / 37% P_raw 38.0% |
No data | No data | |||
3:00 PM CT |
58%
LEAN 58% / 42% P_raw 43.0% |
No data | No data | |||
3:00 PM CT |
66%
MODERATE 34% / 66% P_raw 65.3% |
No data | No data | |||
3:00 PM CT |
84%
STRONG 84% / 16% P_raw 16.8% |
No data | No data | |||
3:30 PM CT |
56%
LEAN 44% / 56% P_raw 56.7% |
B. Hayes 902 YDS / 7 TD O. Singleton Jr. 425 YDS / 4 TD D. Alston 396 YDS / 5 TD |
J. Brown 945 YDS / 7 TD T. Byars 319 YDS / 2 TD D. Hardeman Jr. 200 YDS / 1 TD |
|||
4:00 PM CT |
62%
MODERATE 38% / 62% P_raw 61.5% |
G. Crowder 1267 YDS / 11 TD G. Griffin 373 YDS / 1 TD J. Lovett 323 YDS / 2 TD |
L. Winfield 1481 YDS / 11 TD J. Garner 215 YDS / 3 TD K. Wade 213 YDS / 1 TD |
|||
4:00 PM CT |
84%
STRONG 84% / 16% P_raw 17.2% |
No data | No data | |||
4:00 PM CT |
57%
LEAN 57% / 43% P_raw 44.4% |
No data | B. Anderson 151 YDS / 1 TD |
|||
4:00 PM CT |
53%
LEAN 53% / 47% P_raw 47.6% |
No data | No data | |||
5:00 PM CT |
84%
STRONG 16% / 84% P_raw 81.4% |
C. Pinnick 1146 YDS / 6 TD K. Vorhees 298 YDS / 2 TD M. Woods 238 YDS / 0 TD |
B. Atkinson 2246 YDS / 24 TD J. Legree 932 YDS / 12 TD A. Newberry 498 YDS / 4 TD |
|||
5:00 PM CT |
77%
STRONG 23% / 77% P_raw 75.8% |
No data | No data | |||
5:30 PM CT |
70%
MODERATE 70% / 30% P_raw 31.7% |
No data | No data | |||
6:00 PM CT |
92%
STRONG 8% / 92% P_raw 89.9% |
A. Daniels 1643 YDS / 18 TD O. Kromah 662 YDS / 5 TD M. Danzy 321 YDS / 2 TD |
D. Mensah 1517 YDS / 17 TD M. Toney 623 YDS / 6 TD M. Fletcher Jr. 333 YDS / 5 TD |
|||
6:00 PM CT |
79%
STRONG 21% / 79% P_raw 76.9% |
K. Jackson 1275 YDS / 9 TD C. Marshall 605 YDS / 2 TD S. Smith 239 YDS / 1 TD |
J. Curtis 1099 YDS / 7 TD J. Sherrill 532 YDS / 3 TD B. Berlowitz 496 YDS / 2 TD |
|||
6:00 PM CT |
72%
STRONG 28% / 72% P_raw 71.2% |
J. Craig 1408 YDS / 8 TD J. Payne 518 YDS / 2 TD E. Small 403 YDS / 1 TD |
D. Lagway 849 YDS / 9 TD N. Bennett 596 YDS / 8 TD G. Freeman 479 YDS / 2 TD |
|||
6:00 PM CT |
82%
STRONG 18% / 82% P_raw 80.4% |
D. DeShields 1157 YDS / 7 TD W. Harris 370 YDS / 1 TD D. Clark 283 YDS / 1 TD |
M. Van Buren Jr. 1168 YDS / 7 TD D. Crowther 553 YDS / 8 TD B. Rodgers 312 YDS / 2 TD |
|||
6:00 PM CT |
91%
STRONG 9% / 91% P_raw 88.6% |
C. Jones 711 YDS / 4 TD D. Kelley 509 YDS / 5 TD H. Turner 502 YDS / 4 TD |
N. Hayes 1274 YDS / 11 TD J. Williams 411 YDS / 1 TD D. Scott 371 YDS / 4 TD |
|||
6:00 PM CT |
51%
LEAN 51% / 49% P_raw 50.3% |
T. Owens 1610 YDS / 11 TD H. Summers 408 YDS / 3 TD C. Cobb 343 YDS / 1 TD |
L. Lyddy 836 YDS / 6 TD M. Sanders 479 YDS / 6 TD E. Hampton 432 YDS / 2 TD |
|||
6:00 PM CT |
55%
LEAN 55% / 45% P_raw 46.0% |
No data | No data | |||
6:00 PM CT |
82%
STRONG 82% / 18% P_raw 18.3% |
No data | No data | |||
6:00 PM CT |
88%
STRONG 12% / 88% P_raw 85.3% |
No data | No data | |||
6:00 PM CT |
92%
STRONG 8% / 92% P_raw 90.2% |
No data | No data | |||
6:00 PM CT |
51%
LEAN 49% / 51% P_raw 51.9% |
No data | No data | |||
6:00 PM CT |
80%
STRONG 80% / 20% P_raw 20.9% |
No data | No data | |||
6:00 PM CT |
63%
MODERATE 37% / 63% P_raw 62.8% |
No data | No data | |||
6:30 PM CT |
58%
LEAN 42% / 58% P_raw 58.0% |
C. Carr 1447 YDS / 19 TD J. Walton 465 YDS / 2 TD N. James Jr. 422 YDS / 8 TD |
B. Bachmeier 1272 YDS / 12 TD L. Glasker 461 YDS / 5 TD L. Martin 385 YDS / 3 TD |
|||
6:30 PM CT |
65%
MODERATE 35% / 65% P_raw 64.1% |
C. Joseph 1394 YDS / 13 TD T. Henry 343 YDS / 1 TD D. Dupree 257 YDS / 2 TD |
N. Iamaleava 1126 YDS / 5 TD W. Knight 648 YDS / 11 TD A. Woods 322 YDS / 4 TD |
|||
6:30 PM CT |
60%
MODERATE 40% / 60% P_raw 60.1% |
K. Minchey 1405 YDS / 12 TD C. Baxter 546 YDS / 8 TD K. Darby 410 YDS / 3 TD |
J. Mateer 1108 YDS / 8 TD I. Sategna III 347 YDS / 2 TD R. Beers 284 YDS / 2 TD |
|||
6:30 PM CT |
84%
STRONG 16% / 84% P_raw 81.8% |
D. Mestemaker 1683 YDS / 15 TD C. Hawkins 599 YDS / 2 TD W. Young 476 YDS / 4 TD |
C. Weigman 1605 YDS / 21 TD R. Sanford II 509 YDS / 2 TD M. Hughes 467 YDS / 3 TD |
|||
6:30 PM CT |
70%
MODERATE 30% / 70% P_raw 68.8% |
No data | D. Warren 1319 YDS / 6 TD M. Ford 416 YDS / 4 TD C. High 326 YDS / 3 TD |
|||
6:30 PM CT |
75%
STRONG 75% / 25% P_raw 25.7% |
L. Kienholz 1732 YDS / 17 TD I. Brown 605 YDS / 4 TD T. Richardson 508 YDS / 3 TD |
S. Angeli 708 YDS / 4 TD U. Hatcher 599 YDS / 6 TD T. Hill 410 YDS / 1 TD |
|||
7:00 PM CT |
77%
STRONG 23% / 77% P_raw 75.4% |
J. Gutierrez 944 YDS / 11 TD B. Woodson 370 YDS / 4 TD M. Barrow 323 YDS / 0 TD |
O. McCown 1308 YDS / 7 TD W. Henderson III 554 YDS / 3 TD A. Peterson 318 YDS / 7 TD |
|||
7:00 PM CT |
76%
STRONG 76% / 24% P_raw 25.2% |
B. Baker 707 YDS / 8 TD T. Kukuk 635 YDS / 4 TD J. Mickens 491 YDS / 5 TD |
A. Armenta 867 YDS / 7 TD A. Carlisle 531 YDS / 4 TD M. Jackson 254 YDS / 0 TD |
|||
7:00 PM CT |
54%
LEAN 46% / 54% P_raw 54.7% |
No data | No data | |||
7:00 PM CT |
50%
LEAN 50% / 50% P_raw 50.7% |
No data | No data | |||
8:00 PM CT |
58%
LEAN 58% / 42% P_raw 43.6% |
L. Weaver 1603 YDS / 12 TD J. Bates 642 YDS / 1 TD C. Clark 405 YDS / 4 TD |
E. Colson Jr. 634 YDS / 8 TD R. Moore III 569 YDS / 4 TD T. Jones 221 YDS / 1 TD |
|||
9:00 PM CT |
73%
STRONG 73% / 27% P_raw 28.2% |
M. Vezza 621 YDS / 7 TD N. Poulos 471 YDS / 5 TD R. Neer 397 YDS / 5 TD |
J. Sharman 975 YDS / 6 TD M. Coleman 449 YDS / 4 TD O. Smith Jr. 277 YDS / 1 TD |
|||
9:15 PM CT |
83%
STRONG 83% / 17% P_raw 17.5% |
D. Dampier 1340 YDS / 15 TD W. Parker 689 YDS / 11 TD B. Pegan 348 YDS / 5 TD |
J. Lewis 688 YDS / 7 TD J. Williams 509 YDS / 5 TD I. Wilson 481 YDS / 2 TD |
|||
9:30 PM CT |
72%
STRONG 72% / 28% P_raw 29.8% |
G. Lopez 1882 YDS / 19 TD C. Hernandez 720 YDS / 4 TD D. Lawrence 318 YDS / 3 TD |
J. Sagapolutele 1140 YDS / 8 TD J. Brousseau 619 YDS / 3 TD A. Mohammed 504 YDS / 4 TD |
|||
9:30 PM CT |
61%
MODERATE 61% / 39% P_raw 39.8% |
J. Mandal 1408 YDS / 10 TD J. Freeman 413 YDS / 3 TD R. Luke 358 YDS / 2 TD |
J. Denegal 806 YDS / 6 TD J. Kinnard 436 YDS / 1 TD N. Acevedo 188 YDS / 2 TD |
|||
9:30 PM CT |
71%
STRONG 71% / 29% P_raw 30.8% |
T. Fa'avae 782 YDS / 6 TD S. Humphrey 340 YDS / 6 TD K. Sibley 265 YDS / 2 TD |
M. Alejado 1639 YDS / 5 TD D. Rice 368 YDS / 4 TD K. Carvalho 335 YDS / 0 TD |
|||
10:00 PM CT |
69%
MODERATE 31% / 69% P_raw 68.3% |
A. Colandrea 1711 YDS / 16 TD J. Rule 468 YDS / 6 TD M. Nelson 432 YDS / 5 TD |
D. Moore 919 YDS / 9 TD D. Raiola 440 YDS / 5 TD D. Hill Jr. 412 YDS / 3 TD |
Injury listings (1)
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleil Jackson | Out | Jackson (undisclosed) is inactive for Saturday's game against Vanderbilt, G. Allan Taylor of The Athletic reports. |
Calibration stamp (serving scaler, last step)
NHL: beta a=1.030746 b=0.159000 c=0.734515 · fitted 2026-10-17 09:38:47
MLB: beta a=1.000000 b=1.000000 c=0.000000 · fitted 2026-10-17 09:38:50
WNBA: beta a=1.055141 b=0.773472 c=0.435286 · fitted 2026-10-17 09:38:52
NCAAF: beta a=0.906947 b=1.224401 c=-0.255486 · fitted 2026-10-17 09:39:08
Novig prices ride beside the model where the venue has a market - live contract quotes as of 2026-10-17T11:36Z UTC, raw and fees not included. MechaPip uses a Novig partner link; Novig sets the offer and its terms.
Restrictions & requirements apply. Not available in all states. 21+. Event contract trading involves risk & is not appropriate for all. Consider if it's appropriate for you in light of financial circumstances. See novig.com/terms for information.
FAQ
- What does Win% mean?
- Win% is the model's projected chance that the listed favorite wins the game. The second line shows the away and home split.
- How does MechaPip pick a favorite?
- MechaPip scores every team with calibrated Elo ratings built from season history, then enriches each matchup with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. The higher projected side is the forecast.
- What is the rating edge?
- Each forecast row prints a rating pair — AWAY and HOME — and the pair is the effective ratings the projection actually used: each side's Elo with the home edge and the matchup layers (player form, team advanced stats, starters, altitude, any live injury adjustment) already inside the two numbers, before calibration and frozen for that row. The rating edge is the favorite's margin between those two printed integers — favorite minus opponent, the exact subtraction a reader can redo from the row — signed and never clamped. The Win% re-derives from the same pair in two printed steps: first the standard 400-scale Elo conversion of the printed gap from the home side, P_raw = 1 / (1 + 10^(-(HOME - AWAY) / 400)); then the sport's fitted beta calibration, P_cal = sigmoid(c + a*ln(P_raw) - b*ln(1 - P_raw)) — named as the number's last step, with the serving scaler's fitted a, b, and c stamped beside the board on every post. The printed Win% is P_cal when the favorite is the home team, and its complement (1 - P_cal) when the favorite is the away team — the model calibrates the home side and complements for an away favorite. The site's ratings table shows raw Elo; the pair beside a forecast is effective — same scale, different point in the pipeline. Contract dated 2026-10-14.
- What do the confidence tiers mean?
- 70%+ = High-confidence forecast. 60-69% = Moderate-confidence forecast. 50-59% = Slight favorite.
- What do top-player lines show?
- Season stat leaders for each side. Totals vary by sport (points, yards, goals, or batting line).
- What is MechaPicks?
- MechaPicks are MechaPip's five highest-confidence picks of the day (fewer when the board is smaller). The MechaPip mark in the MechaPicks column shows those picks on the board. Rows without the mark are model forecasts only.
- What injury statuses are shown?
- Out listings for teams on today's board. Public ESPN injury listings, refreshed throughout the day.
- How does MechaPip use injuries?
- Out and Doubtful listings can adjust team Elo ratings before a forecast. The blog table shows Out players only.
63%