Predictions for October 11, 2026
21 games across 4 sports
Free sports predictions for October 11, 2026: 21 games across NFL, NBA, NHL and MLB. Win probabilities come from MechaPip's calibrated Elo ratings.
MechaPicks
- NFL Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars — Jaguars 83% · 8:30 AM CT

- NBA Chicago Bulls @ Denver Nuggets — Nuggets 80% · 8:00 PM CT

- NFL Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots — Patriots 78% · 12:00 PM CT

- NBA Milwaukee Bucks @ Charlotte Hornets — Hornets 73% · 6:00 PM CT

- NBA Dallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets — Rockets 73% · 5:00 AM CT

NFL (13 games)
| Matchup | Forecast | Win% | Ratings | Top Away Players | Top Home Players | MechaPicks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8:30 AM CT |
83%
STRONG 17% / 83% |
J. Hurts 3645 YDS / 33 TD S. Barkley 1413 YDS / 9 TD D. Smith 1008 YDS / 4 TD |
T. Lawrence 4366 YDS / 38 TD T. Etienne Jr. 1399 YDS / 13 TD T. Etienne 1399 YDS / 13 TD |
|||
12:00 PM CT |
55%
LEAN 55% / 45% |
C. Williams 4352 YDS / 31 TD D. Swift 1386 YDS / 10 TD K. Monangai 947 YDS / 5 TD |
J. Love 3580 YDS / 23 TD J. Jacobs 1211 YDS / 14 TD R. Doubs 724 YDS / 6 TD |
|||
12:00 PM CT |
53%
LEAN 53% / 47% |
C. Stroud 3250 YDS / 20 TD N. Collins 1132 YDS / 7 TD D. Mills 975 YDS / 6 TD |
C. Ward 3328 YDS / 17 TD T. Pollard 1288 YDS / 5 TD C. Okonkwo 560 YDS / 2 TD |
|||
12:00 PM CT |
68%
MODERATE 68% / 32% |
J. Flacco 2514 YDS / 16 TD J. Burrow 1850 YDS / 17 TD C. Brown 1456 YDS / 11 TD |
T. Tagovailoa 2703 YDS / 20 TD D. Achane 1838 YDS / 12 TD J. Waddle 946 YDS / 6 TD |
|||
12:00 PM CT |
78%
STRONG 22% / 78% |
G. Smith 3134 YDS / 19 TD A. Jeanty 1321 YDS / 10 TD T. Tucker 747 YDS / 5 TD |
D. Maye 4846 YDS / 35 TD T. Henderson 1132 YDS / 10 TD S. Diggs 1013 YDS / 4 TD |
|||
12:00 PM CT |
62%
MODERATE 62% / 38% |
J. McCarthy 1813 YDS / 15 TD C. Wentz 1273 YDS / 6 TD J. Jefferson 1055 YDS / 2 TD |
T. Shough 2570 YDS / 13 TD S. Rattler 1753 YDS / 8 TD C. Olave 1160 YDS / 9 TD |
|||
12:00 PM CT |
55%
LEAN 55% / 45% |
S. Sanders 1569 YDS / 8 TD D. Gabriel 1023 YDS / 7 TD Q. Judkins 998 YDS / 7 TD |
J. Fields 1642 YDS / 11 TD B. Hall 1419 YDS / 6 TD T. Taylor 922 YDS / 6 TD |
|||
12:00 PM CT |
59%
LEAN 41% / 59% |
D. Jones 3265 YDS / 24 TD J. Taylor 1963 YDS / 20 TD A. Pierce 1003 YDS / 6 TD |
A. Rodgers 3374 YDS / 25 TD J. Warren 1291 YDS / 8 TD K. Gainwell 1023 YDS / 8 TD |
|||
12:00 PM CT |
57%
LEAN 57% / 43% |
J. Dart 2759 YDS / 24 TD T. Tracy Jr. 1028 YDS / 4 TD W. Robinson 1019 YDS / 4 TD |
M. Mariota 1992 YDS / 11 TD J. Daniels 1540 YDS / 10 TD J. Croskey-Merritt 873 YDS / 8 TD |
|||
3:05 PM CT |
58%
LEAN 58% / 42% |
B. Nix 4287 YDS / 30 TD C. Sutton 1017 YDS / 7 TD R. Harvey 896 YDS / 12 TD |
J. Herbert 4225 YDS / 28 TD L. McConkey 789 YDS / 6 TD K. Vidal 779 YDS / 4 TD |
|||
3:25 PM CT |
57%
LEAN 57% / 43% |
J. Goff 4609 YDS / 34 TD J. Gibbs 1839 YDS / 18 TD A. St. Brown 1410 YDS / 11 TD |
J. Brissett 3534 YDS / 24 TD T. McBride 1239 YDS / 11 TD K. Murray 1135 YDS / 7 TD |
|||
3:25 PM CT |
54%
LEAN 46% / 54% |
B. Purdy 2314 YDS / 23 TD M. Jones 2211 YDS / 13 TD C. McCaffrey 2126 YDS / 17 TD |
S. Darnold 4143 YDS / 25 TD J. Smith-Njigba 1829 YDS / 10 TD K. Walker III 1309 YDS / 5 TD |
|||
7:20 PM CT |
56%
LEAN 44% / 56% |
L. Jackson 2898 YDS / 23 TD D. Henry 1745 YDS / 16 TD Z. Flowers 1273 YDS / 6 TD |
B. Robinson 2298 YDS / 11 TD M. Penix Jr. 2052 YDS / 10 TD K. Cousins 1728 YDS / 11 TD |
Injury listings (72)
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wingard | Out | Wingard (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Lions, Bo Brack of GoPHNX.com reports. | |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | Out | A trade for Harrison will not be completed "until after Sunday's games are played," but the Cardinals "feel comfortable enough" knowing it will occur that they will deactivate him for Sunday's game against the Lions, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. | |
| Za'Darius Smith | Out | Smith (concussion/neck) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Ravens, Tori McElhaney of the Falcons' official site reports. | |
| Cam Jurgens | Out | Jurgens (concussion) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Falcons, Adam Caplan of SiriusXM NFL Radio reports. | |
| Lamar Jackson | Out | Jackson (ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday night's game against the Falcons, Cordell Woodland of 105.7 The Fan Baltimore reports. | |
| Trey Hendrickson | Out | Hendrickson (finger) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Falcons, Adam Caplan of SiriusXM NFL Radio reports. | |
| Anthony Johnson Jr. | Out | out | |
| Keyshaun Elliott | Out | Elliott (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers. | |
| Kyle Monangai | Out | Monangai (toe) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers, Patrick Finley of the Chicago Sun-Times reports. | |
| Kyler Gordon | Out | Gordon (calf) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers. | |
| Shemar Turner | Out | Turner (knee) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against Green Bay. | |
| Kyle Dugger | Out | Dugger (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Dolphins, Paul Dehner Jr. of The Athletic reports. | |
| Carsen Ryan | Out | Ryan (calf) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports. | |
| Mason Graham | Out | Graham (knee/ankle) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports. | |
| Mike Hall Jr. | Out | Hall (ankle) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports. | |
| Teven Jenkins | Out | Jenkins (back) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports. | |
| Tylan Wallace | Out | Wallace (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports. | |
| Pat Surtain II | Out | Surtain (ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Chargers, Aric DiLalla of the Broncos' official site reports. | |
| Riley Moss | Out | Moss (ribs) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Chargers, Aric DiLalla of the Broncos' official site reports. | |
| Ben Bartch | Out | Bartch (foot) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against Arizona. | |
| Brian Branch | Out | Branch (Achilles) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Cardinals. | |
| Rock Ya-Sin | Out | Ya-Sin (hamstring) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Cardinals. | |
| Micah Parsons | Out | Parsons (knee), per head coach Matt LaFleur, will not practice this week, Weston Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports. | |
| Ashton Dulin | Out | Dulin (hamstring) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Steelers. | |
| Darius Slayton | Out | Slayton (knee) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Steelers. | |
| Jaylon Carlies | Out | Carlies (ribs) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Steelers. | |
| Jalen Nailor | Out | Nailor (concussion) has been ruled out for Sunday's game at New England, Paul Gutierrez of ESPN.com reports. | |
| Trey Zuhn III | Out | Zuhn (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Patriots, Paul Gutierrez of Raiders.com reports. | |
| Brenen Thompson | Out | Thompson (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Broncos. | |
| Derwin James Jr. | Out | James (hamstring) has been ruled out against the Broncos on Sunday. | |
| Donte Jackson | Out | Jackson (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Broncos. | |
| Joe Alt | Out | Alt (neck) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Broncos. | |
| Kayode Awosika | Out | Awosika (lower leg) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Broncos. | |
| Quentin Johnston | Out | Johnston (chest) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against Denver. | |
| Caleb Douglas | Out | Douglas (ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bengals, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. | |
| Justin Joly | Out | Joly (concussion) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Bengals. | |
| Reese Taylor | Out | Taylor (quadriceps) has been ruled out ahead of the Dolphins' Week 5 matchup with the Bengals, Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald reported Monday. | |
| Robert Beal Jr. | Out | Beal (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bengals. | |
| Storm Duck | Out | Duck (knee) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Bengals, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports. | |
| Charles Demmings | Out | Demmings (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Saints. | |
| Christian Darrisaw | Out | Darrisaw (concussion) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Saints. | |
| Carlton Davis III | Out | Davis (neck) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Raiders. | |
| Channing Canada | Out | Canada (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Raiders. | |
| Christian Gonzalez | Out | Gonzalez (shoulder) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against Las Vegas. | |
| Karon Prunty | Out | Prunty (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against Las Vegas. | |
| Anfernee Jennings | Out | Jennings (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Vikings, Emily Leiker of The Minnesota Star Tribune reports. | |
| Jeremiah Wright | Out | Wright (concussion) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Vikings, Emily Leiker of The Minnesota Star Tribune reports. | |
| Kaden Elliss | Out | Elliss (calf) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Vikings, Emily Leiker of The Minnesota Star Tribune reports. | |
| Jason Pinnock | Out | Pinnock (concussion) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Commanders. | |
| Adonai Mitchell | Out | Mitchell (finger) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Browns, Brian Costello of the New York Post reports. | |
| Breece Hall | Out | Hall (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Browns, Brian Costello of the New York Post reports. | |
| Dylan Parham | Out | Parham (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Browns, Brian Costello of the New York Post reports. | |
| Kiko Mauigoa | Out | Mauigoa (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Browns, Brian Costello of the New York Post reports. | |
| DeVonta Smith | Out | Smith (hamstring) is doing rehab work on a side field at Friday's practice, EJ Smith of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports. | |
| Drew Kendall | Out | Kendall (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jaguars. | |
| Hollywood Brown | Out | Brown (ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Jaguars. | |
| Marcus Epps | Out | Epps (groin) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Jaguars. | |
| Saquon Barkley | Out | Barkley (hamstring) wasn't spotted at Friday's practice, EJ Smith of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports. | |
| Jamel Dean | Out | Dean (ankle) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Colts, Mark Kaboly of 93.7 The Fan Pittsburgh reports. | |
| James Thompson Jr. | Out | Thompson (ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Seahawks. | |
| Kyle Juszczyk | Out | San Francisco head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Juszczyk will miss multiple weeks after hyperextending and sustaining a bone bruise to his right knee in Sunday's 24-14 win over the Broncos, Matt Barrows of The Athletic reports. | |
| Marques Sigle | Out | out | |
| Nick Bosa | Out | Bosa (calf) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Seahawks. | |
| Chazz Surratt | Out | Surratt (calf) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the 49ers, Bob Condotta of The Seattle Times reports. | |
| Zach Charbonnet | Out | Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald said Monday that Charbonnet (knee) won't be activated from the reserve/PUP list in advance of Sunday's game against the 49ers, Gregg Bell of The Tacoma News Tribune reports. | |
| Amani Hooker | Out | Hooker (concussion) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Texans, Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports. | |
| Charles Omenihu | Out | Omenihu (groin/ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Giants. | |
| Marcus Mariota | Out | Mariota (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Giants. | |
| Nick Cross | Out | Cross (illness) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Giants. | |
| Percy Butler | Out | Butler (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Giants. | |
| Stefon Diggs | Out | Diggs (hamstring) wasn't spotted at Friday's practice, Tashan Reed of The Washington Post reports. | |
| Tyler Owens | Out | Owens (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Giants. |
NBA (4 games)
| Matchup | Forecast | Win% | Ratings | Top Away Players | Top Home Players | MechaPicks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5:00 AM CT |
73%
STRONG 27% / 73% |
C. Flagg 21.0 PTS / 4.5 AST / 6.7 REB N. Marshall 15.2 PTS / 3.3 AST / 4.7 REB P. Washington 14.2 PTS / 1.8 AST / 7.0 REB |
K. Durant 26.0 PTS / 4.8 AST / 5.5 REB A. Sengun 20.4 PTS / 6.2 AST / 8.9 REB A. Thompson 18.3 PTS / 5.3 AST / 7.8 REB |
|||
5:30 PM CT |
60%
LEAN 40% / 60% |
P. Banchero 22.2 PTS / 5.2 AST / 8.4 REB F. Wagner 20.6 PTS / 3.3 AST / 5.2 REB D. Bane 20.1 PTS / 4.1 AST / 4.1 REB |
D. Mitchell 27.9 PTS / 5.7 AST / 4.5 REB J. Harden 23.6 PTS / 8.0 AST / 4.8 REB E. Mobley 18.2 PTS / 3.6 AST / 9.0 REB |
|||
6:00 PM CT |
73%
STRONG 27% / 73% |
G. Antetokounmpo 27.6 PTS / 5.4 AST / 9.8 REB K. Porter Jr. 17.4 PTS / 7.4 AST / 5.2 REB R. Rollins 17.3 PTS / 5.6 AST / 4.6 REB |
B. Miller 20.2 PTS / 3.3 AST / 4.9 REB L. Ball 20.1 PTS / 7.1 AST / 4.8 REB K. Knueppel 18.5 PTS / 3.4 AST / 5.3 REB |
|||
8:00 PM CT |
80%
STRONG 20% / 80% |
J. Giddey 17.0 PTS / 9.1 AST / 8.3 REB M. Buzelis 16.3 PTS / 2.1 AST / 5.8 REB C. Sexton 15.4 PTS / 3.3 AST / 2.3 REB |
N. Jokić 27.7 PTS / 10.7 AST / 12.9 REB J. Murray 25.4 PTS / 7.1 AST / 4.4 REB A. Gordon 16.2 PTS / 2.7 AST / 5.8 REB |
Injury listings (1)
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izaiyah Nelson | Out | Team president Jeff Weltman said Monday that Nelson (ankle) remains about a month away from returning to the court after offseason surgery, per Philip Rossman-Reich of OrlandoMagicDaily.com. |
NHL (3 games)
| Matchup | Forecast | Win% | Ratings | Top Away Players | Top Home Players | MechaPicks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4:00 PM CT |
65%
MODERATE 35% / 65% |
J. Eberle 26 G / 29 A / 55 P M. Beniers 20 G / 30 A / 50 P C. Stephenson 16 G / 33 A / 49 P |
A. Ovechkin 32 G / 32 A / 64 P T. Wilson 30 G / 32 A / 62 P J. Chychrun 26 G / 34 A / 60 P |
|||
5:00 PM CT |
71%
STRONG 29% / 71% |
E. Pettersson 15 G / 36 A / 51 P F. Hronek 8 G / 41 A / 49 P B. Boeser 22 G / 26 A / 48 P |
M. Zibanejad 34 G / 44 A / 78 P A. Lafreniere 24 G / 33 A / 57 P V. Trocheck 16 G / 37 A / 53 P |
|||
6:00 PM CT |
67%
MODERATE 67% / 33% |
S. Aho 27 G / 53 A / 80 P N. Ehlers 26 G / 45 A / 71 P A. Svechnikov 31 G / 39 A / 70 P |
T. Konecny 27 G / 41 A / 68 P T. Zegras 26 G / 41 A / 67 P O. Tippett 28 G / 23 A / 51 P |
Injury listings (3)
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Nikishin | Out | out | |
| Cam York | Out | out | |
| Travis Konecny | Out | out |
MLB (1 game)
| Matchup | Forecast | Win% | Ratings | Top Away Players | Top Home Players | MechaPicks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7:00 PM CT |
52%
LEAN 48% / 52% |
S. Ohtani 30 HR / 81 RBI / 0.275 AVG M. Muncy 29 HR / 76 RBI / 0.252 AVG A. Pages 23 HR / 85 RBI / 0.274 AVG |
J. Bauers 26 HR / 86 RBI / 0.266 AVG J. Chourio 25 HR / 75 RBI / 0.291 AVG B. Turang 21 HR / 100 RBI / 0.268 AVG |
Novig prices ride beside the model where the venue has a market - live contract quotes as of 2026-10-11T10:05Z UTC, raw and fees not included. MechaPip uses a Novig partner link; Novig sets the offer and its terms.
Restrictions & requirements apply. Not available in all states. 21+. Event contract trading involves risk & is not appropriate for all. Consider if it's appropriate for you in light of financial circumstances. See novig.com/terms for information.
FAQ
- What does Win% mean?
- Win% is the model's projected chance that the listed favorite wins the game. The second line shows the away and home split.
- How does MechaPip pick a favorite?
- MechaPip scores every team with calibrated Elo ratings built from season history, then enriches each matchup with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. The higher projected side is the forecast.
- What is the rating edge?
- The rating edge is the projected winner's Elo rating-point margin after the home-field adjustment. The Ratings column shows each team's Elo rating and that edge.
- What do the confidence tiers mean?
- 70%+ = High-confidence forecast. 60-69% = Moderate-confidence forecast. 50-59% = Slight favorite.
- What do top-player lines show?
- Season stat leaders for each side. Totals vary by sport (points, yards, goals, or batting line).
- What is MechaPicks?
- MechaPicks are MechaPip's five highest-confidence picks of the day (fewer when the board is smaller). The MechaPip mark in the MechaPicks column shows those picks on the board. Rows without the mark are model forecasts only.
- What injury statuses are shown?
- Out listings for teams on today's board. Public ESPN injury listings, refreshed throughout the day.
- How does MechaPip use injuries?
- Out and Doubtful listings can adjust team Elo ratings before a forecast. The blog table shows Out players only.
77%