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MechaPip Predictions - 2026-10-11

Predictions for October 11, 2026

21 games across 4 sports

Free sports predictions for October 11, 2026: 21 games across NFL, NBA, NHL and MLB. Win probabilities come from MechaPip's calibrated Elo ratings.

MechaPicks

  1. NFL Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars — Jaguars 83% · 8:30 AM CT MechaPip
  2. NBA Chicago Bulls @ Denver Nuggets — Nuggets 80% · 8:00 PM CT MechaPip
  3. NFL Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots — Patriots 78% · 12:00 PM CT MechaPip
  4. NBA Milwaukee Bucks @ Charlotte Hornets — Hornets 73% · 6:00 PM CT MechaPip
  5. NBA Dallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets — Rockets 73% · 5:00 AM CT MechaPip

NFL (13 games)

NFL board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars
8:30 AM CT
Jaguars
83%
STRONG
17% / 83%
AWAY 1436
HOME 1655
+293 edge
J. Hurts 3645 YDS / 33 TD
S. Barkley 1413 YDS / 9 TD
D. Smith 1008 YDS / 4 TD
T. Lawrence 4366 YDS / 38 TD
T. Etienne Jr. 1399 YDS / 13 TD
T. Etienne 1399 YDS / 13 TD
MechaPip
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
12:00 PM CT
Bears
55%
LEAN
55% / 45%
AWAY 1606
HOME 1460
+72 edge
C. Williams 4352 YDS / 31 TD
D. Swift 1386 YDS / 10 TD
K. Monangai 947 YDS / 5 TD
J. Love 3580 YDS / 23 TD
J. Jacobs 1211 YDS / 14 TD
R. Doubs 724 YDS / 6 TD
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
12:00 PM CT
Texans
53%
LEAN
53% / 47%
AWAY 1406
HOME 1309
+24 edge
C. Stroud 3250 YDS / 20 TD
N. Collins 1132 YDS / 7 TD
D. Mills 975 YDS / 6 TD
C. Ward 3328 YDS / 17 TD
T. Pollard 1288 YDS / 5 TD
C. Okonkwo 560 YDS / 2 TD
Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins
12:00 PM CT
Bengals
68%
MODERATE
68% / 32%
AWAY 1556
HOME 1264
+218 edge
J. Flacco 2514 YDS / 16 TD
J. Burrow 1850 YDS / 17 TD
C. Brown 1456 YDS / 11 TD
T. Tagovailoa 2703 YDS / 20 TD
D. Achane 1838 YDS / 12 TD
J. Waddle 946 YDS / 6 TD
Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots
12:00 PM CT
Patriots
78%
STRONG
22% / 78%
AWAY 1447
HOME 1578
+205 edge
G. Smith 3134 YDS / 19 TD
A. Jeanty 1321 YDS / 10 TD
T. Tucker 747 YDS / 5 TD
D. Maye 4846 YDS / 35 TD
T. Henderson 1132 YDS / 10 TD
S. Diggs 1013 YDS / 4 TD
MechaPip
Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints
12:00 PM CT
Vikings
62%
MODERATE
62% / 38%
AWAY 1634
HOME 1392
+168 edge
J. McCarthy 1813 YDS / 15 TD
C. Wentz 1273 YDS / 6 TD
J. Jefferson 1055 YDS / 2 TD
T. Shough 2570 YDS / 13 TD
S. Rattler 1753 YDS / 8 TD
C. Olave 1160 YDS / 9 TD
Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets
12:00 PM CT
Browns
55%
LEAN
55% / 45%
AWAY 1531
HOME 1368
+89 edge
S. Sanders 1569 YDS / 8 TD
D. Gabriel 1023 YDS / 7 TD
Q. Judkins 998 YDS / 7 TD
J. Fields 1642 YDS / 11 TD
B. Hall 1419 YDS / 6 TD
T. Taylor 922 YDS / 6 TD
Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers
12:00 PM CT
Steelers
59%
LEAN
41% / 59%
AWAY 1441
HOME 1477
+110 edge
D. Jones 3265 YDS / 24 TD
J. Taylor 1963 YDS / 20 TD
A. Pierce 1003 YDS / 6 TD
A. Rodgers 3374 YDS / 25 TD
J. Warren 1291 YDS / 8 TD
K. Gainwell 1023 YDS / 8 TD
New York Giants @ Washington Commanders
12:00 PM CT
Giants
57%
LEAN
57% / 43%
AWAY 1525
HOME 1358
+93 edge
J. Dart 2759 YDS / 24 TD
T. Tracy Jr. 1028 YDS / 4 TD
W. Robinson 1019 YDS / 4 TD
M. Mariota 1992 YDS / 11 TD
J. Daniels 1540 YDS / 10 TD
J. Croskey-Merritt 873 YDS / 8 TD
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers
3:05 PM CT
Broncos
58%
LEAN
58% / 42%
AWAY 1572
HOME 1358
+141 edge
B. Nix 4287 YDS / 30 TD
C. Sutton 1017 YDS / 7 TD
R. Harvey 896 YDS / 12 TD
J. Herbert 4225 YDS / 28 TD
L. McConkey 789 YDS / 6 TD
K. Vidal 779 YDS / 4 TD
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals
3:25 PM CT
Lions
57%
LEAN
57% / 43%
AWAY 1517
HOME 1364
+79 edge
J. Goff 4609 YDS / 34 TD
J. Gibbs 1839 YDS / 18 TD
A. St. Brown 1410 YDS / 11 TD
J. Brissett 3534 YDS / 24 TD
T. McBride 1239 YDS / 11 TD
K. Murray 1135 YDS / 7 TD
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks
3:25 PM CT
Seahawks
54%
LEAN
46% / 54%
AWAY 1707
HOME 1653
+19 edge
B. Purdy 2314 YDS / 23 TD
M. Jones 2211 YDS / 13 TD
C. McCaffrey 2126 YDS / 17 TD
S. Darnold 4143 YDS / 25 TD
J. Smith-Njigba 1829 YDS / 10 TD
K. Walker III 1309 YDS / 5 TD
Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons
7:20 PM CT
Falcons
56%
LEAN
44% / 56%
AWAY 1603
HOME 1550
+21 edge
L. Jackson 2898 YDS / 23 TD
D. Henry 1745 YDS / 16 TD
Z. Flowers 1273 YDS / 6 TD
B. Robinson 2298 YDS / 11 TD
M. Penix Jr. 2052 YDS / 10 TD
K. Cousins 1728 YDS / 11 TD

Injury listings (72)

NFL injury listings
Team Player Status Note
Arizona Cardinals Andrew Wingard Out Wingard (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Lions, Bo Brack of GoPHNX.com reports.
Arizona Cardinals Marvin Harrison Jr. Out A trade for Harrison will not be completed "until after Sunday's games are played," but the Cardinals "feel comfortable enough" knowing it will occur that they will deactivate him for Sunday's game against the Lions, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
Atlanta Falcons Za'Darius Smith Out Smith (concussion/neck) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Ravens, Tori McElhaney of the Falcons' official site reports.
Baltimore Ravens Cam Jurgens Out Jurgens (concussion) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Falcons, Adam Caplan of SiriusXM NFL Radio reports.
Baltimore Ravens Lamar Jackson Out Jackson (ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday night's game against the Falcons, Cordell Woodland of 105.7 The Fan Baltimore reports.
Baltimore Ravens Trey Hendrickson Out Hendrickson (finger) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Falcons, Adam Caplan of SiriusXM NFL Radio reports.
Chicago Bears Anthony Johnson Jr. Out out
Chicago Bears Keyshaun Elliott Out Elliott (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers.
Chicago Bears Kyle Monangai Out Monangai (toe) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers, Patrick Finley of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
Chicago Bears Kyler Gordon Out Gordon (calf) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers.
Chicago Bears Shemar Turner Out Turner (knee) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against Green Bay.
Cincinnati Bengals Kyle Dugger Out Dugger (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Dolphins, Paul Dehner Jr. of The Athletic reports.
Cleveland Browns Carsen Ryan Out Ryan (calf) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports.
Cleveland Browns Mason Graham Out Graham (knee/ankle) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports.
Cleveland Browns Mike Hall Jr. Out Hall (ankle) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports.
Cleveland Browns Teven Jenkins Out Jenkins (back) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports.
Cleveland Browns Tylan Wallace Out Wallace (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jets, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports.
Denver Broncos Pat Surtain II Out Surtain (ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Chargers, Aric DiLalla of the Broncos' official site reports.
Denver Broncos Riley Moss Out Moss (ribs) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Chargers, Aric DiLalla of the Broncos' official site reports.
Detroit Lions Ben Bartch Out Bartch (foot) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against Arizona.
Detroit Lions Brian Branch Out Branch (Achilles) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Cardinals.
Detroit Lions Rock Ya-Sin Out Ya-Sin (hamstring) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Cardinals.
Green Bay Packers Micah Parsons Out Parsons (knee), per head coach Matt LaFleur, will not practice this week, Weston Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports.
Indianapolis Colts Ashton Dulin Out Dulin (hamstring) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Steelers.
Indianapolis Colts Darius Slayton Out Slayton (knee) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Steelers.
Indianapolis Colts Jaylon Carlies Out Carlies (ribs) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Steelers.
Las Vegas Raiders Jalen Nailor Out Nailor (concussion) has been ruled out for Sunday's game at New England, Paul Gutierrez of ESPN.com reports.
Las Vegas Raiders Trey Zuhn III Out Zuhn (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Patriots, Paul Gutierrez of Raiders.com reports.
Los Angeles Chargers Brenen Thompson Out Thompson (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Broncos.
Los Angeles Chargers Derwin James Jr. Out James (hamstring) has been ruled out against the Broncos on Sunday.
Los Angeles Chargers Donte Jackson Out Jackson (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Broncos.
Los Angeles Chargers Joe Alt Out Alt (neck) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Broncos.
Los Angeles Chargers Kayode Awosika Out Awosika (lower leg) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Broncos.
Los Angeles Chargers Quentin Johnston Out Johnston (chest) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against Denver.
Miami Dolphins Caleb Douglas Out Douglas (ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bengals, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.
Miami Dolphins Justin Joly Out Joly (concussion) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Bengals.
Miami Dolphins Reese Taylor Out Taylor (quadriceps) has been ruled out ahead of the Dolphins' Week 5 matchup with the Bengals, Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald reported Monday.
Miami Dolphins Robert Beal Jr. Out Beal (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bengals.
Miami Dolphins Storm Duck Out Duck (knee) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against the Bengals, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.
Minnesota Vikings Charles Demmings Out Demmings (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Saints.
Minnesota Vikings Christian Darrisaw Out Darrisaw (concussion) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Saints.
New England Patriots Carlton Davis III Out Davis (neck) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Raiders.
New England Patriots Channing Canada Out Canada (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Raiders.
New England Patriots Christian Gonzalez Out Gonzalez (shoulder) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against Las Vegas.
New England Patriots Karon Prunty Out Prunty (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against Las Vegas.
New Orleans Saints Anfernee Jennings Out Jennings (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Vikings, Emily Leiker of The Minnesota Star Tribune reports.
New Orleans Saints Jeremiah Wright Out Wright (concussion) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Vikings, Emily Leiker of The Minnesota Star Tribune reports.
New Orleans Saints Kaden Elliss Out Elliss (calf) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Vikings, Emily Leiker of The Minnesota Star Tribune reports.
New York Giants Jason Pinnock Out Pinnock (concussion) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Commanders.
New York Jets Adonai Mitchell Out Mitchell (finger) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Browns, Brian Costello of the New York Post reports.
New York Jets Breece Hall Out Hall (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Browns, Brian Costello of the New York Post reports.
New York Jets Dylan Parham Out Parham (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Browns, Brian Costello of the New York Post reports.
New York Jets Kiko Mauigoa Out Mauigoa (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Browns, Brian Costello of the New York Post reports.
Philadelphia Eagles DeVonta Smith Out Smith (hamstring) is doing rehab work on a side field at Friday's practice, EJ Smith of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
Philadelphia Eagles Drew Kendall Out Kendall (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Jaguars.
Philadelphia Eagles Hollywood Brown Out Brown (ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Jaguars.
Philadelphia Eagles Marcus Epps Out Epps (groin) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Jaguars.
Philadelphia Eagles Saquon Barkley Out Barkley (hamstring) wasn't spotted at Friday's practice, EJ Smith of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
Pittsburgh Steelers Jamel Dean Out Dean (ankle) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Colts, Mark Kaboly of 93.7 The Fan Pittsburgh reports.
San Francisco 49ers James Thompson Jr. Out Thompson (ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Seahawks.
San Francisco 49ers Kyle Juszczyk Out San Francisco head coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Juszczyk will miss multiple weeks after hyperextending and sustaining a bone bruise to his right knee in Sunday's 24-14 win over the Broncos, Matt Barrows of The Athletic reports.
San Francisco 49ers Marques Sigle Out out
San Francisco 49ers Nick Bosa Out Bosa (calf) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Seahawks.
Seattle Seahawks Chazz Surratt Out Surratt (calf) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the 49ers, Bob Condotta of The Seattle Times reports.
Seattle Seahawks Zach Charbonnet Out Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald said Monday that Charbonnet (knee) won't be activated from the reserve/PUP list in advance of Sunday's game against the 49ers, Gregg Bell of The Tacoma News Tribune reports.
Tennessee Titans Amani Hooker Out Hooker (concussion) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Texans, Jim Wyatt of the Titans' official site reports.
Washington Commanders Charles Omenihu Out Omenihu (groin/ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Giants.
Washington Commanders Marcus Mariota Out Mariota (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Giants.
Washington Commanders Nick Cross Out Cross (illness) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Giants.
Washington Commanders Percy Butler Out Butler (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Giants.
Washington Commanders Stefon Diggs Out Diggs (hamstring) wasn't spotted at Friday's practice, Tashan Reed of The Washington Post reports.
Washington Commanders Tyler Owens Out Owens (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Giants.

NBA (4 games)

NBA board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
Dallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets
5:00 AM CT
Rockets
73%
STRONG
27% / 73%
AWAY 1386
HOME 1570
+222 edge
C. Flagg 21.0 PTS / 4.5 AST / 6.7 REB
N. Marshall 15.2 PTS / 3.3 AST / 4.7 REB
P. Washington 14.2 PTS / 1.8 AST / 7.0 REB
K. Durant 26.0 PTS / 4.8 AST / 5.5 REB
A. Sengun 20.4 PTS / 6.2 AST / 8.9 REB
A. Thompson 18.3 PTS / 5.3 AST / 7.8 REB
MechaPip
Orlando Magic @ Cleveland Cavaliers
5:30 PM CT
Cavaliers
60%
LEAN
40% / 60%
AWAY 1528
HOME 1568
+78 edge
P. Banchero 22.2 PTS / 5.2 AST / 8.4 REB
F. Wagner 20.6 PTS / 3.3 AST / 5.2 REB
D. Bane 20.1 PTS / 4.1 AST / 4.1 REB
D. Mitchell 27.9 PTS / 5.7 AST / 4.5 REB
J. Harden 23.6 PTS / 8.0 AST / 4.8 REB
E. Mobley 18.2 PTS / 3.6 AST / 9.0 REB
Milwaukee Bucks @ Charlotte Hornets
6:00 PM CT
Hornets
73%
STRONG
27% / 73%
AWAY 1388
HOME 1593
+242 edge
G. Antetokounmpo 27.6 PTS / 5.4 AST / 9.8 REB
K. Porter Jr. 17.4 PTS / 7.4 AST / 5.2 REB
R. Rollins 17.3 PTS / 5.6 AST / 4.6 REB
B. Miller 20.2 PTS / 3.3 AST / 4.9 REB
L. Ball 20.1 PTS / 7.1 AST / 4.8 REB
K. Knueppel 18.5 PTS / 3.4 AST / 5.3 REB
MechaPip
Chicago Bulls @ Denver Nuggets
8:00 PM CT
Nuggets
80%
STRONG
20% / 80%
AWAY 1385
HOME 1574
+227 edge
J. Giddey 17.0 PTS / 9.1 AST / 8.3 REB
M. Buzelis 16.3 PTS / 2.1 AST / 5.8 REB
C. Sexton 15.4 PTS / 3.3 AST / 2.3 REB
N. Jokić 27.7 PTS / 10.7 AST / 12.9 REB
J. Murray 25.4 PTS / 7.1 AST / 4.4 REB
A. Gordon 16.2 PTS / 2.7 AST / 5.8 REB
MechaPip

Injury listings (1)

NBA injury listings
Team Player Status Note
Orlando Magic Izaiyah Nelson Out Team president Jeff Weltman said Monday that Nelson (ankle) remains about a month away from returning to the court after offseason surgery, per Philip Rossman-Reich of OrlandoMagicDaily.com.

NHL (3 games)

NHL board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
Seattle Kraken @ Washington Capitals
4:00 PM CT
Capitals
65%
MODERATE
35% / 65%
AWAY 1489
HOME 1512
+44 edge
J. Eberle 26 G / 29 A / 55 P
M. Beniers 20 G / 30 A / 50 P
C. Stephenson 16 G / 33 A / 49 P
A. Ovechkin 32 G / 32 A / 64 P
T. Wilson 30 G / 32 A / 62 P
J. Chychrun 26 G / 34 A / 60 P
Vancouver Canucks @ New York Rangers
5:00 PM CT
Rangers
71%
STRONG
29% / 71%
AWAY 1477
HOME 1503
+48 edge
E. Pettersson 15 G / 36 A / 51 P
F. Hronek 8 G / 41 A / 49 P
B. Boeser 22 G / 26 A / 48 P
M. Zibanejad 34 G / 44 A / 78 P
A. Lafreniere 24 G / 33 A / 57 P
V. Trocheck 16 G / 37 A / 53 P
Carolina Hurricanes @ Philadelphia Flyers
6:00 PM CT
Hurricanes
67%
MODERATE
67% / 33%
AWAY 1535
HOME 1483
+30 edge
S. Aho 27 G / 53 A / 80 P
N. Ehlers 26 G / 45 A / 71 P
A. Svechnikov 31 G / 39 A / 70 P
T. Konecny 27 G / 41 A / 68 P
T. Zegras 26 G / 41 A / 67 P
O. Tippett 28 G / 23 A / 51 P

Injury listings (3)

NHL injury listings
Team Player Status Note
Carolina Hurricanes Alexander Nikishin Out out
Philadelphia Flyers Cam York Out out
Philadelphia Flyers Travis Konecny Out out

MLB (1 game)

MLB board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers
7:00 PM CT
Brewers
52%
LEAN
48% / 52%
AWAY 1567
HOME 1567
+15 edge
S. Ohtani 30 HR / 81 RBI / 0.275 AVG
M. Muncy 29 HR / 76 RBI / 0.252 AVG
A. Pages 23 HR / 85 RBI / 0.274 AVG
J. Bauers 26 HR / 86 RBI / 0.266 AVG
J. Chourio 25 HR / 75 RBI / 0.291 AVG
B. Turang 21 HR / 100 RBI / 0.268 AVG

Novig prices ride beside the model where the venue has a market - live contract quotes as of 2026-10-11T10:05Z UTC, raw and fees not included. MechaPip uses a Novig partner link; Novig sets the offer and its terms.

Restrictions & requirements apply. Not available in all states. 21+. Event contract trading involves risk & is not appropriate for all. Consider if it's appropriate for you in light of financial circumstances. See novig.com/terms for information.

FAQ

What does Win% mean?
Win% is the model's projected chance that the listed favorite wins the game. The second line shows the away and home split.
How does MechaPip pick a favorite?
MechaPip scores every team with calibrated Elo ratings built from season history, then enriches each matchup with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. The higher projected side is the forecast.
What is the rating edge?
The rating edge is the projected winner's Elo rating-point margin after the home-field adjustment. The Ratings column shows each team's Elo rating and that edge.
What do the confidence tiers mean?
70%+ = High-confidence forecast. 60-69% = Moderate-confidence forecast. 50-59% = Slight favorite.
What do top-player lines show?
Season stat leaders for each side. Totals vary by sport (points, yards, goals, or batting line).
What is MechaPicks?
MechaPicks are MechaPip's five highest-confidence picks of the day (fewer when the board is smaller). The MechaPip mark in the MechaPicks column shows those picks on the board. Rows without the mark are model forecasts only.
What injury statuses are shown?
Out listings for teams on today's board. Public ESPN injury listings, refreshed throughout the day.
How does MechaPip use injuries?
Out and Doubtful listings can adjust team Elo ratings before a forecast. The blog table shows Out players only.
For analysis only. Not financial advice.
MechaPip  -  calibrated Elo ratings

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