Win% is the model's projected chance that the listed favorite wins the game. The second line shows the away and home split.

How does MechaPip pick a favorite?

MechaPip scores every team with calibrated Elo ratings built from season history, then enriches each matchup with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. The higher projected side is the forecast.

What is the rating edge?

The rating edge is the projected winner's Elo rating-point margin after the home-field adjustment. The Ratings column shows each team's Elo rating and that edge.

What do the confidence tiers mean?

70%+ = High-confidence forecast. 60-69% = Moderate-confidence forecast. 50-59% = Slight favorite.

What do top-player lines show?

Season stat leaders for each side. Totals vary by sport (points, yards, goals, or batting line).

The MechaPip logo in the MechaPicks column means MechaPip signaled that pick (paper or live). Rows without the logo are model forecasts only.

What injury statuses are shown?

Out listings for teams on today's board. Public ESPN injury listings, refreshed throughout the day.

How does MechaPip use injuries?

Out and Doubtful listings can adjust team Elo ratings before a forecast. The blog table shows Out players only.

MechaPip: MechaPip Predictions

Predictions for October 04, 2026

25 games across 5 sports

Free sports predictions for October 04, 2026: 25 games across NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB and WNBA. Win probabilities come from MechaPip's calibrated Elo ratings.

Highest-confidence forecasts

NBA Utah Jazz @ Denver Nuggets — Nuggets 95% · 6:00 PM CT
NFL Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens — Ravens 84% · 12:00 PM CT
NFL Miami Dolphins @ Minnesota Vikings — Vikings 81% · 3:05 PM CT
NFL New York Jets @ Chicago Bears — Bears 77% · 12:00 PM CT
NFL Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks — Seahawks 77% · 3:25 PM CT

NFL (14 games)

NFL board
Matchup	Forecast	Win%	Ratings	Top Away Players	Top Home Players
Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders 8:30 AM CT	Commanders	57% LEAN 43% / 57%	AWAY 1401 HOME 1420 +52 edge	D. Jones 3265 YDS / 24 TD J. Taylor 1963 YDS / 20 TD A. Pierce 1003 YDS / 6 TD	M. Mariota 1992 YDS / 11 TD J. Daniels 1540 YDS / 10 TD J. Croskey-Merritt 873 YDS / 8 TD
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills 12:00 PM CT	Bills	66% MODERATE 34% / 66%	AWAY 1558 HOME 1638 +113 edge	D. Maye 4846 YDS / 35 TD T. Henderson 1132 YDS / 10 TD S. Diggs 1013 YDS / 4 TD	J. Allen 4247 YDS / 39 TD J. Cook III 1912 YDS / 14 TD K. Shakir 724 YDS / 4 TD
New York Jets @ Chicago Bears 12:00 PM CT	Bears	77% STRONG 23% / 77%	AWAY 1411 HOME 1583 +204 edge	J. Fields 1642 YDS / 11 TD B. Hall 1419 YDS / 6 TD T. Taylor 922 YDS / 6 TD	C. Williams 4352 YDS / 31 TD D. Swift 1386 YDS / 10 TD K. Monangai 947 YDS / 5 TD
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals 12:00 PM CT	Jaguars	50% LEAN 50% / 50%	AWAY 1599 HOME 1566 +34 edge	T. Lawrence 4366 YDS / 38 TD T. Etienne Jr. 1399 YDS / 13 TD J. Meyers 848 YDS / 3 TD	J. Flacco 2514 YDS / 16 TD J. Burrow 1850 YDS / 17 TD C. Brown 1456 YDS / 11 TD
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants 12:00 PM CT	Giants	67% MODERATE 33% / 67%	AWAY 1418 HOME 1509 +124 edge	J. Brissett 3534 YDS / 24 TD T. McBride 1239 YDS / 11 TD K. Murray 1135 YDS / 7 TD	J. Dart 2759 YDS / 24 TD T. Tracy Jr. 1028 YDS / 4 TD W. Robinson 1019 YDS / 4 TD
Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles 12:00 PM CT	Rams	61% MODERATE 61% / 39%	AWAY 1589 HOME 1487 +102 edge	M. Stafford 4708 YDS / 46 TD P. Nacua 1820 YDS / 11 TD K. Williams 1533 YDS / 13 TD	J. Hurts 3645 YDS / 33 TD S. Barkley 1413 YDS / 9 TD D. Smith 1008 YDS / 4 TD
Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12:00 PM CT	Packers	55% LEAN 55% / 45%	AWAY 1499 HOME 1436 +63 edge	J. Love 3580 YDS / 23 TD J. Jacobs 1211 YDS / 14 TD R. Doubs 724 YDS / 6 TD	B. Mayfield 4075 YDS / 27 TD E. Egbuka 947 YDS / 6 TD B. Irving 865 YDS / 4 TD
Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens 12:00 PM CT	Ravens	84% STRONG 16% / 84%	AWAY 1371 HOME 1624 +285 edge	C. Ward 3328 YDS / 17 TD T. Pollard 1288 YDS / 5 TD C. Okonkwo 560 YDS / 2 TD	L. Jackson 2898 YDS / 23 TD D. Henry 1745 YDS / 16 TD Z. Flowers 1273 YDS / 6 TD
Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans 12:00 PM CT	Texans	63% MODERATE 37% / 63%	AWAY 1456 HOME 1520 +97 edge	D. Prescott 4729 YDS / 32 TD G. Pickens 1429 YDS / 9 TD J. Williams 1338 YDS / 13 TD	C. Stroud 3250 YDS / 20 TD N. Collins 1132 YDS / 7 TD D. Mills 975 YDS / 6 TD
Miami Dolphins @ Minnesota Vikings 3:05 PM CT	Vikings	81% STRONG 19% / 81%	AWAY 1336 HOME 1559 +256 edge	T. Tagovailoa 2703 YDS / 20 TD D. Achane 1838 YDS / 12 TD J. Waddle 946 YDS / 6 TD	J. McCarthy 1813 YDS / 15 TD C. Wentz 1273 YDS / 6 TD J. Jefferson 1055 YDS / 2 TD
Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders 3:25 PM CT	Chiefs	67% MODERATE 67% / 33%	AWAY 1510 HOME 1363 +147 edge	P. Mahomes 3999 YDS / 27 TD T. Kelce 852 YDS / 5 TD K. Hunt 754 YDS / 9 TD	G. Smith 3134 YDS / 19 TD A. Jeanty 1321 YDS / 10 TD T. Tucker 747 YDS / 5 TD
Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers 3:25 PM CT	49ers	66% MODERATE 34% / 66%	AWAY 1550 HOME 1629 +112 edge	B. Nix 4287 YDS / 30 TD C. Sutton 1017 YDS / 7 TD R. Harvey 896 YDS / 12 TD	B. Purdy 2314 YDS / 23 TD M. Jones 2211 YDS / 13 TD C. McCaffrey 2126 YDS / 17 TD
Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks 3:25 PM CT	Seahawks	77% STRONG 23% / 77%	AWAY 1465 HOME 1643 +210 edge	J. Herbert 4225 YDS / 28 TD L. McConkey 789 YDS / 6 TD K. Vidal 779 YDS / 4 TD	S. Darnold 4143 YDS / 25 TD J. Smith-Njigba 1829 YDS / 10 TD K. Walker III 1309 YDS / 5 TD
Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers 7:20 PM CT	Lions	61% MODERATE 61% / 39%	AWAY 1551 HOME 1450 +101 edge	J. Goff 4609 YDS / 34 TD J. Gibbs 1839 YDS / 18 TD A. St. Brown 1410 YDS / 11 TD	B. Young 3227 YDS / 25 TD R. Dowdle 1373 YDS / 7 TD T. McMillan 1014 YDS / 7 TD

Injury listings (62)

NFL injury listings
Team	Player	Status	Note
Arizona Cardinals	Dadrion Taylor-Demerson	Out	Taylor-Demerson (back) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Giants, Zach Gershman of the Cardinals' official site reports.
Baltimore Ravens	Trey Hendrickson	Out	out
Carolina Panthers	Damien Lewis	Out	Lewis (elbow) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Lions, Alex Zietlow of The Charlotte Observer reports.
Chicago Bears	Anthony Johnson Jr.	Out	out
Chicago Bears	Caleb Williams	Out	out
Chicago Bears	Kyler Gordon	Out	Gordon (calf) was estimated as a full participant on the Bears' official injury report Wednesday.
Chicago Bears	Noah Sewell	Out	The Bears opened the 21-day practice window for Sewell (Achilles) on Wednesday, Kevin Fishbain of The Athletic reports.
Chicago Bears	Shemar Turner	Out	The Bears opened the 21-day practice window for Turner (knee) on Wednesday, Kevin Fishbain of The Athletic reports.
Cincinnati Bengals	Colbie Young	Out	Young (knee) is not expected to play in Week 4 against the Jaguars, Jay Morrison of SI.com reports.
Cincinnati Bengals	Kyle Dugger	Out	Dugger (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Jaguars, Charlie Clifford of NBC 5 Cincinnati reports.
Dallas Cowboys	Cobie Durant	Out	Durant (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Texans, Todd Archer of ESPN.com reports.
Dallas Cowboys	DeMarvion Overshown	Out	Overshown (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game versus the Texans, Todd Archer of ESPN.com reports.
Denver Broncos	Dondrea Tillman	Out	Tillman (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the 49ers.
Detroit Lions	Ben Bartch	Out	Bartch (foot) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Panthers.
Detroit Lions	Brian Branch	Out	Head coach Dan Campbell said Friday that Branch (Achilles) is close to returning, Tim Twentyman of the Lions' official site reports.
Green Bay Packers	Aaron Banks	Out	Banks (toe/knee) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Buccaneers, Wes Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports.
Green Bay Packers	Anthony Campbell	Out	Campbell (ankle) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Buccaneers, Wes Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports.
Green Bay Packers	Jacob Monk	Out	Monk (quadriceps) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Buccaneers, Wes Hodkiewicz of the Packers' official site reports.
Green Bay Packers	Micah Parsons	Out	Packers head coach Matt LaFleur said Monday that Parsons (knee) hasn't experienced any setbacks but won't be cleared to practice this week, Rob Demovsky of ESPN.com reports.
Houston Texans	Azeez Al-Shaair	Out	Al-Shaair (groin) is listed as out for Sunday's game against Dallas.
Houston Texans	M.J. Stewart	Out	Stewart (knee) practiced in full Thursday.
Indianapolis Colts	Keenan Allen	Out	Allen (groin) has been downgraded to out for Sunday's game against Washington.
Kansas City Chiefs	Josh Simmons	Out	Simmons (back) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Raiders.
Las Vegas Raiders	Jackson Powers-Johnson	Out	out
Los Angeles Chargers	Brenen Thompson	Out	Thompson (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Seahawks.
Los Angeles Chargers	Charlie Kolar	Out	Kolar (forearm) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Seahawks.
Los Angeles Chargers	Dalvin Tomlinson	Out	Tomlinson (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Seahawks.
Los Angeles Chargers	Kayode Awosika	Out	out
Los Angeles Rams	Aaron Donald	Out	Donald (back) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Eagles, Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports.
Los Angeles Rams	Jaylen Watson	Out	Watson (shoulder) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Eagles, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports.
Miami Dolphins	Caleb Douglas	Out	Douglas (ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Vikings, Marcel Louis-Jacques of ESPN.com reports.
Miami Dolphins	Robert Beal Jr.	Out	Beal (hamstring) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Vikings, Marcel Louis-Jacques of ESPN.com reports.
Miami Dolphins	Storm Duck	Out	The Dolphins opened Duck's (knee) 21-day practice window Wednesday, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.
Minnesota Vikings	Brett Thorson	Out	Thorson (hamstring) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Dolphins.
Minnesota Vikings	Charles Demmings	Out	Demmings (hamstring) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Dolphins.
Minnesota Vikings	Justin Jefferson	Out	Jefferson (ankle) has been already been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Dolphins, but the Vikings are hopeful that the superstar wide receiver will return for Week 5 against the Saints, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN reports.
New England Patriots	Channing Canada	Out	Canada (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's matchup against Buffalo.
New England Patriots	Christian Barmore	Out	Barmore (shoulder) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bills, Mike Reiss of ESPN.com reports.
New England Patriots	Christian Gonzalez	Out	Gonzalez (shoulder) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bills, Mike Reiss of ESPN.com reports.
New York Jets	Adonai Mitchell	Out	Mitchell (finger) is out for Sunday's game against the Bears, Zack Rosenblatt reports.
New York Jets	Breece Hall	Out	Hall (quadriceps) is out for Sunday's game at Chicago, according to Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic.
New York Jets	Dylan Parham	Out	Parham (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bears, Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic reports.
New York Jets	Kiko Mauigoa	Out	Mauigoa (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bears, Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic reports.
New York Jets	Mason Taylor	Out	Taylor (thumb) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bears, Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic reports.
Philadelphia Eagles	Dallas Goedert	Out	Goedert (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Rams.
Philadelphia Eagles	DeVonta Smith	Out	Smith (hamstring) remained sidelined for Friday's practice, Zach Berman of The Athletic reports.
Philadelphia Eagles	Fred Johnson	Out	Johnson (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Rams.
Philadelphia Eagles	Hollywood Brown	Out	Brown (ankle) is listed as out ahead of Sunday's game against the Rams.
Philadelphia Eagles	Marcus Epps	Out	Epps (groin) is listed as out for Sunday's game against the Rams.
Philadelphia Eagles	Zack Baun	Out	Baun (concussion) won't play in Sunday's game against the Rams.
San Francisco 49ers	James Thompson Jr.	Out	Thompson (ankle) won't play in San Francisco's Week 4 matchup versus the Broncos, Jennifer Lee Chan of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
San Francisco 49ers	Mykel Williams	Out	The 49ers opened Williams' (knee) 21-day practice window Wednesday to return from the reserve/PUP list, Matt Maiocco of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
San Francisco 49ers	Nick Bosa	Out	Coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Bosa (calf) won't play this coming Sunday against the Broncos, Cam Inman of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
Seattle Seahawks	Zach Charbonnet	Out	Charbonnet (knee) was a limited practice participant Thursday and Friday, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Baker Mayfield	Out	Buccaneers head coach Todd Bowles said Monday that Mayfield (thumb) is expected to miss three weeks, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Benjamin Morrison	Out	Morrison (quadriceps) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Ko Kieft	Out	Kieft (elbow) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Rueben Bain Jr.	Out	Bain (groin) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Packers, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.
Washington Commanders	Jayden Daniels	Out	Daniels (elbow), per head coach Dan Quinn, has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Colts in London, Nicki Jhabvala of The Athletic reports.
Washington Commanders	Nick Cross	Out	Cross (illness) won't travel to London with the Commanders and has been ruled out for Sunday's matchup against the Colts.
Washington Commanders	Rachaad White	Out	White (shoulder) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Colts.
Washington Commanders	Sam Cosmi	Out	Cosmi (concussion) isn't traveling with the Commanders to London and won't play Sunday versus Indianapolis.

NBA (2 games)

NBA board
Matchup	Forecast	Win%	Ratings	Top Away Players	Top Home Players	MechaPicks
Utah Jazz @ Denver Nuggets 6:00 PM CT	Nuggets	95% STRONG 5% / 95%	AWAY 1329 HOME 1605 +355 edge	L. Markkanen 26.7 PTS / 2.1 AST / 6.9 REB K. George 23.6 PTS / 6.1 AST / 3.7 REB J. Jackson Jr. 19.4 PTS / 2.0 AST / 5.7 REB	N. Jokić 27.7 PTS / 10.7 AST / 12.9 REB J. Murray 25.4 PTS / 7.1 AST / 4.4 REB A. Gordon 16.2 PTS / 2.7 AST / 5.8 REB
Golden State Warriors @ LA Clippers 6:00 PM CT	Clippers	69% MODERATE 31% / 69%	AWAY 1490 HOME 1500 +90 edge	S. Curry 26.6 PTS / 4.7 AST / 3.6 REB J. Butler III 20.0 PTS / 4.9 AST / 5.6 REB K. Porziņģis 16.7 PTS / 2.5 AST / 5.2 REB	K. Leonard 27.9 PTS / 3.6 AST / 6.4 REB D. Garland 18.8 PTS / 6.7 AST / 2.4 REB B. Mathurin 17.6 PTS / 2.4 AST / 5.4 REB

Injury listings (5)

NBA injury listings
Team	Player	Status	Note
Golden State Warriors	Jimmy Butler III	Out	The Warriors hope to have Butler (knee) back early in 2027, per Keith Watkins of Yahoo Sports.
Golden State Warriors	Moses Moody	Out	Moody has progressed to light on-court activities as he continues his recovery from a ruptured left patellar tendon, Evan Webeck of The Mercury News reports.
Los Angeles Clippers	Brandon Ingram	Out	Ingram won't be ready for the start of the season due to a partially torn Achilles, per Joey Linn of SI.com.
Los Angeles Clippers	Jordan Miller	Out	Miller underwent surgery Wednesday to repair a torn left rotator cuff and will be re-evaluated in six months, per Law Murray of The Athletic.
Los Angeles Clippers	Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Out	Niederhauser (foot) won't be ready for the start of the season, Law Murray of The Athletic reports.

NHL (5 games)

NHL board
Matchup	Forecast	Win%	Ratings	Top Away Players	Top Home Players
Winnipeg Jets @ Detroit Red Wings 12:00 PM CT	Wings	55% LEAN 45% / 55%	AWAY 1502 HOME 1496 +7 edge	M. Scheifele 36 G / 67 A / 103 P K. Connor 39 G / 53 A / 92 P G. Vilardi 30 G / 39 A / 69 P	A. DeBrincat 41 G / 44 A / 85 P L. Raymond 25 G / 51 A / 76 P D. Larkin 34 G / 33 A / 67 P
Utah Mammoth @ New York Rangers 5:00 PM CT	Rangers	50% LEAN 50% / 50%	AWAY 1500 HOME 1499 +12 edge	C. Keller 26 G / 62 A / 88 P N. Schmaltz 33 G / 41 A / 74 P D. Guenther 40 G / 33 A / 73 P	M. Zibanejad 34 G / 44 A / 78 P A. Lafreniere 24 G / 33 A / 57 P V. Trocheck 16 G / 37 A / 53 P
Florida Panthers @ Anaheim Ducks 7:00 PM CT	Ducks	56% LEAN 44% / 56%	AWAY 1513 HOME 1484 +0 edge	S. Reinhart 29 G / 32 A / 61 P S. Bennett 26 G / 32 A / 58 P C. Verhaeghe 25 G / 30 A / 55 P	C. Gauthier 41 G / 28 A / 69 P L. Carlsson 29 G / 38 A / 67 P J. Carlson 14 G / 46 A / 60 P
Calgary Flames @ Seattle Kraken 7:00 PM CT	Kraken	59% LEAN 41% / 59%	AWAY 1484 HOME 1486 +14 edge	M. Coronato 18 G / 27 A / 45 P M. Backlund 17 G / 26 A / 43 P M. Frost 22 G / 21 A / 43 P	J. Eberle 26 G / 29 A / 55 P M. Beniers 20 G / 30 A / 50 P C. Stephenson 16 G / 33 A / 49 P
Vegas Golden Knights @ Vancouver Canucks 8:00 PM CT	Golden Knights	70% MODERATE 70% / 30%	AWAY 1520 HOME 1481 +38 edge	J. Eichel 27 G / 63 A / 90 P M. Marner 24 G / 56 A / 80 P M. Stone 28 G / 45 A / 73 P	E. Pettersson 15 G / 36 A / 51 P F. Hronek 8 G / 41 A / 49 P B. Boeser 22 G / 26 A / 48 P

Injury listings (4)

NHL injury listings
Team	Player	Status	Note
Detroit Red Wings	Marco Kasper	Out	out
Detroit Red Wings	Simon Edvinsson	Out	Edvinsson, who is a restricted free agent, has returned to Sweden to resume his training, per Andreas III Johnsson of Goteborgs-Posten on Wednesday.
Vancouver Canucks	Jake DeBrusk	Out	DeBrusk will miss Saturday's game against Calgary because of an illness, per Canucks play-by-play announcer Brendan Batchelor.
Vegas Golden Knights	Raphael Lavoie	Out	out

MLB (2 games)

MLB board
Matchup	Forecast	Win%	Ratings	Top Away Players	Top Home Players	MechaPicks
San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers 3:00 PM CT	Brewers	57% LEAN 43% / 57%	AWAY 1532 HOME 1568 +58 edge	M. Machado 30 HR / 91 RBI / 0.217 AVG J. Merrill 26 HR / 87 RBI / 0.254 AVG F. Tatis Jr. 25 HR / 83 RBI / 0.289 AVG	J. Bauers 26 HR / 86 RBI / 0.266 AVG J. Chourio 25 HR / 75 RBI / 0.291 AVG B. Turang 21 HR / 100 RBI / 0.268 AVG
Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers 7:00 PM CT	Dodgers	56% LEAN 44% / 56%	AWAY 1533 HOME 1567 +54 edge	M. Olson 41 HR / 93 RBI / 0.251 AVG M. Harris II 26 HR / 87 RBI / 0.294 AVG D. Baldwin 25 HR / 79 RBI / 0.284 AVG	S. Ohtani 30 HR / 81 RBI / 0.275 AVG M. Muncy 29 HR / 76 RBI / 0.252 AVG A. Pages 23 HR / 85 RBI / 0.274 AVG

WNBA (2 games)

WNBA board
Matchup	Forecast	Win%	Ratings	Top Away Players	Top Home Players	MechaPicks
New York Liberty @ Atlanta Dream 1:00 PM CT	Dream	59% LEAN 41% / 59%	AWAY 1551 HOME 1551 +57 edge	B. Stewart 20.8 PTS / 3.3 AST / 8.3 REB S. Ionescu 14.6 PTS / 4.7 AST / 3.8 REB J. Jones 14.5 PTS / 2.6 AST / 9.1 REB	A. Gray 19.0 PTS / 2.6 AST / 3.5 REB R. Howard 17.7 PTS / 3.7 AST / 3.8 REB A. Reese 16.4 PTS / 2.8 AST / 12.1 REB
Las Vegas Aces @ Golden State Valkyries 3:00 PM CT	Valkyries	56% LEAN 44% / 56%	AWAY 1578 HOME 1567 +47 edge	A. Wilson 26.2 PTS / 3.2 AST / 9.4 REB J. Young 18.9 PTS / 6.8 AST / 4.4 REB C. Carter 12.2 PTS / 1.3 AST / 1.8 REB	G. Williams 14.4 PTS / 2.2 AST / 3.3 REB J. Salaun 12.7 PTS / 1.2 AST / 4.0 REB V. Burton 12.2 PTS / 5.7 AST / 3.6 REB

Injury listings (7)

WNBA injury listings
Team	Player	Status	Note
Atlanta Dream	Brionna Jones	Out	Jones will miss the remainder of the season after sustaining a left leg injury against the Sun on Aug. 13, Annie Costabile of The Athletic reports.
Atlanta Dream	Matilde Villa	Out	Villa (coach's decision) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against New York.
Golden State Valkyries	Iliana Rupert	Out	Rupert is pregnant, and the Valkyries have filed for a replacement contract ahead of the 2026 season, Alexa Philippou of ESPN.com reports Thursday.
Las Vegas Aces	Dana Evans	Out	Evans (knee) is out for Game 1 of the semifinals against the Valkyries on Sunday.
Las Vegas Aces	NaLyssa Smith	Out	The Aces announced Thursday that Smith will be sidelined for the rest of the season after suffering a non-contact left leg injury during Sunday's game versus the Tempo, per Chelsea Leite of TSN.
New York Liberty	Elizabeth Balogun	Out	Balogun (not with team) is out for Wednesday's game against the Dream.
New York Liberty	Satou Sabally	Out	out

FAQ

What does Win% mean?: Win% is the model's projected chance that the listed favorite wins the game. The second line shows the away and home split.
How does MechaPip pick a favorite?: MechaPip scores every team with calibrated Elo ratings built from season history, then enriches each matchup with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. The higher projected side is the forecast.
What is the rating edge?: The rating edge is the projected winner's Elo rating-point margin after the home-field adjustment. The Ratings column shows each team's Elo rating and that edge.
What do the confidence tiers mean?: 70%+ = High-confidence forecast. 60-69% = Moderate-confidence forecast. 50-59% = Slight favorite.
What do top-player lines show?: Season stat leaders for each side. Totals vary by sport (points, yards, goals, or batting line).
What is MechaPicks?: The MechaPip logo in the MechaPicks column means MechaPip signaled that pick (paper or live). Rows without the logo are model forecasts only.
What injury statuses are shown?: Out listings for teams on today's board. Public ESPN injury listings, refreshed throughout the day.
How does MechaPip use injuries?: Out and Doubtful listings can adjust team Elo ratings before a forecast. The blog table shows Out players only.