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MechaPip ELO Edge Model Update - Oct 25, 2026

MechaPip ELO Edge Model Update

Version 2026-10-25 - October 25, 2026

MechaPip ELO Edge ratings updated to version 2026-10-25 on October 25, 2026 across NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, WNBA, NCAAF and NCAAMBB. Each table lists the largest rating movers.

NFL (10 movers)

NFL board
Team Rating Change
Seattle Seahawks 1604.4 -22.5
Denver Broncos 1614.2 +22.3
Tennessee Titans 1270.7 +13.3
Los Angeles Chargers 1350.9 +12.9
Miami Dolphins 1261.4 +12.2
San Francisco 49ers 1721.4 -11.8
Minnesota Vikings 1646.8 -8.3
Carolina Panthers 1532.8 -6.8
Baltimore Ravens 1635.0 -6.6
Buffalo Bills 1674.7 -6.5

NBA (10 movers)

NBA board
Team Rating Change
Miami Heat 1479.4 -53.8
Toronto Raptors 1555.2 +48.3
Atlanta Hawks 1557.3 +45.7
Houston Rockets 1587.0 +39.4
Utah Jazz 1320.7 -35.0
Minnesota Timberwolves 1598.5 +32.2
Washington Wizards 1317.1 +29.3
Charlotte Hornets 1574.2 -23.8
Oklahoma City Thunder 1709.4 +22.8
Portland Trail Blazers 1532.4 +19.4

NHL (10 movers)

NHL board
Team Rating Change
Vancouver Canucks 1396.8 -80.2
Carolina Hurricanes 1606.5 +71.4
Winnipeg Jets 1463.1 -38.3
Los Angeles Kings 1460.0 -38.0
Calgary Flames 1443.2 -36.2
Chicago Blackhawks 1431.2 -32.0
Minnesota Wild 1541.3 +31.4
Dallas Stars 1551.4 +29.6
Boston Bruins 1532.5 +28.9
Tampa Bay Lightning 1552.2 +28.6

MLB (10 movers)

MLB board
Team Rating Change
Los Angeles Dodgers 1556.7 -9.3
Athletics 1450.5 +8.8
Colorado Rockies 1427.9 +7.4
Chicago White Sox 1489.8 -5.9
Milwaukee Brewers 1561.4 -5.8
Los Angeles Angels 1454.3 +5.7
Kansas City Royals 1472.8 +5.4
San Francisco Giants 1488.6 +4.9
Seattle Mariners 1488.8 +4.9
Cincinnati Reds 1471.8 +4.8

WNBA (10 movers)

WNBA board
Team Rating Change
Golden State Valkyries 1652.5 +28.8
Las Vegas Aces 1576.1 -13.9
New York Liberty 1551.7 -7.4
Toronto Tempo 1360.2 -5.6
Atlanta Dream 1620.1 +4.8
Seattle Storm 1387.7 -4.6
Dallas Wings 1543.0 +3.0
Portland Fire 1438.5 -2.6
Connecticut Sun 1383.6 -2.3
Washington Mystics 1519.2 +1.9

NCAAF (10 movers)

NCAAF board
Team Rating Change
Cal Poly Mustangs 1307.1 -110.6
Troy Trojans 1447.5 -106.5
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 1449.5 -102.4
Morgan State Bears 1423.5 -96.8
Idaho Vandals 1488.8 +91.0
Toledo Rockets 1638.2 +90.4
Incarnate Word Cardinals 1580.5 +82.5
Northern Illinois Huskies 1264.2 -80.8
Vanderbilt Commodores 1496.0 -79.0
Lafayette Leopards 1501.9 +75.6

NCAAMBB

No rating movers this cycle.

Model Results

Both markets for every league on the 2026-10-24 read; a push prints and stays out of the decided rate.

MechaPip score model results by sport and market; every SPREAD and TOTAL row is an ordinary 2026-10-24 cell.
Sport Market Games W-L-P Decided Rate Closest total
MLB SPREAD 4,965 2,575-2,390-0 4,965 51.86% —
MLB TOTAL 4,965 2,583-2,382-0 4,965 52.02% 3.55
NBA SPREAD 3,955 1,912-2,043-0 3,955 48.34% —
NBA TOTAL 3,955 2,198-1,757-0 3,955 55.58% 15.91
NHL SPREAD 4,151 2,206-1,945-0 4,151 53.14% —
NHL TOTAL 4,151 2,315-1,836-0 4,151 55.77% 1.86
NFL SPREAD 1,803 836-967-0 1,803 46.37% —
NFL TOTAL 1,971 951-1,020-0 1,971 48.25% 11.17
WNBA SPREAD 2,120 1,017-1,103-0 2,120 47.97% —
WNBA TOTAL 2,120 1,435-685-0 2,120 67.69% 16.28
NCAAF SPREAD 2,596 1,351-1,245-0 2,596 52.04% —
NCAAF TOTAL 2,596 1,179-1,417-0 2,596 45.42% 13.22
NCAAMBB SPREAD 12,309 6,177-6,132-0 12,309 50.18% —
NCAAMBB TOTAL 12,309 6,541-5,768-0 12,309 53.14% 13.99

FAQ

What do the ratings mean?
MechaPip ELO Edge uses Elo ratings built from season-by-season game history. Higher ratings mean a stronger team, and the movers table shows the biggest weekly shifts.
How are final probabilities built?
MechaPip ELO Edge uses Elo ratings enriched with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. Final probabilities pass through the sport's fitted last step before forecasts are published.
For analysis only. Not financial advice.
MechaPip  -  sports forecasts and ratings

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