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MechaPip ELO Edge Model Update - Oct 11, 2026

MechaPip ELO Edge Model Update

Version 2026-10-11 - October 11, 2026

MechaPip ELO Edge ratings updated to version 2026-10-11 on October 11, 2026 across NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, WNBA and NCAAF. Each table lists the largest rating movers.

NFL (10 movers)

NFL board
Team Rating Change
Houston Texans 1406.3 -113.7
Los Angeles Chargers 1357.8 -107.0
Carolina Panthers 1539.7 +89.6
Cleveland Browns 1531.0 +86.8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1348.8 -86.7
Las Vegas Raiders 1446.7 +83.4
Atlanta Falcons 1550.0 +78.7
San Francisco 49ers 1707.4 +78.4
Minnesota Vikings 1633.5 +75.0
Miami Dolphins 1263.9 -71.6

NBA (10 movers)

NBA board
Team Rating Change
Charlotte Hornets 1592.8 +63.6
Golden State Warriors 1450.7 -39.0
Toronto Raptors 1516.9 +36.6
Philadelphia 76ers 1527.0 +36.6
Milwaukee Bucks 1388.2 -34.7
Denver Nuggets 1574.4 -30.3
Utah Jazz 1355.7 +26.5
Memphis Grizzlies 1362.4 -26.3
Washington Wizards 1299.5 +26.3
Portland Trail Blazers 1513.0 +25.1

NHL (10 movers)

NHL board
Team Rating Change
Calgary Flames 1478.3 -6.0
Vancouver Canucks 1477.2 -4.3
New York Rangers 1502.9 +4.1
Philadelphia Flyers 1482.7 -4.0
Buffalo Sabres 1504.1 -3.8
Washington Capitals 1511.9 +3.6
Seattle Kraken 1489.3 +3.6
Edmonton Oilers 1515.4 +3.3
Anaheim Ducks 1486.7 +3.1
Utah Hockey Club 1502.5 +3.0

MLB (10 movers)

MLB board
Team Rating Change
Chicago White Sox 1494.8 -6.1
Cleveland Guardians 1510.6 +3.8
New York Yankees 1544.3 -3.3
Athletics 1441.6 +3.2
San Diego Padres 1529.4 -2.6
Colorado Rockies 1420.5 +2.1
Philadelphia Phillies 1520.5 -2.0
Milwaukee Brewers 1566.6 -1.9
San Francisco Giants 1483.7 +1.9
Kansas City Royals 1467.4 +1.7

WNBA (10 movers)

WNBA board
Team Rating Change
Toronto Tempo 1365.8 -69.5
Atlanta Dream 1615.2 +63.9
Seattle Storm 1392.2 -61.8
Golden State Valkyries 1623.8 +56.6
Dallas Wings 1540.1 +43.4
Washington Mystics 1517.3 +33.9
Connecticut Sun 1385.9 -31.9
Portland Fire 1441.2 -24.8
Indiana Fever 1567.8 +18.4
Phoenix Mercury 1453.3 -16.8

NCAAF (10 movers)

NCAAF board
Team Rating Change
Indiana Hoosiers 1891.7 +177.7
Arizona Wildcats 1727.7 +176.0
New Haven Chargers 1350.9 -153.7
Youngstown State Penguins 1677.0 +149.8
Northwestern Wildcats 1655.1 +144.8
Utah Utes 1763.6 +143.7
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 1708.1 +140.8
Houston Cougars 1703.3 +137.1
Miami Hurricanes 1842.2 +136.0
Kentucky Wildcats 1644.8 +133.3

FAQ

What do the ratings mean?
MechaPip ELO Edge uses calibrated Elo ratings built from season-by-season game history. Higher ratings mean a stronger team, and the movers table shows the biggest weekly shifts.
How are final probabilities built?
MechaPip ELO Edge uses pure Elo ratings enriched with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. Final probabilities pass through Platt calibration before forecasts are published.
For analysis only. Not financial advice.
MechaPip  -  calibrated Elo ratings

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