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MechaPip ELO Edge Model Update - Oct 04, 2026

MechaPip ELO Edge Model Update

Version 2026-10-04 - October 04, 2026

MechaPip ELO Edge ratings updated to version 2026-10-04 on October 04, 2026 across NBA, NHL, MLB and NCAAF. Each table lists the largest rating movers.

NBA (2 movers)

NBA board
Team Rating Change
Miami Heat 1543.4 +34.5
Toronto Raptors 1480.2 -34.5

NHL (10 movers)

NHL board
Team Rating Change
Carolina Hurricanes 1532.9 -58.0
Colorado Avalanche 1537.3 -44.7
Vancouver Canucks 1481.5 +42.5
Chicago Blackhawks 1464.8 +35.8
San Jose Sharks 1463.5 +35.1
Tampa Bay Lightning 1523.4 -32.8
Seattle Kraken 1485.7 +31.6
Toronto Maple Leafs 1494.8 +28.5
Calgary Flames 1484.4 +27.5
Dallas Stars 1520.7 -23.0

MLB (10 movers)

MLB board
Team Rating Change
Milwaukee Brewers 1568.4 +27.6
Colorado Rockies 1418.4 -26.8
Athletics 1438.5 -22.6
Chicago White Sox 1500.9 +20.7
Los Angeles Dodgers 1566.8 +19.5
Cincinnati Reds 1465.6 -16.3
Los Angeles Angels 1447.0 -16.1
New York Yankees 1547.6 +15.1
San Diego Padres 1532.0 +15.0
Kansas City Royals 1465.7 -14.8

NCAAF (10 movers)

NCAAF board
Team Rating Change
Valparaiso Beacons 1488.5 +116.0
Presbyterian Blue Hose 1581.3 +111.5
Florida Gators 1490.6 -106.0
Columbia Lions 1394.9 -98.2
St. Thomas Tommies 1466.2 -95.0
The Citadel Bulldogs 1477.0 +94.2
Morehead State Eagles 1383.2 -91.4
Mississippi State Bulldogs 1433.9 -83.9
Missouri Tigers 1613.3 +77.7
Yale Bulldogs 1616.0 +77.7

FAQ

What do the ratings mean?
MechaPip ELO Edge uses calibrated Elo ratings built from season-by-season game history. Higher ratings mean a stronger team, and the movers table shows the biggest weekly shifts.
How are final probabilities built?
MechaPip ELO Edge uses pure Elo ratings enriched with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. Final probabilities pass through Platt calibration before forecasts are published.
For analysis only. Not financial or gambling advice.
MechaPip  -  calibrated Elo ratings

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