What does graded mean?

A row is graded after the game finishes. The Elo forecast is graded correct, miss, or push. The score model's projected spread and total are graded as their own records, never as a second winner count.

How is the projected score graded?

The projected score is the scoreline published before the game. Its result is the spread result at the projection line - cover, miss, or push. The margin error in points prints beside it and never decides it. The Elo winner is its own record. A recap reprints the published projection and never re-projects a game after the fact.

Are the Elo pick and the projected score the same forecast?

No. They are separate forecasts. The Elo column grades the forecast winner; the Projected column carries the score model's scoreline, settled by its spread cover, miss, or push at the projection line, with its margin and total errors printed beside it.

How should these results be used?

For analysis only. Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

MechaPip: MechaPip Daily Recap

MechaPip Daily Recap

Predictions graded for October 26, 2026

On October 26, 2026, MechaPip graded 15 games across 5 sports. The Elo forecast went 8 correct, 7 misses, 0 pushes (53.3% of 15 decided). The score model's spread forecast covered 8, missed 7, with 0 pushes. Its totals averaged 12.5 points of error, with 6 of 15 within 5.

Elo correct

Elo misses

Elo pushes

53%

Elo accuracy

Games graded

Spread covers

Spread misses

Spread pushes

12.5

Mean total error

Totals within 5

Performance by Sport

Results by sport for October 26, 2026
Sport	Games	Elo W-L-P	Win%	Spread C-M-P	Cover%	Total O-U-P	Over%	Mean error	Median error	Within 5
NFL	1	0-1-0	0.0%	0-1-0	0.0%	1-0-0	100.0%	10.0	10.0	0
NBA	9	6-3-0	66.7%	6-3-0	66.7%	5-4-0	55.6%	14.9	16.0	2
NHL	3	0-3-0	0.0%	0-3-0	0.0%	3-0-0	100.0%	1.3	1.0	3
MLB	1	1-0-0	100.0%	1-0-0	100.0%	1-0-0	100.0%	3.0	3.0	1
WNBA	1	1-0-0	100.0%	1-0-0	100.0%	0-1-0	0.0%	37.0	37.0	0
NCAAF	0	0-0-0	—	0-0-0	—	0-0-0	—	—	—	—
NCAAMBB	0	0-0-0	—	0-0-0	—	0-0-0	—	—	—	—

A push prints and stays out of its decided rate. Every league keeps its row, including a league with no graded game.

Projected is the scoreline published before the game. Its result is the spread result at the projection line - cover, miss, or push - and the margin error in points prints beside it, never deciding it. The Elo column grades the winner as its own record. The recap reprints the published projection and never re-projects.

NFL (1 game)

NFL predictions recap for October 26, 2026
Matchup	Forecast	Projected	Final	Spread result	Elo	Spread	Total	Win%
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles	Eagles	23 - 26	Cowboys Cowboys 38 / Eagles 21	miss 20 off	Miss	PHI -2.5	over 48.5 projected 49 / final 59 / 10 off	56% LEAN 44% / 56%

NBA (9 games)

NBA predictions recap for October 26, 2026
Matchup	Forecast	Projected	Final	Spread result	Elo	Spread	Total	Win%
Washington Wizards @ Charlotte Hornets	Hornets	112 - 118	Hornets Wizards 103 / Hornets 110	cover 1 off	Correct	CHA -5.5	under 228.5 projected 229 / final 213 / 16 off	82% STRONG 18% / 82%
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Cleveland Cavaliers	Cavaliers	111 - 113	Cavaliers Timberwolves 125 / Cavaliers 127	miss 1 off	Correct	CLE -2.5	over 223.5 projected 224 / final 252 / 28 off	51% LEAN 49% / 51%
Chicago Bulls @ Boston Celtics	Celtics	107 - 119	Celtics Bulls 99 / Celtics 134	cover 22 off	Correct	BOS -12.5	over 225.5 projected 226 / final 233 / 7 off	82% STRONG 18% / 82%
Dallas Mavericks @ Miami Heat	Heat	109 - 113	Mavericks Mavericks 113 / Heat 109	miss 8 off	Miss	MIA -3.5	over 221.5 projected 222 / final 222 / 0 off	67% MODERATE 33% / 67%
Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks	Bucks	117 - 121	Bucks Pacers 102 / Bucks 110	cover 4 off	Correct	MIL -3.5	under 237.5 projected 238 / final 212 / 26 off	58% LEAN 42% / 58%
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder	Thunder	110 - 117	Thunder Suns 114 / Thunder 125	cover 4 off	Correct	OKC -6.5	over 225.5 projected 226 / final 239 / 13 off	80% STRONG 20% / 80%
Atlanta Hawks @ Houston Rockets	Rockets	116 - 118	Rockets Hawks 110 / Rockets 120	cover 7 off	Correct	HOU -2.5	under 233.5 projected 234 / final 230 / 4 off	59% LEAN 41% / 59%
Memphis Grizzlies @ Utah Jazz	Jazz	120 - 117	Grizzlies Grizzlies 110 / Jazz 105	cover 2 off	Miss	MEM -2.5	under 236.5 projected 237 / final 215 / 22 off	50% LEAN 50% / 50%
Golden State Warriors @ Denver Nuggets	Nuggets	113 - 117	Warriors Warriors 134 / Nuggets 114	miss 25 off	Miss	DEN -4.5	over 229.5 projected 230 / final 248 / 18 off	81% STRONG 19% / 81%

NHL (3 games)

NHL predictions recap for October 26, 2026
Matchup	Forecast	Projected	Final	Spread result	Elo	Spread	Total	Win%
Los Angeles Kings @ New York Rangers	Rangers	2 - 3	Kings Kings 6 / Rangers 3	miss 4 off	Miss	NYR -0.5	over 5.5 projected 6 / final 9 / 3 off	74% STRONG 26% / 74%
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Calgary Flames	Leafs	3 - 3	Flames Leafs 2 / Flames 5	miss 4 off	Miss	TOR -0.5	over 5.5 projected 6 / final 7 / 1 off	64% MODERATE 64% / 36%
Detroit Red Wings @ Edmonton Oilers	Oilers	3 - 4	Wings Wings 4 / Oilers 3	miss 2 off	Miss	EDM -0.5	over 6.5 projected 7 / final 7 / 0 off	75% STRONG 25% / 75%

MLB (1 game)

MLB predictions recap for October 26, 2026
Matchup	Forecast	Projected	Final	Spread result	Elo	Spread	Total	Win%
Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays	Brewers	4 - 3	Brewers Brewers 10 / Rays 1	cover 8 off	Correct	MIL -0.5	over 7.5 projected 8 / final 11 / 3 off	53% LEAN 53% / 47%

WNBA (1 game)

WNBA predictions recap for October 26, 2026
Matchup	Forecast	Projected	Final	Spread result	Elo	Spread	Total	Win%
Atlanta Dream @ Golden State Valkyries	Valkyries	75 - 81	Valkyries Dream 55 / Valkyries 64	cover 3 off	Correct	GS -5.5	under 155.5 projected 156 / final 119 / 37 off	57% LEAN 43% / 57%

NCAAF

No games graded for this league.

NCAAMBB

No games graded for this league.

FAQ

What does graded mean?: A row is graded after the game finishes. The Elo forecast is graded correct, miss, or push. The score model's projected spread and total are graded as their own records, never as a second winner count.
How is the projected score graded?: The projected score is the scoreline published before the game. Its result is the spread result at the projection line - cover, miss, or push. The margin error in points prints beside it and never decides it. The Elo winner is its own record. A recap reprints the published projection and never re-projects a game after the fact.
Are the Elo pick and the projected score the same forecast?: No. They are separate forecasts. The Elo column grades the forecast winner; the Projected column carries the score model's scoreline, settled by its spread cover, miss, or push at the projection line, with its margin and total errors printed beside it.
How should these results be used?: For analysis only. Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.