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FORECAST LOG

MechaPip Predictions - 2026-09-30

Predictions for September 30, 2026

9 games across 3 sports

Free sports predictions for September 30, 2026: 9 games across NHL, MLB and WNBA. Win probabilities come from MechaPip's calibrated Elo ratings.

Highest-confidence forecasts

  1. NHL Los Angeles Kings @ Colorado Avalanche — Avalanche 77% · 9:00 PM CT
  2. MLB Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees — Yankees 56% · 7:00 PM CT
  3. MLB Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves — Braves 55% · 1:00 PM CT
  4. WNBA Atlanta Dream @ Washington Mystics — Dream 53% · 6:00 PM CT
  5. MLB Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros — Astros 52% · 4:00 PM CT

NHL (3 games)

NHL board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers
6:30 PM CT
Flyers
50%
LEAN
50% / 50%
AWAY 1491
HOME 1491
+22 edge
S. Crosby 29 G / 45 A / 74 P
E. Karlsson 15 G / 51 A / 66 P
B. Rust 29 G / 36 A / 65 P
T. Konecny 27 G / 41 A / 68 P
T. Zegras 26 G / 41 A / 67 P
O. Tippett 28 G / 23 A / 51 P
New York Islanders @ Toronto Maple Leafs
6:30 PM CT
Leafs
51%
LEAN
49% / 51%
AWAY 1480
HOME 1463
+5 edge
M. Barzal 19 G / 53 A / 72 P
M. Schaefer 23 G / 36 A / 59 P
B. Horvat 31 G / 26 A / 57 P
W. Nylander 30 G / 49 A / 79 P
J. Tavares 31 G / 40 A / 71 P
M. Knies 23 G / 43 A / 66 P
Los Angeles Kings @ Colorado Avalanche
9:00 PM CT
Avalanche
77%
STRONG
23% / 77%
AWAY 1490
HOME 1582
+114 edge
A. Panarin 28 G / 56 A / 84 P
A. Kempe 36 G / 37 A / 73 P
Q. Byfield 24 G / 25 A / 49 P
N. MacKinnon 53 G / 74 A / 127 P
M. Necas 38 G / 62 A / 100 P
C. Makar 20 G / 59 A / 79 P

MLB (4 games)

MLB board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves
1:00 PM CT
Braves
55%
LEAN
45% / 55%
AWAY 1518
HOME 1528
+27 edge
K. Schwarber 44 HR / 94 RBI / 0.238 AVG
B. Harper 28 HR / 83 RBI / 0.272 AVG
T. Turner 19 HR / 57 RBI / 0.241 AVG
M. Olson 39 HR / 85 RBI / 0.248 AVG
M. Harris II 25 HR / 83 RBI / 0.292 AVG
D. Baldwin 23 HR / 75 RBI / 0.279 AVG
Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros
4:00 PM CT
Astros
52%
LEAN
48% / 52%
AWAY 1486
HOME 1500
+31 edge
M. Vargas 31 HR / 81 RBI / 0.249 AVG
C. Montgomery 31 HR / 84 RBI / 0.205 AVG
M. Murakami 31 HR / 65 RBI / 0.204 AVG
Y. Alvarez 38 HR / 96 RBI / 0.310 AVG
C. Walker 25 HR / 80 RBI / 0.225 AVG
I. Paredes 21 HR / 85 RBI / 0.260 AVG
Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees
7:00 PM CT
Yankees
56%
LEAN
44% / 56%
AWAY 1513
HOME 1536
+41 edge
W. Contreras 26 HR / 79 RBI / 0.277 AVG
W. Abreu 24 HR / 74 RBI / 0.257 AVG
J. Duran 20 HR / 69 RBI / 0.205 AVG
B. Rice 38 HR / 92 RBI / 0.263 AVG
L. García Jr. 30 HR / 91 RBI / 0.287 AVG
J. Chisholm Jr. 19 HR / 55 RBI / 0.232 AVG
Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres
9:00 PM CT
Padres
52%
LEAN
48% / 52%
AWAY 1519
HOME 1519
+17 edge
P. Crow-Armstrong 42 HR / 102 RBI / 0.281 AVG
A. Bregman 25 HR / 84 RBI / 0.262 AVG
S. Suzuki 24 HR / 81 RBI / 0.268 AVG
M. Machado 28 HR / 83 RBI / 0.221 AVG
J. Merrill 25 HR / 83 RBI / 0.251 AVG
F. Tatis Jr. 22 HR / 77 RBI / 0.289 AVG

WNBA (2 games)

WNBA board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
Atlanta Dream @ Washington Mystics
6:00 PM CT
Dream
53%
LEAN
53% / 47%
AWAY 1551
HOME 1483
+68 edge
A. Gray 19.0 PTS / 2.6 AST / 3.5 REB
R. Howard 17.7 PTS / 3.7 AST / 3.8 REB
A. Reese 16.4 PTS / 2.8 AST / 12.1 REB
No data
Golden State Valkyries @ Dallas Wings
8:00 PM CT
Valkyries
51%
LEAN
51% / 49%
AWAY 1567
HOME 1497
+71 edge
G. Williams 14.4 PTS / 2.2 AST / 3.3 REB
J. Salaun 12.7 PTS / 1.2 AST / 4.0 REB
V. Burton 12.2 PTS / 5.7 AST / 3.6 REB
P. Bueckers 20.9 PTS / 5.9 AST / 4.1 REB
A. Ogunbowale 15.3 PTS / 3.3 AST / 3.0 REB
J. Shepard 14.5 PTS / 5.3 AST / 11.1 REB

Injury listings (6)

WNBA injury listings
Team Player Status Note
Atlanta Dream Brionna Jones Out Jones will miss the remainder of the season after sustaining a left leg injury against the Sun on Aug. 13, Annie Costabile of The Athletic reports.
Atlanta Dream Matilde Villa Out Villa (coach's decision) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against New York.
Dallas Wings Alanna Smith Out Smith (lower leg) has been ruled out for Game 2 of the first round of the playoffs against the Valkyries on Wednesday.
Dallas Wings Azzi Fudd Out Fudd will undergo an arthroscopic procedure to address her right knee soreness and will be sidelined for the remainder of the 2026 season.
Dallas Wings Costanza Verona Out Verona's contract was temporarily suspended by the Wings Saturday.
Golden State Valkyries Iliana Rupert Out Rupert is pregnant, and the Valkyries have filed for a replacement contract ahead of the 2026 season, Alexa Philippou of ESPN.com reports Thursday.

FAQ

What does Win% mean?
Win% is the model's projected chance that the listed favorite wins the game. The second line shows the away and home split.
How does MechaPip pick a favorite?
MechaPip scores every team with calibrated Elo ratings built from season history, then enriches each matchup with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. The higher projected side is the forecast.
What is the rating edge?
The rating edge is the projected winner's Elo rating-point margin after the home-field adjustment. The Ratings column shows each team's Elo rating and that edge.
What do the confidence tiers mean?
70%+ = High-confidence forecast. 60-69% = Moderate-confidence forecast. 50-59% = Slight favorite.
What do top-player lines show?
Season stat leaders for each side. Totals vary by sport (points, yards, goals, or batting line).
What is MechaPicks?
The MechaPip logo in the MechaPicks column means MechaPip signaled that pick (paper or live). Rows without the logo are model forecasts only.
What injury statuses are shown?
Out listings for teams on today's board. Public ESPN injury listings, refreshed throughout the day.
How does MechaPip use injuries?
Out and Doubtful listings can adjust team Elo ratings before a forecast. The blog table shows Out players only.
For analysis only. Not financial advice.
MechaPip  -  calibrated Elo ratings

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