Predictions for September 28, 2026
1 game across 1 sport
Free sports predictions for September 28, 2026: 1 game across NFL. Win probabilities come from MechaPip's calibrated Elo ratings.
NFL (1 game)
| Matchup | Forecast | Win% | Ratings | Top Away Players | Top Home Players | MechaPicks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7:15 PM CT |
65%
MODERATE 35% / 65% |
J. Hurts 3645 YDS / 33 TD S. Barkley 1413 YDS / 9 TD D. Smith 1008 YDS / 4 TD |
C. Williams 4352 YDS / 31 TD D. Swift 1386 YDS / 10 TD K. Monangai 947 YDS / 5 TD |
Injury listings (7)
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Johnson Jr. | Out | out | |
| Caleb Williams | Out | Williams, who is ruled out for Monday's game against the Eagles, has been diagnosed with a Grade 2 hamstring strain, which doctors consider a 3-to-4-week injury, Adam Schefter and Ian Rapoport of ESPN report. | |
| Noah Sewell | Out | The Bears opened the 21-day practice window for Sewell (Achilles) on Wednesday, Kevin Fishbain of The Athletic reports. | |
| Shemar Turner | Out | The Bears opened the 21-day practice window for Turner (knee) on Wednesday, Kevin Fishbain of The Athletic reports. | |
| Dallas Goedert | Out | Goedert (knee) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Bears. | |
| Fred Johnson | Out | Johnson (knee) has been ruled out ahead of Monday's game against the Bears. | |
| Hollywood Brown | Out | Brown (ankle) has been ruled out ahead of Monday's game against the Bears. |
FAQ
- What does Win% mean?
- Win% is the model's projected chance that the listed favorite wins the game. The second line shows the away and home split.
- How does MechaPip pick a favorite?
- MechaPip scores every team with calibrated Elo ratings built from season history, then enriches each matchup with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. The higher projected side is the forecast.
- What is the rating edge?
- The rating edge is the projected winner's Elo rating-point margin after the home-field adjustment. The Ratings column shows each team's Elo rating and that edge.
- What do the confidence tiers mean?
- 70%+ = High-confidence forecast. 60-69% = Moderate-confidence forecast. 50-59% = Slight favorite.
- What do top-player lines show?
- Season stat leaders for each side. Totals vary by sport (points, yards, goals, or batting line).
- What is MechaPicks?
- The MechaPip logo in the MechaPicks column means MechaPip signaled that pick (paper or live). Rows without the logo are model forecasts only.
- What injury statuses are shown?
- Out listings for teams on today's board. Public ESPN injury listings, refreshed throughout the day.
- How does MechaPip use injuries?
- Out and Doubtful listings can adjust team Elo ratings before a forecast. The blog table shows Out players only.