Win% is the model's projected chance that the listed favorite wins the game. The second line shows the away and home split.

How does MechaPip pick a favorite?

MechaPip scores every team with calibrated Elo ratings built from season history, then enriches each matchup with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. The higher projected side is the forecast.

What is the rating edge?

The rating edge is the projected winner's Elo rating-point margin after the home-field adjustment. The Ratings column shows each team's Elo rating and that edge.

What do the confidence tiers mean?

70%+ = High-confidence forecast. 60-69% = Moderate-confidence forecast. 50-59% = Slight favorite.

What do top-player lines show?

Season stat leaders for each side. Totals vary by sport (points, yards, goals, or batting line).

The MechaPip logo in the MechaPicks column means MechaPip signaled that pick (paper or live). Rows without the logo are model forecasts only.

What injury statuses are shown?

Out listings for teams on today's board. Public ESPN injury listings, refreshed throughout the day.

How does MechaPip use injuries?

Out and Doubtful listings can adjust team Elo ratings before a forecast. The blog table shows Out players only.

MechaPip: MechaPip Predictions

Predictions for September 25, 2026

27 games across 3 sports

Free sports predictions for September 25, 2026: 27 games across NHL, MLB and NCAAF. Win probabilities come from MechaPip's calibrated Elo ratings.

Highest-confidence forecasts

NCAAF Northwestern Wildcats @ Indiana Hoosiers — Hoosiers 80% · 7:00 PM CT
NHL Winnipeg Jets @ Colorado Avalanche — Avalanche 77% · 7:30 PM CT
NCAAF Howard Bison @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights — Scarlet Knights 64% · 6:00 PM CT
MLB Colorado Rockies @ Chicago White Sox — Sox 62% · 6:40 PM CT
MLB St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers — Brewers 60% · 6:40 PM CT

NHL (4 games)

NHL board
Matchup	Forecast	Win%	Ratings	Top Away Players	Top Home Players
Boston Bruins @ Washington Capitals 6:00 PM CT	Capitals	56% LEAN 44% / 56%	AWAY 1492 HOME 1516 +46 edge	D. Pastrnak 29 G / 71 A / 100 P M. Geekie 39 G / 29 A / 68 P P. Zacha 30 G / 35 A / 65 P	A. Ovechkin 32 G / 32 A / 64 P T. Wilson 30 G / 32 A / 62 P J. Chychrun 26 G / 34 A / 60 P
New York Rangers @ New York Islanders 6:30 PM CT	Islanders	52% LEAN 48% / 52%	AWAY 1489 HOME 1480 +13 edge	M. Zibanejad 34 G / 44 A / 78 P A. Lafreniere 24 G / 33 A / 57 P V. Trocheck 16 G / 37 A / 53 P	M. Barzal 19 G / 53 A / 72 P M. Schaefer 23 G / 36 A / 59 P B. Horvat 31 G / 26 A / 57 P
Dallas Stars @ Minnesota Wild 7:00 PM CT	Wild	51% LEAN 49% / 51%	AWAY 1544 HOME 1530 +8 edge	J. Robertson 45 G / 51 A / 96 P W. Johnston 45 G / 41 A / 86 P M. Rantanen 22 G / 55 A / 77 P	K. Kaprizov 45 G / 44 A / 89 P M. Boldy 42 G / 43 A / 85 P Q. Hughes 7 G / 69 A / 76 P
Winnipeg Jets @ Colorado Avalanche 7:30 PM CT	Avalanche	77% STRONG 23% / 77%	AWAY 1488 HOME 1582 +116 edge	M. Scheifele 36 G / 67 A / 103 P K. Connor 39 G / 53 A / 92 P G. Vilardi 30 G / 39 A / 69 P	N. MacKinnon 53 G / 74 A / 127 P M. Necas 38 G / 62 A / 100 P C. Makar 20 G / 59 A / 79 P

Injury listings (15)

NHL injury listings
Team	Player	Status	Note
Boston Bruins	Matthew Poitras	Out	out
Colorado Avalanche	Cale Makar	Out	Makar (lower body) was a full participant in Tuesday's training camp session and could suit up for one of Colorado's upcoming preseason games, per Evan Rawal of the Denver Gazette.
Colorado Avalanche	Trent Miner	Out	out
Dallas Stars	Colin Blackwell	Out	Blackwell is dealing with a lower-body injury but should return before Opening Night, Robert Tiffin of NHL.com reports Monday.
Dallas Stars	Jake Oettinger	Out	out
Dallas Stars	Matt Duchene	Out	Duchene will not play in Friday's preseason finale against the Wild, Stars TV host Brien Rea reports.
Minnesota Wild	Filip Gustavsson	Out	Gustavsson (hip) is expected to return around early November, Joe Smith of The Athletic reports Friday.
New York Islanders	Mathew Barzal	Out	out
New York Islanders	Quinn Finley	Out	out
New York Rangers	Adam Sykora	Out	Sykora (lower body) is expected to be out of action for 4-5 months, Colin Stephenson of Newsday reports Wednesday.
New York Rangers	Aidan Thompson	Out	Thompson (undisclosed) is considered week-to-week heading into training camp, Peter Baugh of The Athletic reports Wednesday.
New York Rangers	Vincent Iorio	Out	out
Washington Capitals	Alex Ovechkin	Out	Ovechkin (lower body) was a full participant in Thursday's practice and has a chance to play in Friday's preseason game against the Bruins, per Tom Gulitti.
Washington Capitals	Patrick Thomas	Out	out
Winnipeg Jets	Elias Salomonsson	Out	Head coach Scott Arniel said Thursday that Salomonsson (shoulder) is targeting the end of October for a return date, Mitchell Clinton of the Jets' official site reports.

MLB (17 games)

MLB board
Matchup	Forecast	Win%	Ratings	Top Away Players	Top Home Players
Chicago Cubs @ Boston Red Sox 12:05 PM CT	Sox	53% LEAN 47% / 53%	AWAY 1524 HOME 1515 +9 edge	P. Crow-Armstrong 42 HR / 102 RBI / 0.281 AVG A. Bregman 25 HR / 84 RBI / 0.262 AVG S. Suzuki 24 HR / 81 RBI / 0.268 AVG	W. Contreras 26 HR / 79 RBI / 0.277 AVG W. Abreu 24 HR / 74 RBI / 0.257 AVG J. Duran 20 HR / 69 RBI / 0.205 AVG
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees 3:05 PM CT	Yankees	60% LEAN 40% / 60%	AWAY 1495 HOME 1534 +56 edge	P. Alonso 35 HR / 100 RBI / 0.268 AVG C. Mayo 23 HR / 60 RBI / 0.224 AVG G. Henderson 23 HR / 58 RBI / 0.223 AVG	B. Rice 38 HR / 92 RBI / 0.263 AVG L. García Jr. 30 HR / 91 RBI / 0.287 AVG J. Chisholm Jr. 19 HR / 55 RBI / 0.232 AVG
Chicago Cubs @ Boston Red Sox 5:00 PM CT	Sox	53% LEAN 47% / 53%	AWAY 1524 HOME 1515 +9 edge	P. Crow-Armstrong 42 HR / 102 RBI / 0.281 AVG A. Bregman 25 HR / 84 RBI / 0.262 AVG S. Suzuki 24 HR / 81 RBI / 0.268 AVG	W. Contreras 26 HR / 79 RBI / 0.277 AVG W. Abreu 24 HR / 74 RBI / 0.257 AVG J. Duran 20 HR / 69 RBI / 0.205 AVG
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers 5:40 PM CT	Tigers	55% LEAN 45% / 55%	AWAY 1496 HOME 1506 +28 edge	B. Lowe 29 HR / 85 RBI / 0.258 AVG O. Cruz 18 HR / 63 RBI / 0.274 AVG R. O'Hearn 18 HR / 72 RBI / 0.266 AVG	D. Dingler 27 HR / 88 RBI / 0.244 AVG S. Torkelson 23 HR / 69 RBI / 0.223 AVG R. Greene 20 HR / 71 RBI / 0.284 AVG
Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies 5:40 PM CT	Phillies	51% LEAN 49% / 51%	AWAY 1512 HOME 1517 +23 edge	J. Caminero 40 HR / 95 RBI / 0.279 AVG Y. Díaz 22 HR / 81 RBI / 0.301 AVG J. Aranda 21 HR / 89 RBI / 0.278 AVG	K. Schwarber 44 HR / 94 RBI / 0.238 AVG B. Harper 28 HR / 83 RBI / 0.272 AVG T. Turner 19 HR / 57 RBI / 0.241 AVG
New York Mets @ Washington Nationals 5:45 PM CT	Mets	52% LEAN 52% / 48%	AWAY 1501 HOME 1480 +21 edge	J. Soto 25 HR / 60 RBI / 0.273 AVG F. Lindor 20 HR / 47 RBI / 0.230 AVG C. Benge 17 HR / 57 RBI / 0.273 AVG	J. Wood 30 HR / 75 RBI / 0.268 AVG C. Abrams 30 HR / 96 RBI / 0.264 AVG D. Lile 20 HR / 82 RBI / 0.248 AVG
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees 6:05 PM CT	Yankees	60% LEAN 40% / 60%	AWAY 1495 HOME 1534 +56 edge	P. Alonso 35 HR / 100 RBI / 0.268 AVG C. Mayo 23 HR / 60 RBI / 0.224 AVG G. Henderson 23 HR / 58 RBI / 0.223 AVG	B. Rice 38 HR / 92 RBI / 0.263 AVG L. García Jr. 30 HR / 91 RBI / 0.287 AVG J. Chisholm Jr. 19 HR / 55 RBI / 0.232 AVG
Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays 6:07 PM CT	Blue Jays	58% LEAN 42% / 58%	AWAY 1480 HOME 1509 +46 edge	S. Stewart 31 HR / 107 RBI / 0.268 AVG E. De La Cruz 27 HR / 72 RBI / 0.284 AVG E. Suárez 24 HR / 68 RBI / 0.213 AVG	K. Okamoto 33 HR / 88 RBI / 0.236 AVG G. Springer 15 HR / 52 RBI / 0.253 AVG A. Kirk 10 HR / 40 RBI / 0.280 AVG
Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins 6:10 PM CT	Braves	54% LEAN 54% / 46%	AWAY 1525 HOME 1486 +39 edge	M. Olson 39 HR / 85 RBI / 0.248 AVG M. Harris II 25 HR / 83 RBI / 0.292 AVG D. Baldwin 23 HR / 75 RBI / 0.279 AVG	H. Hernández 24 HR / 63 RBI / 0.226 AVG K. Stowers 19 HR / 61 RBI / 0.242 AVG G. Conine 15 HR / 37 RBI / 0.260 AVG
Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals 6:40 PM CT	Guardians	54% LEAN 54% / 46%	AWAY 1503 HOME 1480 +23 edge	J. Adell 21 HR / 88 RBI / 0.239 AVG N. Lowe 17 HR / 59 RBI / 0.252 AVG A. Martínez 15 HR / 53 RBI / 0.248 AVG	C. Jensen 24 HR / 72 RBI / 0.232 AVG J. Caglianone 23 HR / 70 RBI / 0.281 AVG S. Perez 19 HR / 72 RBI / 0.229 AVG
Colorado Rockies @ Chicago White Sox 6:40 PM CT	Sox	62% MODERATE 38% / 62%	AWAY 1440 HOME 1487 +64 edge	H. Goodman 38 HR / 81 RBI / 0.245 AVG M. Moniak 22 HR / 64 RBI / 0.241 AVG T. Rumfield 15 HR / 69 RBI / 0.299 AVG	M. Vargas 31 HR / 81 RBI / 0.249 AVG C. Montgomery 31 HR / 84 RBI / 0.205 AVG M. Murakami 31 HR / 65 RBI / 0.204 AVG
St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers 6:40 PM CT	Brewers	60% MODERATE 40% / 60%	AWAY 1497 HOME 1543 +63 edge	J. Walker 28 HR / 100 RBI / 0.281 AVG A. Burleson 22 HR / 110 RBI / 0.285 AVG J. Wetherholt 17 HR / 48 RBI / 0.242 AVG	J. Bauers 26 HR / 83 RBI / 0.269 AVG J. Chourio 23 HR / 67 RBI / 0.292 AVG B. Turang 19 HR / 92 RBI / 0.265 AVG
Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins 7:10 PM CT	Rangers	51% LEAN 51% / 49%	AWAY 1501 HOME 1482 +19 edge	J. Pederson 26 HR / 53 RBI / 0.235 AVG J. Burger 26 HR / 83 RBI / 0.233 AVG C. Seager 18 HR / 43 RBI / 0.231 AVG	K. Clemens 26 HR / 76 RBI / 0.241 AVG B. Buxton 25 HR / 46 RBI / 0.254 AVG B. Lee 23 HR / 79 RBI / 0.247 AVG
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres 8:40 PM CT	Padres	54% LEAN 46% / 54%	AWAY 1504 HOME 1517 +31 edge	N. Arenado 25 HR / 73 RBI / 0.240 AVG K. Marte 22 HR / 73 RBI / 0.250 AVG C. Carroll 20 HR / 65 RBI / 0.238 AVG	M. Machado 28 HR / 83 RBI / 0.221 AVG J. Merrill 25 HR / 83 RBI / 0.251 AVG F. Tatis Jr. 22 HR / 77 RBI / 0.289 AVG
Houston Astros @ Athletics 8:40 PM CT	Astros	56% LEAN 56% / 44%	AWAY 1504 HOME 1463 +41 edge	Y. Alvarez 38 HR / 96 RBI / 0.310 AVG C. Walker 25 HR / 80 RBI / 0.225 AVG I. Paredes 21 HR / 85 RBI / 0.260 AVG	S. Langeliers 23 HR / 54 RBI / 0.266 AVG N. Kurtz 21 HR / 69 RBI / 0.256 AVG T. Soderstrom 19 HR / 56 RBI / 0.245 AVG
Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners 9:10 PM CT	Mariners	55% LEAN 45% / 55%	AWAY 1468 HOME 1493 +42 edge	Z. Neto 26 HR / 74 RBI / 0.242 AVG M. Trout 21 HR / 52 RBI / 0.244 AVG J. Soler 12 HR / 49 RBI / 0.203 AVG	R. Arozarena 25 HR / 75 RBI / 0.278 AVG D. Canzone 22 HR / 68 RBI / 0.257 AVG C. Raleigh 22 HR / 63 RBI / 0.181 AVG
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants 9:15 PM CT	Dodgers	57% LEAN 57% / 43%	AWAY 1544 HOME 1496 +48 edge	S. Ohtani 30 HR / 80 RBI / 0.277 AVG M. Muncy 28 HR / 71 RBI / 0.252 AVG A. Pages 21 HR / 80 RBI / 0.272 AVG	R. Devers 37 HR / 98 RBI / 0.258 AVG C. Schmitt 21 HR / 55 RBI / 0.271 AVG W. Adames 21 HR / 51 RBI / 0.230 AVG

Injury listings (2)

MLB injury listings
Team	Player	Status	Note
Boston Red Sox	Willson Contreras	Out	Contreras (hand) expressed concern Thursday about his availability for Game 1 of the AL Wild Card Series next week, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports. "I'm working hard with the trainers, the hand is slowly getting better," Contreras said. "But I haven't been able to swing the last two days. I'll be honest with the team. I know Tuesday is a really important game. It's a really important series, and I'll be completely honest with the team."
San Francisco Giants	Landen Roupp	Out	Roupp (9-14) allowed two runs on five hits and three walks while striking out four over 4.1 innings to take the loss Monday against the Cardinals.

NCAAF (6 games)

NCAAF board
Matchup	Forecast	Win%	Ratings	Top Away Players	Top Home Players
Army Black Knights @ Temple Owls 3:00 PM CT	Black Knights	52% LEAN 52% / 48%	AWAY 1568 HOME 1448 +121 edge	No data	No data
Howard Bison @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights 6:00 PM CT	Scarlet Knights	64% MODERATE 36% / 64%	AWAY 1448 HOME 1455 +85 edge	No data	D. Lonergan 225 YDS / 2 TD K. Duff 196 YDS / 3 TD A. Surace 75 YDS / 1 TD
Navy Midshipmen @ UAB Blazers 6:00 PM CT	Midshipmen	54% LEAN 54% / 46%	AWAY 1566 HOME 1433 +134 edge	No data	R. Burton 257 YDS / 2 TD B. McReynolds 81 YDS / 0 TD R. Robinson II 73 YDS / 1 TD
Harvard Crimson @ Brown Bears 6:00 PM CT	Crimson	55% LEAN 55% / 45%	AWAY 1601 HOME 1459 +142 edge	No data	No data
Northwestern Wildcats @ Indiana Hoosiers 7:00 PM CT	Hoosiers	80% STRONG 20% / 80%	AWAY 1510 HOME 1681 +249 edge	No data	No data
Clemson Tigers @ California Golden Bears 9:30 PM CT	Tigers	50% LEAN 50% / 50%	AWAY 1581 HOME 1477 +104 edge	No data	No data

FAQ

What does Win% mean?: Win% is the model's projected chance that the listed favorite wins the game. The second line shows the away and home split.
How does MechaPip pick a favorite?: MechaPip scores every team with calibrated Elo ratings built from season history, then enriches each matchup with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. The higher projected side is the forecast.
What is the rating edge?: The rating edge is the projected winner's Elo rating-point margin after the home-field adjustment. The Ratings column shows each team's Elo rating and that edge.
What do the confidence tiers mean?: 70%+ = High-confidence forecast. 60-69% = Moderate-confidence forecast. 50-59% = Slight favorite.
What do top-player lines show?: Season stat leaders for each side. Totals vary by sport (points, yards, goals, or batting line).
What is MechaPicks?: The MechaPip logo in the MechaPicks column means MechaPip signaled that pick (paper or live). Rows without the logo are model forecasts only.
What injury statuses are shown?: Out listings for teams on today's board. Public ESPN injury listings, refreshed throughout the day.
How does MechaPip use injuries?: Out and Doubtful listings can adjust team Elo ratings before a forecast. The blog table shows Out players only.