Predictions for September 23, 2026
22 games across 3 sports
Free sports predictions for September 23, 2026: 22 games across NHL, MLB and WNBA. Win probabilities come from MechaPip's calibrated Elo ratings.
Highest-confidence forecasts
- NHL Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators — Senators 63% · 6:00 PM CT
- MLB Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves — Braves 61% · 6:15 PM CT
- MLB Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies — Diamondbacks 60% · 7:40 PM CT
- MLB San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers — Dodgers 58% · 9:10 PM CT
- MLB Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers — Tigers 58% · 12:10 PM CT
NHL (4 games)
| Matchup | Forecast | Win% | Ratings | Top Away Players | Top Home Players | MechaPicks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6:00 PM CT |
63%
MODERATE 37% / 63% |
W. Nylander 30 G / 49 A / 79 P J. Tavares 31 G / 40 A / 71 P M. Knies 23 G / 43 A / 66 P |
T. Stutzle 34 G / 49 A / 83 P D. Batherson 33 G / 38 A / 71 P D. Cozens 28 G / 31 A / 59 P |
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6:00 PM CT |
57%
LEAN 57% / 43% |
T. Stutzle 34 G / 49 A / 83 P D. Batherson 33 G / 38 A / 71 P D. Cozens 28 G / 31 A / 59 P |
W. Nylander 30 G / 49 A / 79 P J. Tavares 31 G / 40 A / 71 P M. Knies 23 G / 43 A / 66 P |
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7:00 PM CT |
55%
LEAN 45% / 55% |
K. Kaprizov 45 G / 44 A / 89 P M. Boldy 42 G / 43 A / 85 P Q. Hughes 7 G / 69 A / 76 P |
J. Robertson 45 G / 51 A / 96 P W. Johnston 45 G / 41 A / 86 P M. Rantanen 22 G / 55 A / 77 P |
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9:00 PM CT |
53%
LEAN 47% / 53% |
A. Panarin 28 G / 56 A / 84 P A. Kempe 36 G / 37 A / 73 P Q. Byfield 24 G / 25 A / 49 P |
C. Gauthier 41 G / 28 A / 69 P L. Carlsson 29 G / 38 A / 67 P J. Carlson 14 G / 46 A / 60 P |
Injury listings (16)
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Greer | Out | out | |
| Drew Helleson | Out | Helleson (lower body) will be out for at least one week, but he could be available for the start of the regular season, Zach Cavanagh of The Sporting Tribune reports. | |
| Ian Moore | Out | out | |
| Troy Terry | Out | Terry (hip) is slated to be out for another 2-3 months, according to Zach Cavanagh of The Sporting Tribune on Saturday. | |
| Colin Blackwell | Out | Blackwell is dealing with a lower-body injury but should return before Opening Night, Robert Tiffin of NHL.com reports Monday. | |
| Jaxon Fuder | Out | out | |
| Tristan Bertucci | Out | out | |
| Corey Perry | Out | out | |
| Jan Jenik | Out | out | |
| Mats Zuccarello | Out | out | |
| Filip Gustavsson | Out | Gustavsson (hip) is expected to return around early November, Joe Smith of The Athletic reports Friday. | |
| Artem Zub | Out | out | |
| Warren Foegele | Out | out | |
| Dakota Joshua | Out | out | |
| Max Domi | Out | General manager John Chayka said Wednesday that Domi (back) failed his physical and will be out indefinitely, David Pagnotta of The Fourth Period reports. | |
| William Villeneuve | Out | out |
MLB (16 games)
| Matchup | Forecast | Win% | Ratings | Top Away Players | Top Home Players | MechaPicks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:10 PM CT |
58%
LEAN 42% / 58% |
J. Wood 30 HR / 75 RBI / 0.268 AVG C. Abrams 30 HR / 96 RBI / 0.264 AVG D. Lile 20 HR / 82 RBI / 0.248 AVG |
D. Dingler 27 HR / 88 RBI / 0.244 AVG S. Torkelson 23 HR / 69 RBI / 0.223 AVG R. Greene 20 HR / 71 RBI / 0.284 AVG |
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12:35 PM CT |
50%
LEAN 50% / 50% |
K. Okamoto 33 HR / 88 RBI / 0.236 AVG G. Springer 15 HR / 52 RBI / 0.253 AVG A. Kirk 10 HR / 40 RBI / 0.280 AVG |
P. Alonso 35 HR / 100 RBI / 0.268 AVG C. Mayo 23 HR / 60 RBI / 0.224 AVG G. Henderson 23 HR / 58 RBI / 0.223 AVG |
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2:45 PM CT |
54%
LEAN 46% / 54% |
K. Clemens 26 HR / 76 RBI / 0.241 AVG B. Buxton 25 HR / 46 RBI / 0.254 AVG B. Lee 23 HR / 79 RBI / 0.247 AVG |
R. Devers 37 HR / 98 RBI / 0.258 AVG C. Schmitt 21 HR / 55 RBI / 0.271 AVG W. Adames 21 HR / 51 RBI / 0.230 AVG |
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5:35 PM CT |
50%
LEAN 50% / 50% |
K. Okamoto 33 HR / 88 RBI / 0.236 AVG G. Springer 15 HR / 52 RBI / 0.253 AVG A. Kirk 10 HR / 40 RBI / 0.280 AVG |
P. Alonso 35 HR / 100 RBI / 0.268 AVG C. Mayo 23 HR / 60 RBI / 0.224 AVG G. Henderson 23 HR / 58 RBI / 0.223 AVG |
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5:40 PM CT |
52%
LEAN 52% / 48% |
J. Bauers 26 HR / 83 RBI / 0.269 AVG J. Chourio 23 HR / 67 RBI / 0.292 AVG B. Turang 19 HR / 92 RBI / 0.265 AVG |
K. Schwarber 44 HR / 94 RBI / 0.238 AVG B. Harper 28 HR / 83 RBI / 0.272 AVG T. Turner 19 HR / 57 RBI / 0.241 AVG |
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5:40 PM CT |
53%
LEAN 47% / 53% |
J. Walker 28 HR / 100 RBI / 0.281 AVG A. Burleson 22 HR / 110 RBI / 0.285 AVG J. Wetherholt 17 HR / 48 RBI / 0.242 AVG |
B. Lowe 29 HR / 85 RBI / 0.258 AVG O. Cruz 18 HR / 63 RBI / 0.274 AVG R. O'Hearn 18 HR / 72 RBI / 0.266 AVG |
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6:00 PM CT |
54%
LEAN 46% / 54% |
J. Adell 21 HR / 88 RBI / 0.239 AVG N. Lowe 17 HR / 59 RBI / 0.252 AVG A. Martínez 15 HR / 53 RBI / 0.248 AVG |
W. Contreras 26 HR / 79 RBI / 0.277 AVG W. Abreu 24 HR / 74 RBI / 0.257 AVG J. Duran 20 HR / 69 RBI / 0.205 AVG |
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6:05 PM CT |
55%
LEAN 45% / 55% |
J. Caminero 40 HR / 95 RBI / 0.279 AVG Y. Díaz 22 HR / 81 RBI / 0.301 AVG J. Aranda 21 HR / 89 RBI / 0.278 AVG |
B. Rice 38 HR / 92 RBI / 0.263 AVG L. García Jr. 30 HR / 91 RBI / 0.287 AVG J. Chisholm Jr. 19 HR / 55 RBI / 0.232 AVG |
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6:15 PM CT |
61%
MODERATE 39% / 61% |
S. Stewart 31 HR / 107 RBI / 0.268 AVG E. De La Cruz 27 HR / 72 RBI / 0.284 AVG E. Suárez 24 HR / 68 RBI / 0.213 AVG |
M. Olson 39 HR / 85 RBI / 0.248 AVG M. Harris II 25 HR / 83 RBI / 0.292 AVG D. Baldwin 23 HR / 75 RBI / 0.279 AVG |
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6:40 PM CT |
51%
LEAN 51% / 49% |
M. Vargas 31 HR / 81 RBI / 0.249 AVG C. Montgomery 31 HR / 84 RBI / 0.205 AVG M. Murakami 31 HR / 65 RBI / 0.204 AVG |
C. Jensen 24 HR / 72 RBI / 0.232 AVG J. Caglianone 23 HR / 70 RBI / 0.281 AVG S. Perez 19 HR / 72 RBI / 0.229 AVG |
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6:40 PM CT |
56%
LEAN 44% / 56% |
H. Hernández 24 HR / 63 RBI / 0.226 AVG K. Stowers 19 HR / 61 RBI / 0.242 AVG G. Conine 15 HR / 37 RBI / 0.260 AVG |
P. Crow-Armstrong 42 HR / 102 RBI / 0.281 AVG A. Bregman 25 HR / 84 RBI / 0.262 AVG S. Suzuki 24 HR / 81 RBI / 0.268 AVG |
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7:05 PM CT |
51%
LEAN 49% / 51% |
J. Soto 25 HR / 60 RBI / 0.273 AVG F. Lindor 20 HR / 47 RBI / 0.230 AVG C. Benge 17 HR / 57 RBI / 0.273 AVG |
J. Pederson 26 HR / 53 RBI / 0.235 AVG J. Burger 26 HR / 83 RBI / 0.233 AVG C. Seager 18 HR / 43 RBI / 0.231 AVG |
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7:40 PM CT |
60%
LEAN 60% / 40% |
N. Arenado 25 HR / 73 RBI / 0.240 AVG K. Marte 22 HR / 73 RBI / 0.250 AVG C. Carroll 20 HR / 65 RBI / 0.238 AVG |
H. Goodman 38 HR / 81 RBI / 0.245 AVG M. Moniak 22 HR / 64 RBI / 0.241 AVG T. Rumfield 15 HR / 69 RBI / 0.299 AVG |
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8:40 PM CT |
51%
LEAN 51% / 49% |
Z. Neto 26 HR / 74 RBI / 0.242 AVG M. Trout 21 HR / 52 RBI / 0.244 AVG J. Soler 12 HR / 49 RBI / 0.203 AVG |
S. Langeliers 23 HR / 54 RBI / 0.266 AVG N. Kurtz 21 HR / 69 RBI / 0.256 AVG T. Soderstrom 19 HR / 56 RBI / 0.245 AVG |
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9:00 PM CT |
51%
LEAN 49% / 51% |
Y. Alvarez 38 HR / 96 RBI / 0.310 AVG C. Walker 25 HR / 80 RBI / 0.225 AVG I. Paredes 21 HR / 85 RBI / 0.260 AVG |
R. Arozarena 25 HR / 75 RBI / 0.278 AVG D. Canzone 22 HR / 68 RBI / 0.257 AVG C. Raleigh 22 HR / 63 RBI / 0.181 AVG |
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9:10 PM CT |
58%
LEAN 42% / 58% |
M. Machado 28 HR / 83 RBI / 0.221 AVG J. Merrill 25 HR / 83 RBI / 0.251 AVG F. Tatis Jr. 22 HR / 77 RBI / 0.289 AVG |
S. Ohtani 30 HR / 80 RBI / 0.277 AVG M. Muncy 28 HR / 71 RBI / 0.252 AVG A. Pages 21 HR / 80 RBI / 0.272 AVG |
Injury listings (1)
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Landen Roupp | Out | Roupp (9-14) allowed two runs on five hits and three walks while striking out four over 4.1 innings to take the loss Monday against the Cardinals. |
WNBA (2 games)
| Matchup | Forecast | Win% | Ratings | Top Away Players | Top Home Players | MechaPicks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7:00 PM CT |
56%
LEAN 44% / 56% |
A. Gray 18.9 PTS / 2.6 AST / 3.4 REB R. Howard 18.0 PTS / 3.6 AST / 3.8 REB A. Reese 16.6 PTS / 2.8 AST / 12.3 REB |
B. Stewart 20.8 PTS / 3.3 AST / 8.3 REB S. Ionescu 14.8 PTS / 4.8 AST / 3.8 REB J. Jones 14.6 PTS / 2.6 AST / 9.0 REB |
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9:00 PM CT |
50%
LEAN 50% / 50% |
P. Bueckers 20.8 PTS / 5.9 AST / 4.1 REB A. Ogunbowale 15.1 PTS / 3.2 AST / 3.0 REB J. Shepard 14.3 PTS / 5.1 AST / 11.1 REB |
D. Malonga 16.8 PTS / 1.7 AST / 8.8 REB F. Johnson 14.8 PTS / 2.9 AST / 4.8 REB N. Hiedeman 14.8 PTS / 4.7 AST / 2.5 REB |
Injury listings (10)
| Team | Player | Status | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brionna Jones | Out | Jones will miss the remainder of the season after sustaining a left leg injury against the Sun on Aug. 13, Annie Costabile of The Athletic reports. | |
| Alanna Smith | Out | Smith (lower leg) has no timetable for a return, Myah Taylor of Dallas Morning News reports. | |
| Alysha Clark | Out | Clark (face) is listed as out for Wednesday's game versus the Storm. | |
| Azzi Fudd | Out | Fudd will undergo an arthroscopic procedure to address her right knee soreness and will be sidelined for the remainder of the 2026 season. | |
| Costanza Verona | Out | Verona's contract was temporarily suspended by the Wings Saturday. | |
| Elizabeth Balogun | Out | Balogun (not with team) is out for Wednesday's game against the Dream. | |
| Satou Sabally | Out | out | |
| Ezi Magbegor | Out | out | |
| Katie Lou Samuelson | Out | The Storm announced Friday that Samuelson underwent successful left knee surgery and will miss the remainder of the season. | |
| Zia Cooke | Out | Cooke (knee) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against Dallas. |
FAQ
- What does Win% mean?
- Win% is the model's projected chance that the listed favorite wins the game. The second line shows the away and home split.
- How does MechaPip pick a favorite?
- MechaPip scores every team with calibrated Elo ratings built from season history, then enriches each matchup with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. The higher projected side is the forecast.
- What is the rating edge?
- The rating edge is the Elo rating-point advantage of the projected winner. The Ratings column shows each team's Elo rating and that edge.
- What do the confidence tiers mean?
- 70%+ = High-confidence forecast. 60-69% = Moderate-confidence forecast. 50-59% = Slight favorite.
- What do top-player lines show?
- Season stat leaders for each side. Totals vary by sport (points, yards, goals, or batting line).
- What is MechaPicks?
- The MechaPip logo in the MechaPicks column means MechaPip signaled that pick (paper or live). Rows without the logo are model forecasts only.
- What injury statuses are shown?
- Out listings for teams on today's board. Public ESPN injury listings, refreshed throughout the day.
- How does MechaPip use injuries?
- Out and Doubtful listings can adjust team Elo ratings before a forecast. The blog table shows Out players only.