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FORECAST LOG

MechaPip Predictions - 2026-09-23

Predictions for September 23, 2026

22 games across 3 sports

Free sports predictions for September 23, 2026: 22 games across NHL, MLB and WNBA. Win probabilities come from MechaPip's calibrated Elo ratings.

Highest-confidence forecasts

  1. NHL Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators — Senators 63% · 6:00 PM CT
  2. MLB Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves — Braves 61% · 6:15 PM CT
  3. MLB Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies — Diamondbacks 60% · 7:40 PM CT
  4. MLB San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers — Dodgers 58% · 9:10 PM CT
  5. MLB Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers — Tigers 58% · 12:10 PM CT

NHL (4 games)

NHL board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators
6:00 PM CT
Senators
63%
MODERATE
37% / 63%
AWAY 1466
HOME 1528
+61 edge
W. Nylander 30 G / 49 A / 79 P
J. Tavares 31 G / 40 A / 71 P
M. Knies 23 G / 43 A / 66 P
T. Stutzle 34 G / 49 A / 83 P
D. Batherson 33 G / 38 A / 71 P
D. Cozens 28 G / 31 A / 59 P
Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs
6:00 PM CT
Senators
57%
LEAN
57% / 43%
AWAY 1528
HOME 1466
+61 edge
T. Stutzle 34 G / 49 A / 83 P
D. Batherson 33 G / 38 A / 71 P
D. Cozens 28 G / 31 A / 59 P
W. Nylander 30 G / 49 A / 79 P
J. Tavares 31 G / 40 A / 71 P
M. Knies 23 G / 43 A / 66 P
Minnesota Wild @ Dallas Stars
7:00 PM CT
Stars
55%
LEAN
45% / 55%
AWAY 1530
HOME 1544
+14 edge
K. Kaprizov 45 G / 44 A / 89 P
M. Boldy 42 G / 43 A / 85 P
Q. Hughes 7 G / 69 A / 76 P
J. Robertson 45 G / 51 A / 96 P
W. Johnston 45 G / 41 A / 86 P
M. Rantanen 22 G / 55 A / 77 P
Los Angeles Kings @ Anaheim Ducks
9:00 PM CT
Ducks
53%
LEAN
47% / 53%
AWAY 1490
HOME 1479
-11 edge
A. Panarin 28 G / 56 A / 84 P
A. Kempe 36 G / 37 A / 73 P
Q. Byfield 24 G / 25 A / 49 P
C. Gauthier 41 G / 28 A / 69 P
L. Carlsson 29 G / 38 A / 67 P
J. Carlson 14 G / 46 A / 60 P

Injury listings (16)

NHL injury listings
Team Player Status Note
Anaheim Ducks A.J. Greer Out out
Anaheim Ducks Drew Helleson Out Helleson (lower body) will be out for at least one week, but he could be available for the start of the regular season, Zach Cavanagh of The Sporting Tribune reports.
Anaheim Ducks Ian Moore Out out
Anaheim Ducks Troy Terry Out Terry (hip) is slated to be out for another 2-3 months, according to Zach Cavanagh of The Sporting Tribune on Saturday.
Dallas Stars Colin Blackwell Out Blackwell is dealing with a lower-body injury but should return before Opening Night, Robert Tiffin of NHL.com reports Monday.
Dallas Stars Jaxon Fuder Out out
Dallas Stars Tristan Bertucci Out out
Los Angeles Kings Corey Perry Out out
Los Angeles Kings Jan Jenik Out out
Los Angeles Kings Mats Zuccarello Out out
Minnesota Wild Filip Gustavsson Out Gustavsson (hip) is expected to return around early November, Joe Smith of The Athletic reports Friday.
Ottawa Senators Artem Zub Out out
Ottawa Senators Warren Foegele Out out
Toronto Maple Leafs Dakota Joshua Out out
Toronto Maple Leafs Max Domi Out General manager John Chayka said Wednesday that Domi (back) failed his physical and will be out indefinitely, David Pagnotta of The Fourth Period reports.
Toronto Maple Leafs William Villeneuve Out out

MLB (16 games)

MLB board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers
12:10 PM CT
Tigers
58%
LEAN
42% / 58%
AWAY 1482
HOME 1504
+23 edge
J. Wood 30 HR / 75 RBI / 0.268 AVG
C. Abrams 30 HR / 96 RBI / 0.264 AVG
D. Lile 20 HR / 82 RBI / 0.248 AVG
D. Dingler 27 HR / 88 RBI / 0.244 AVG
S. Torkelson 23 HR / 69 RBI / 0.223 AVG
R. Greene 20 HR / 71 RBI / 0.284 AVG
Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles
12:35 PM CT
Blue Jays
50%
LEAN
50% / 50%
AWAY 1509
HOME 1495
+14 edge
K. Okamoto 33 HR / 88 RBI / 0.236 AVG
G. Springer 15 HR / 52 RBI / 0.253 AVG
A. Kirk 10 HR / 40 RBI / 0.280 AVG
P. Alonso 35 HR / 100 RBI / 0.268 AVG
C. Mayo 23 HR / 60 RBI / 0.224 AVG
G. Henderson 23 HR / 58 RBI / 0.223 AVG
Minnesota Twins @ San Francisco Giants
2:45 PM CT
Giants
54%
LEAN
46% / 54%
AWAY 1484
HOME 1495
+11 edge
K. Clemens 26 HR / 76 RBI / 0.241 AVG
B. Buxton 25 HR / 46 RBI / 0.254 AVG
B. Lee 23 HR / 79 RBI / 0.247 AVG
R. Devers 37 HR / 98 RBI / 0.258 AVG
C. Schmitt 21 HR / 55 RBI / 0.271 AVG
W. Adames 21 HR / 51 RBI / 0.230 AVG
Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles
5:35 PM CT
Blue Jays
50%
LEAN
50% / 50%
AWAY 1509
HOME 1495
+14 edge
K. Okamoto 33 HR / 88 RBI / 0.236 AVG
G. Springer 15 HR / 52 RBI / 0.253 AVG
A. Kirk 10 HR / 40 RBI / 0.280 AVG
P. Alonso 35 HR / 100 RBI / 0.268 AVG
C. Mayo 23 HR / 60 RBI / 0.224 AVG
G. Henderson 23 HR / 58 RBI / 0.223 AVG
Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies
5:40 PM CT
Brewers
52%
LEAN
52% / 48%
AWAY 1538
HOME 1522
+16 edge
J. Bauers 26 HR / 83 RBI / 0.269 AVG
J. Chourio 23 HR / 67 RBI / 0.292 AVG
B. Turang 19 HR / 92 RBI / 0.265 AVG
K. Schwarber 44 HR / 94 RBI / 0.238 AVG
B. Harper 28 HR / 83 RBI / 0.272 AVG
T. Turner 19 HR / 57 RBI / 0.241 AVG
St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
5:40 PM CT
Pirates
53%
LEAN
47% / 53%
AWAY 1496
HOME 1496
+0 edge
J. Walker 28 HR / 100 RBI / 0.281 AVG
A. Burleson 22 HR / 110 RBI / 0.285 AVG
J. Wetherholt 17 HR / 48 RBI / 0.242 AVG
B. Lowe 29 HR / 85 RBI / 0.258 AVG
O. Cruz 18 HR / 63 RBI / 0.274 AVG
R. O'Hearn 18 HR / 72 RBI / 0.266 AVG
Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox
6:00 PM CT
Sox
54%
LEAN
46% / 54%
AWAY 1503
HOME 1515
+12 edge
J. Adell 21 HR / 88 RBI / 0.239 AVG
N. Lowe 17 HR / 59 RBI / 0.252 AVG
A. Martínez 15 HR / 53 RBI / 0.248 AVG
W. Contreras 26 HR / 79 RBI / 0.277 AVG
W. Abreu 24 HR / 74 RBI / 0.257 AVG
J. Duran 20 HR / 69 RBI / 0.205 AVG
Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees
6:05 PM CT
Yankees
55%
LEAN
45% / 55%
AWAY 1515
HOME 1531
+16 edge
J. Caminero 40 HR / 95 RBI / 0.279 AVG
Y. Díaz 22 HR / 81 RBI / 0.301 AVG
J. Aranda 21 HR / 89 RBI / 0.278 AVG
B. Rice 38 HR / 92 RBI / 0.263 AVG
L. García Jr. 30 HR / 91 RBI / 0.287 AVG
J. Chisholm Jr. 19 HR / 55 RBI / 0.232 AVG
Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves
6:15 PM CT
Braves
61%
MODERATE
39% / 61%
AWAY 1482
HOME 1523
+41 edge
S. Stewart 31 HR / 107 RBI / 0.268 AVG
E. De La Cruz 27 HR / 72 RBI / 0.284 AVG
E. Suárez 24 HR / 68 RBI / 0.213 AVG
M. Olson 39 HR / 85 RBI / 0.248 AVG
M. Harris II 25 HR / 83 RBI / 0.292 AVG
D. Baldwin 23 HR / 75 RBI / 0.279 AVG
Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals
6:40 PM CT
Sox
51%
LEAN
51% / 49%
AWAY 1485
HOME 1481
+4 edge
M. Vargas 31 HR / 81 RBI / 0.249 AVG
C. Montgomery 31 HR / 84 RBI / 0.205 AVG
M. Murakami 31 HR / 65 RBI / 0.204 AVG
C. Jensen 24 HR / 72 RBI / 0.232 AVG
J. Caglianone 23 HR / 70 RBI / 0.281 AVG
S. Perez 19 HR / 72 RBI / 0.229 AVG
Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs
6:40 PM CT
Cubs
56%
LEAN
44% / 56%
AWAY 1490
HOME 1519
+28 edge
H. Hernández 24 HR / 63 RBI / 0.226 AVG
K. Stowers 19 HR / 61 RBI / 0.242 AVG
G. Conine 15 HR / 37 RBI / 0.260 AVG
P. Crow-Armstrong 42 HR / 102 RBI / 0.281 AVG
A. Bregman 25 HR / 84 RBI / 0.262 AVG
S. Suzuki 24 HR / 81 RBI / 0.268 AVG
New York Mets @ Texas Rangers
7:05 PM CT
Rangers
51%
LEAN
49% / 51%
AWAY 1505
HOME 1497
-8 edge
J. Soto 25 HR / 60 RBI / 0.273 AVG
F. Lindor 20 HR / 47 RBI / 0.230 AVG
C. Benge 17 HR / 57 RBI / 0.273 AVG
J. Pederson 26 HR / 53 RBI / 0.235 AVG
J. Burger 26 HR / 83 RBI / 0.233 AVG
C. Seager 18 HR / 43 RBI / 0.231 AVG
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies
7:40 PM CT
Diamondbacks
60%
LEAN
60% / 40%
AWAY 1504
HOME 1440
+64 edge
N. Arenado 25 HR / 73 RBI / 0.240 AVG
K. Marte 22 HR / 73 RBI / 0.250 AVG
C. Carroll 20 HR / 65 RBI / 0.238 AVG
H. Goodman 38 HR / 81 RBI / 0.245 AVG
M. Moniak 22 HR / 64 RBI / 0.241 AVG
T. Rumfield 15 HR / 69 RBI / 0.299 AVG
Los Angeles Angels @ Athletics
8:40 PM CT
Angels
51%
LEAN
51% / 49%
AWAY 1464
HOME 1467
-3 edge
Z. Neto 26 HR / 74 RBI / 0.242 AVG
M. Trout 21 HR / 52 RBI / 0.244 AVG
J. Soler 12 HR / 49 RBI / 0.203 AVG
S. Langeliers 23 HR / 54 RBI / 0.266 AVG
N. Kurtz 21 HR / 69 RBI / 0.256 AVG
T. Soderstrom 19 HR / 56 RBI / 0.245 AVG
Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners
9:00 PM CT
Mariners
51%
LEAN
49% / 51%
AWAY 1506
HOME 1491
-15 edge
Y. Alvarez 38 HR / 96 RBI / 0.310 AVG
C. Walker 25 HR / 80 RBI / 0.225 AVG
I. Paredes 21 HR / 85 RBI / 0.260 AVG
R. Arozarena 25 HR / 75 RBI / 0.278 AVG
D. Canzone 22 HR / 68 RBI / 0.257 AVG
C. Raleigh 22 HR / 63 RBI / 0.181 AVG
San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers
9:10 PM CT
Dodgers
58%
LEAN
42% / 58%
AWAY 1512
HOME 1549
+37 edge
M. Machado 28 HR / 83 RBI / 0.221 AVG
J. Merrill 25 HR / 83 RBI / 0.251 AVG
F. Tatis Jr. 22 HR / 77 RBI / 0.289 AVG
S. Ohtani 30 HR / 80 RBI / 0.277 AVG
M. Muncy 28 HR / 71 RBI / 0.252 AVG
A. Pages 21 HR / 80 RBI / 0.272 AVG

Injury listings (1)

MLB injury listings
Team Player Status Note
San Francisco Giants Landen Roupp Out Roupp (9-14) allowed two runs on five hits and three walks while striking out four over 4.1 innings to take the loss Monday against the Cardinals.

WNBA (2 games)

WNBA board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
Atlanta Dream @ New York Liberty
7:00 PM CT
Liberty
56%
LEAN
44% / 56%
AWAY 1551
HOME 1551
+0 edge
A. Gray 18.9 PTS / 2.6 AST / 3.4 REB
R. Howard 18.0 PTS / 3.6 AST / 3.8 REB
A. Reese 16.6 PTS / 2.8 AST / 12.3 REB
B. Stewart 20.8 PTS / 3.3 AST / 8.3 REB
S. Ionescu 14.8 PTS / 4.8 AST / 3.8 REB
J. Jones 14.6 PTS / 2.6 AST / 9.0 REB
Dallas Wings @ Seattle Storm
9:00 PM CT
Storm
50%
LEAN
50% / 50%
AWAY 1497
HOME 1454
-43 edge
P. Bueckers 20.8 PTS / 5.9 AST / 4.1 REB
A. Ogunbowale 15.1 PTS / 3.2 AST / 3.0 REB
J. Shepard 14.3 PTS / 5.1 AST / 11.1 REB
D. Malonga 16.8 PTS / 1.7 AST / 8.8 REB
F. Johnson 14.8 PTS / 2.9 AST / 4.8 REB
N. Hiedeman 14.8 PTS / 4.7 AST / 2.5 REB

Injury listings (10)

WNBA injury listings
Team Player Status Note
Atlanta Dream Brionna Jones Out Jones will miss the remainder of the season after sustaining a left leg injury against the Sun on Aug. 13, Annie Costabile of The Athletic reports.
Dallas Wings Alanna Smith Out Smith (lower leg) has no timetable for a return, Myah Taylor of Dallas Morning News reports.
Dallas Wings Alysha Clark Out Clark (face) is listed as out for Wednesday's game versus the Storm.
Dallas Wings Azzi Fudd Out Fudd will undergo an arthroscopic procedure to address her right knee soreness and will be sidelined for the remainder of the 2026 season.
Dallas Wings Costanza Verona Out Verona's contract was temporarily suspended by the Wings Saturday.
New York Liberty Elizabeth Balogun Out Balogun (not with team) is out for Wednesday's game against the Dream.
New York Liberty Satou Sabally Out out
Seattle Storm Ezi Magbegor Out out
Seattle Storm Katie Lou Samuelson Out The Storm announced Friday that Samuelson underwent successful left knee surgery and will miss the remainder of the season.
Seattle Storm Zia Cooke Out Cooke (knee) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against Dallas.

FAQ

What does Win% mean?
Win% is the model's projected chance that the listed favorite wins the game. The second line shows the away and home split.
How does MechaPip pick a favorite?
MechaPip scores every team with calibrated Elo ratings built from season history, then enriches each matchup with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. The higher projected side is the forecast.
What is the rating edge?
The rating edge is the Elo rating-point advantage of the projected winner. The Ratings column shows each team's Elo rating and that edge.
What do the confidence tiers mean?
70%+ = High-confidence forecast. 60-69% = Moderate-confidence forecast. 50-59% = Slight favorite.
What do top-player lines show?
Season stat leaders for each side. Totals vary by sport (points, yards, goals, or batting line).
What is MechaPicks?
The MechaPip logo in the MechaPicks column means MechaPip signaled that pick (paper or live). Rows without the logo are model forecasts only.
What injury statuses are shown?
Out listings for teams on today's board. Public ESPN injury listings, refreshed throughout the day.
How does MechaPip use injuries?
Out and Doubtful listings can adjust team Elo ratings before a forecast. The blog table shows Out players only.
For analysis only. Not financial advice.
MechaPip  -  calibrated Elo ratings

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