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FORECAST LOG

MechaPip Predictions - 2026-09-21

Predictions for September 21, 2026

14 games across 4 sports

Free sports predictions for September 21, 2026: 14 games across NFL, NHL, MLB and WNBA. Win probabilities come from MechaPip's calibrated Elo ratings.

Highest-confidence forecasts

  1. NHL Minnesota Wild @ Chicago Blackhawks — Wild 67% · 7:00 PM CT
  2. NHL Colorado Avalanche @ Winnipeg Jets — Avalanche 66% · 7:00 PM CT
  3. NHL St. Louis Blues @ Dallas Stars — Stars 64% · 7:00 PM CT
  4. NFL New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams — Rams 64% · 7:15 PM CT
  5. MLB Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers — Tigers 58% · 5:40 PM CT

NFL (1 game)

NFL board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams
7:15 PM CT
Rams
64%
MODERATE
36% / 64%
AWAY 1509
HOME 1589
+80 edge
J. Dart 2759 YDS / 24 TD
T. Tracy Jr. 1028 YDS / 4 TD
W. Robinson 1019 YDS / 4 TD
M. Stafford 4708 YDS / 46 TD
P. Nacua 1820 YDS / 11 TD
K. Williams 1533 YDS / 13 TD

Injury listings (1)

NFL injury listings
Team Player Status Note
Los Angeles Rams Kamren Kinchens Out Kinchens (hamstring) has been ruled out ahead of Monday's game against the Giants, Benjamin Royer of The Orange County Register reports.

NHL (8 games)

NHL board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
Philadelphia Flyers @ Washington Capitals
6:00 PM CT
Capitals
58%
LEAN
42% / 58%
AWAY 1491
HOME 1512
+22 edge
T. Konecny 27 G / 41 A / 68 P
T. Zegras 26 G / 41 A / 67 P
O. Tippett 28 G / 23 A / 51 P
A. Ovechkin 32 G / 32 A / 64 P
T. Wilson 30 G / 32 A / 62 P
J. Chychrun 26 G / 34 A / 60 P
MechaPip
Detroit Red Wings @ Columbus Blue Jackets
6:00 PM CT
Jackets
52%
LEAN
48% / 52%
AWAY 1497
HOME 1495
-2 edge
A. DeBrincat 41 G / 44 A / 85 P
L. Raymond 25 G / 51 A / 76 P
D. Larkin 34 G / 33 A / 67 P
Z. Werenski 22 G / 59 A / 81 P
K. Marchenko 27 G / 40 A / 67 P
A. Fantilli 24 G / 35 A / 59 P
Buffalo Sabres @ Pittsburgh Penguins
6:00 PM CT
Sabres
54%
LEAN
54% / 46%
AWAY 1537
HOME 1491
+46 edge
T. Thompson 40 G / 41 A / 81 P
R. Dahlin 19 G / 55 A / 74 P
A. Tuch 33 G / 33 A / 66 P
S. Crosby 29 G / 45 A / 74 P
E. Karlsson 15 G / 51 A / 66 P
B. Rust 29 G / 36 A / 65 P
New York Rangers @ New Jersey Devils
6:00 PM CT
Devils
55%
LEAN
45% / 55%
AWAY 1485
HOME 1502
+17 edge
M. Zibanejad 34 G / 44 A / 78 P
A. Lafreniere 24 G / 33 A / 57 P
V. Trocheck 16 G / 37 A / 53 P
J. Hughes 27 G / 50 A / 77 P
J. Bratt 22 G / 49 A / 71 P
N. Hischier 28 G / 38 A / 66 P
Ottawa Senators @ Montreal Canadiens
6:00 PM CT
Canadiens
52%
LEAN
48% / 52%
AWAY 1528
HOME 1510
-18 edge
T. Stutzle 34 G / 49 A / 83 P
D. Batherson 33 G / 38 A / 71 P
D. Cozens 28 G / 31 A / 59 P
N. Suzuki 29 G / 72 A / 101 P
C. Caufield 51 G / 37 A / 88 P
L. Hutson 12 G / 66 A / 78 P
Colorado Avalanche @ Winnipeg Jets
7:00 PM CT
Avalanche
66%
MODERATE
66% / 34%
AWAY 1582
HOME 1488
+94 edge
N. MacKinnon 53 G / 74 A / 127 P
M. Necas 38 G / 62 A / 100 P
C. Makar 20 G / 59 A / 79 P
M. Scheifele 36 G / 67 A / 103 P
K. Connor 39 G / 53 A / 92 P
G. Vilardi 30 G / 39 A / 69 P
Minnesota Wild @ Chicago Blackhawks
7:00 PM CT
Wild
67%
MODERATE
67% / 33%
AWAY 1530
HOME 1425
+105 edge
K. Kaprizov 45 G / 44 A / 89 P
M. Boldy 42 G / 43 A / 85 P
Q. Hughes 7 G / 69 A / 76 P
C. Bedard 30 G / 45 A / 75 P
T. Bertuzzi 32 G / 26 A / 58 P
F. Nazar 15 G / 26 A / 41 P
St. Louis Blues @ Dallas Stars
7:00 PM CT
Stars
64%
MODERATE
36% / 64%
AWAY 1500
HOME 1544
+44 edge
R. Thomas 25 G / 39 A / 64 P
D. Holloway 22 G / 29 A / 51 P
J. Snuggerud 21 G / 30 A / 51 P
J. Robertson 45 G / 51 A / 96 P
W. Johnston 45 G / 41 A / 86 P
M. Rantanen 22 G / 55 A / 77 P

Injury listings (21)

NHL injury listings
Team Player Status Note
Buffalo Sabres Jason Zucker Out out
Colorado Avalanche Cale Makar Out out
Colorado Avalanche Trent Miner Out out
Columbus Blue Jackets Adam Fantilli Out out
Dallas Stars Colin Blackwell Out out
Dallas Stars Jaxon Fuder Out out
Dallas Stars Tristan Bertucci Out out
Detroit Red Wings Dylan Larkin Out out
Minnesota Wild Filip Gustavsson Out Gustavsson (hip) is expected to return around early November, Joe Smith of The Athletic reports Friday.
Montreal Canadiens Kaiden Guhle Out The Canadiens announced Wednesday that Guhle is recovering from a minor surgery to his adductor muscle that he underwent over the summer, and he's expected to return in 4-5 weeks.
New Jersey Devils Johnathan Kovacevic Out out
New Jersey Devils Nick Bjugstad Out The Devils announced Thursday that Bjugstad underwent successful surgery to repair a torn left pectoral muscle last week and will be sidelined for approximately 4-6 months.
New York Rangers Aidan Thompson Out Thompson (undisclosed) is considered week-to-week heading into training camp, Peter Baugh of The Athletic reports Wednesday.
Ottawa Senators Artem Zub Out out
Ottawa Senators Thomas Chabot Out out
Philadelphia Flyers Nikita Grebenkin Out out
Pittsburgh Penguins Melvin Fernström Out out
Washington Capitals Patrick Thomas Out out
Winnipeg Jets Elias Salomonsson Out Head coach Scott Arniel said Thursday that Salomonsson (shoulder) is targeting the end of October for a return date, Mitchell Clinton of the Jets' official site reports.
Winnipeg Jets Garrett Brown Out Brown (lower body) was initially expected to be out long term, but he'll now be reevaluated in a couple of weeks, Mitchell Clinton of the Jets' official site reports Thursday.
Winnipeg Jets Walker Duehr Out out

MLB (3 games)

MLB board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles
5:35 PM CT
Blue Jays
51%
LEAN
51% / 49%
AWAY 1512
HOME 1493
+19 edge
K. Okamoto 33 HR / 88 RBI / 0.236 AVG
G. Springer 15 HR / 52 RBI / 0.253 AVG
A. Kirk 10 HR / 40 RBI / 0.280 AVG
P. Alonso 35 HR / 100 RBI / 0.268 AVG
C. Mayo 23 HR / 60 RBI / 0.224 AVG
G. Henderson 23 HR / 58 RBI / 0.223 AVG
Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers
5:40 PM CT
Tigers
58%
LEAN
42% / 58%
AWAY 1478
HOME 1503
+25 edge
J. Wood 30 HR / 75 RBI / 0.268 AVG
C. Abrams 30 HR / 96 RBI / 0.264 AVG
D. Lile 20 HR / 82 RBI / 0.248 AVG
D. Dingler 27 HR / 88 RBI / 0.244 AVG
S. Torkelson 23 HR / 69 RBI / 0.223 AVG
R. Greene 20 HR / 71 RBI / 0.284 AVG
Minnesota Twins @ San Francisco Giants
8:45 PM CT
Giants
54%
LEAN
46% / 54%
AWAY 1486
HOME 1494
+8 edge
K. Clemens 26 HR / 76 RBI / 0.241 AVG
B. Buxton 25 HR / 46 RBI / 0.254 AVG
B. Lee 23 HR / 79 RBI / 0.247 AVG
R. Devers 37 HR / 98 RBI / 0.258 AVG
C. Schmitt 21 HR / 55 RBI / 0.271 AVG
W. Adames 21 HR / 51 RBI / 0.230 AVG

WNBA (2 games)

WNBA board
Matchup Forecast Win% Ratings Top Away Players Top Home Players MechaPicks
Atlanta Dream @ New York Liberty
7:00 PM CT
Liberty
58%
LEAN
42% / 58%
AWAY 1551
HOME 1569
+18 edge
A. Gray 19.0 PTS / 2.6 AST / 3.5 REB
R. Howard 18.0 PTS / 3.7 AST / 3.8 REB
A. Reese 16.6 PTS / 2.8 AST / 12.3 REB
B. Stewart 20.7 PTS / 3.2 AST / 8.1 REB
S. Ionescu 14.8 PTS / 4.9 AST / 3.9 REB
J. Jones 14.6 PTS / 2.6 AST / 8.9 REB
Dallas Wings @ Phoenix Mercury
9:00 PM CT
Mercury
53%
LEAN
47% / 53%
AWAY 1497
HOME 1470
-26 edge
P. Bueckers 20.6 PTS / 5.8 AST / 4.1 REB
A. Ogunbowale 15.3 PTS / 3.3 AST / 3.1 REB
J. Shepard 14.3 PTS / 5.1 AST / 10.9 REB
K. Plum 21.5 PTS / 5.4 AST / 2.1 REB
K. Copper 21.3 PTS / 1.9 AST / 3.6 REB
A. Thomas 14.5 PTS / 8.4 AST / 7.8 REB

Injury listings (9)

WNBA injury listings
Team Player Status Note
Atlanta Dream Brionna Jones Out Jones will miss the remainder of the season after sustaining a left leg injury against the Sun on Aug. 13, Annie Costabile of The Athletic reports.
Dallas Wings Alanna Smith Out Smith (lower leg) has no timetable for a return, Myah Taylor of Dallas Morning News reports.
Dallas Wings Azzi Fudd Out Fudd will undergo an arthroscopic procedure to address her right knee soreness and will be sidelined for the remainder of the 2026 season.
Dallas Wings Costanza Verona Out Verona's contract was temporarily suspended by the Wings Saturday.
New York Liberty Elizabeth Balogun Out Balogun (not with team) is listed as out for Sunday's game versus Toronto.
New York Liberty Satou Sabally Out out
Phoenix Mercury Jovana Nogic Out Nogic (not injury related) intends to play professionally in Russia and won't return to Phoenix this season, Aya Abdeen of TheIXSports.com reports.
Phoenix Mercury Kahleah Copper Out Copper (groin) is probable for Monday's meeting with the Wings.
Phoenix Mercury Kelsey Plum Out Plum (leg) will miss the remainder of the 2026 WNBA season, Alexa Philippou of ESPN.com reports.

FAQ

What does Win% mean?
Win% is the model's projected chance that the listed favorite wins the game. The second line shows the away and home split.
How does MechaPip pick a favorite?
MechaPip scores every team with calibrated Elo ratings built from season history, then enriches each matchup with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. The higher projected side is the forecast.
What is the rating edge?
The rating edge is the Elo rating-point advantage of the projected winner. The Ratings column shows each team's Elo rating and that edge.
What do the confidence tiers mean?
70%+ = High-confidence forecast. 60-69% = Moderate-confidence forecast. 50-59% = Slight favorite.
What do top-player lines show?
Season stat leaders for each side. Totals vary by sport (points, yards, goals, or batting line).
What is MechaPicks?
The MechaPip logo in the MechaPicks column means MechaPip signaled that pick (paper or live). Rows without the logo are model forecasts only.
What injury statuses are shown?
Out listings for teams on today's board. Public ESPN injury listings, refreshed throughout the day.
How does MechaPip use injuries?
Out and Doubtful listings can adjust team Elo ratings before a forecast. The blog table shows Out players only.
For analysis only. Not financial advice.
MechaPip  -  calibrated Elo ratings

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