Win% is the model's projected chance that the listed favorite wins the game. The second line shows the away and home split.

How does MechaPip pick a favorite?

MechaPip scores every team with calibrated Elo ratings built from season history, then enriches each matchup with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. The higher projected side is the forecast.

What is the rating edge?

The rating edge is the Elo rating-point advantage of the projected winner. The Ratings column shows each team's Elo rating and that edge.

What do the confidence tiers mean?

70%+ = High-confidence forecast. 60-69% = Moderate-confidence forecast. 50-59% = Slight favorite.

What do top-player lines show?

Season stat leaders for each side. Totals vary by sport (points, yards, goals, or batting line).

The MechaPip logo in the MechaPicks column means MechaPip signaled that pick (paper or live). Rows without the logo are model forecasts only.

What injury statuses are shown?

Out listings for teams on today's board. Public ESPN injury listings, refreshed throughout the day.

How does MechaPip use injuries?

Out and Doubtful listings can adjust team Elo ratings before a forecast. The blog table shows Out players only.

MechaPip: MechaPip Predictions

Predictions for September 17, 2026

16 games across 4 sports

Free sports predictions for September 17, 2026: 16 games across NFL, MLB, WNBA and NCAAF. Win probabilities come from MechaPip's calibrated Elo ratings.

Highest-confidence forecasts

WNBA Connecticut Sun @ Atlanta Dream — Dream 74% · 6:30 PM CT
NCAAF Syracuse Orange @ Pittsburgh Panthers — Panthers 73% · 6:30 PM CT
NFL Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills — Bills 64% · 7:15 PM CT
MLB Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays — Rays 64% · 12:10 PM CT
MLB San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies — Padres 62% · 2:10 PM CT

NFL (1 game)

NFL board
Matchup	Forecast	Win%	Ratings	Top Away Players	Top Home Players	MechaPicks
Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills 7:15 PM CT	Bills	64% MODERATE 36% / 64%	AWAY 1551 HOME 1638 +87 edge	J. Goff 4609 YDS / 34 TD J. Gibbs 1839 YDS / 18 TD A. St. Brown 1410 YDS / 11 TD	J. Allen 4247 YDS / 39 TD J. Cook III 1912 YDS / 14 TD K. Shakir 724 YDS / 4 TD

Injury listings (3)

NFL injury listings
Team	Player	Status	Note
Buffalo Bills	Tyrell Shavers	Out	out
Detroit Lions	Blake Miller	Out	Miller (knee) has been ruled out for Thursday night's contest in Buffalo.
Detroit Lions	Christian Mahogany	Out	Mahogany (hip) has been ruled out for Thursday night's contest against the Bills.

MLB (9 games)

MLB board
Matchup	Forecast	Win%	Ratings	Top Away Players	Top Home Players
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates 11:35 AM CT	Brewers	56% LEAN 56% / 44%	AWAY 1541 HOME 1494 +47 edge	J. Bauers 26 HR / 83 RBI / 0.269 AVG J. Chourio 23 HR / 67 RBI / 0.292 AVG B. Turang 19 HR / 92 RBI / 0.265 AVG	B. Lowe 29 HR / 85 RBI / 0.258 AVG O. Cruz 18 HR / 63 RBI / 0.274 AVG R. O'Hearn 18 HR / 72 RBI / 0.266 AVG
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds 11:40 AM CT	Dodgers	60% LEAN 60% / 40%	AWAY 1543 HOME 1482 +61 edge	S. Ohtani 30 HR / 80 RBI / 0.277 AVG M. Muncy 28 HR / 71 RBI / 0.252 AVG A. Pages 21 HR / 80 RBI / 0.272 AVG	S. Stewart 31 HR / 107 RBI / 0.268 AVG E. De La Cruz 27 HR / 72 RBI / 0.284 AVG E. Suárez 24 HR / 68 RBI / 0.213 AVG
Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays 12:10 PM CT	Rays	64% MODERATE 36% / 64%	AWAY 1464 HOME 1514 +50 edge	S. Langeliers 23 HR / 54 RBI / 0.266 AVG N. Kurtz 21 HR / 69 RBI / 0.256 AVG T. Soderstrom 19 HR / 56 RBI / 0.245 AVG	J. Caminero 40 HR / 95 RBI / 0.279 AVG Y. Díaz 22 HR / 81 RBI / 0.301 AVG J. Aranda 21 HR / 89 RBI / 0.278 AVG
San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies 2:10 PM CT	Padres	62% MODERATE 62% / 38%	AWAY 1518 HOME 1440 +78 edge	M. Machado 28 HR / 83 RBI / 0.221 AVG J. Merrill 25 HR / 83 RBI / 0.251 AVG F. Tatis Jr. 22 HR / 77 RBI / 0.289 AVG	H. Goodman 38 HR / 81 RBI / 0.245 AVG M. Moniak 22 HR / 64 RBI / 0.241 AVG T. Rumfield 15 HR / 69 RBI / 0.299 AVG
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets 6:15 PM CT	Phillies	51% LEAN 51% / 49%	AWAY 1522 HOME 1499 +23 edge	K. Schwarber 44 HR / 94 RBI / 0.238 AVG B. Harper 28 HR / 83 RBI / 0.272 AVG T. Turner 19 HR / 57 RBI / 0.241 AVG	J. Soto 25 HR / 60 RBI / 0.273 AVG F. Lindor 20 HR / 47 RBI / 0.230 AVG C. Benge 17 HR / 57 RBI / 0.273 AVG
Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros 6:15 PM CT	Astros	54% LEAN 46% / 54%	AWAY 1486 HOME 1500 +13 edge	C. Jensen 24 HR / 72 RBI / 0.232 AVG J. Caglianone 23 HR / 70 RBI / 0.281 AVG S. Perez 19 HR / 72 RBI / 0.229 AVG	Y. Alvarez 38 HR / 96 RBI / 0.310 AVG C. Walker 25 HR / 80 RBI / 0.225 AVG I. Paredes 21 HR / 85 RBI / 0.260 AVG
Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox 6:40 PM CT	Tigers	52% LEAN 52% / 48%	AWAY 1504 HOME 1481 +23 edge	D. Dingler 27 HR / 88 RBI / 0.244 AVG S. Torkelson 23 HR / 69 RBI / 0.223 AVG R. Greene 20 HR / 71 RBI / 0.284 AVG	M. Vargas 31 HR / 81 RBI / 0.249 AVG C. Montgomery 31 HR / 84 RBI / 0.205 AVG M. Murakami 31 HR / 65 RBI / 0.204 AVG
Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers 7:05 PM CT	Sox	52% LEAN 52% / 48%	AWAY 1513 HOME 1502 +11 edge	W. Contreras 26 HR / 79 RBI / 0.277 AVG W. Abreu 24 HR / 74 RBI / 0.257 AVG J. Duran 20 HR / 69 RBI / 0.205 AVG	J. Pederson 26 HR / 53 RBI / 0.235 AVG J. Burger 26 HR / 83 RBI / 0.233 AVG C. Seager 18 HR / 43 RBI / 0.231 AVG
Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels 8:38 PM CT	Angels	51% LEAN 49% / 51%	AWAY 1484 HOME 1463 -21 edge	K. Clemens 26 HR / 76 RBI / 0.241 AVG B. Buxton 25 HR / 46 RBI / 0.254 AVG B. Lee 23 HR / 79 RBI / 0.247 AVG	Z. Neto 26 HR / 74 RBI / 0.242 AVG M. Trout 21 HR / 52 RBI / 0.244 AVG J. Soler 12 HR / 49 RBI / 0.203 AVG

WNBA (5 games)

WNBA board
Matchup	Forecast	Win%	Ratings	Top Away Players	Top Home Players
Connecticut Sun @ Atlanta Dream 6:30 PM CT	Dream	74% STRONG 26% / 74%	AWAY 1418 HOME 1551 +134 edge	B. Griner 13.2 PTS / 2.5 AST / 5.8 REB L. Lacan 11.6 PTS / 4.6 AST / 1.9 REB A. Edwards 11.1 PTS / 0.9 AST / 4.4 REB	A. Gray 19.3 PTS / 2.6 AST / 3.4 REB R. Howard 18.3 PTS / 3.6 AST / 3.8 REB A. Reese 16.1 PTS / 2.8 AST / 12.4 REB
Washington Mystics @ Chicago Sky 7:00 PM CT	Sky	51% LEAN 49% / 51%	AWAY 1483 HOME 1424 -59 edge	No data	R. Jackson 18.0 PTS / 2.0 AST / 4.8 REB K. Cardoso 14.8 PTS / 2.5 AST / 8.7 REB S. Diggins 14.2 PTS / 4.9 AST / 3.2 REB
Los Angeles Sparks @ Dallas Wings 7:00 PM CT	Wings	61% MODERATE 39% / 61%	AWAY 1446 HOME 1497 +50 edge	N. Ogwumike 17.2 PTS / 3.0 AST / 8.9 REB R. Burrell 14.6 PTS / 2.6 AST / 2.4 REB D. Hamby 14.5 PTS / 2.5 AST / 7.1 REB	P. Bueckers 20.5 PTS / 5.9 AST / 4.1 REB A. Ogunbowale 15.2 PTS / 3.2 AST / 3.1 REB J. Shepard 14.4 PTS / 4.9 AST / 11.1 REB
Phoenix Mercury @ Portland Fire 9:00 PM CT	Fire	51% LEAN 49% / 51%	AWAY 1470 HOME 1466 -4 edge	K. Plum 21.5 PTS / 5.4 AST / 2.1 REB K. Copper 21.3 PTS / 1.9 AST / 3.6 REB A. Thomas 14.2 PTS / 8.4 AST / 7.7 REB	C. Leite 15.9 PTS / 6.3 AST / 2.1 REB B. Carleton 14.3 PTS / 2.2 AST / 4.5 REB M. DiLeo 13.2 PTS / 0.9 AST / 4.2 REB
Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm 9:00 PM CT	Aces	59% LEAN 59% / 41%	AWAY 1578 HOME 1454 +124 edge	A. Wilson 26.0 PTS / 3.2 AST / 9.4 REB J. Young 18.9 PTS / 6.6 AST / 4.4 REB C. Carter 12.2 PTS / 1.3 AST / 1.8 REB	D. Malonga 17.0 PTS / 1.7 AST / 9.0 REB N. Hiedeman 15.4 PTS / 4.8 AST / 2.7 REB F. Johnson 14.1 PTS / 2.9 AST / 4.8 REB

Injury listings (24)

WNBA injury listings
Team	Player	Status	Note
Atlanta Dream	Brionna Jones	Out	Jones (leg) has been ruled out for Thursday's game against the Sun.
Chicago Sky	DiJonai Carrington	Out	Carrington (foot) is out for Thursday's game against the Dream.
Chicago Sky	Rickea Jackson	Out	The Sky announced Tuesday that Jackson will miss the remainder of the season after suffering a torn ACL in her left knee during Sunday's 86-79 win over the Lynx.
Chicago Sky	Skylar Diggins	Out	Diggins (knee) will miss the remainder of the 2026 WNBA season, Sara Jane Gamelli of BallisLife.com reports.
Connecticut Sun	Brittney Griner	Out	Griner (knee) is questionable for Thursday's game against the Dream.
Connecticut Sun	Kennedy Burke	Out	The Sun announced Monday that Burke suffered a sprained AC joint in the FIBA World Cup and will miss the rest of the season.
Connecticut Sun	Leila Lacan	Out	Lacan (rest) is questionable for Thursday's game against the Dream.
Dallas Wings	Alanna Smith	Out	Smith (lower leg) has been ruled out for Thursday's game against the Sparks.
Dallas Wings	Azzi Fudd	Out	Fudd will undergo an arthroscopic procedure to address her right knee soreness and will be sidelined for the remainder of the 2026 season.
Dallas Wings	Costanza Verona	Out	Verona's contract was temporarily suspended by the Wings Saturday.
Las Vegas Aces	NaLyssa Smith	Out	The Aces announced Thursday that Smith will be sidelined for the rest of the season after suffering a non-contact left leg injury during Sunday's game versus the Tempo, per Chelsea Leite of TSN.
Phoenix Mercury	Jovana Nogic	Out	Nogic (not injury related) intends to play professionally in Russia and won't return to Phoenix this season, Aya Abdeen of TheIXSports.com reports.
Phoenix Mercury	Kahleah Copper	Out	Copper (groin) is listed as questionable for Thursday's game against the Fire.
Phoenix Mercury	Kelsey Plum	Out	Plum (leg) will miss the remainder of the 2026 WNBA season, Alexa Philippou of ESPN.com reports.
Portland Fire	Bridget Carleton	Out	Carleton (ankle) is listed as out for Thursday's game versus Phoenix.
Portland Fire	Carla Leite	Out	Leite (rest) has been ruled out for Thursday's game against Phoenix.
Portland Fire	Luisa Geiselsoder	Out	Geiselsoder (personal) won't return this season, according to Sean Highkin of RoseGardenReport.com.
Portland Fire	Megan DiLeo	Out	DiLeo (finger) is listed as out for Thursday's game versus Phoenix.
Portland Fire	Sania Feagin	Out	Feagin (knee) was diagnosed with a torn left ACL on Thursday and will miss the rest of the 2026 campaign, WNBA reporter Kareem Copeland reports.
Portland Fire	Sarah Ashlee Barker	Out	The Fire announced Friday that Barker will undergo surgery to repair a torn ACL and will miss the remainder of the 2026 campaign.
Portland Fire	Teja Oblak	Out	Oblak (knee) has been ruled out for Thursday's game against the Mercury.
Seattle Storm	Ezi Magbegor	Out	out
Seattle Storm	Katie Lou Samuelson	Out	The Storm announced Friday that Samuelson underwent successful left knee surgery and will miss the remainder of the season.
Washington Mystics	Sonia Citron	Out	Citron (personal) has been ruled out for Thursday's game against the Sky.

NCAAF (1 game)

NCAAF board
Matchup	Forecast	Win%	Ratings	Top Away Players	Top Home Players	MechaPicks
Syracuse Orange @ Pittsburgh Panthers 6:30 PM CT	Panthers	73% STRONG 27% / 73%	AWAY 1465 HOME 1554 +89 edge	No data	No data

FAQ

What does Win% mean?: Win% is the model's projected chance that the listed favorite wins the game. The second line shows the away and home split.
How does MechaPip pick a favorite?: MechaPip scores every team with calibrated Elo ratings built from season history, then enriches each matchup with player form, team advanced stats, injuries, and starter data. The higher projected side is the forecast.
What is the rating edge?: The rating edge is the Elo rating-point advantage of the projected winner. The Ratings column shows each team's Elo rating and that edge.
What do the confidence tiers mean?: 70%+ = High-confidence forecast. 60-69% = Moderate-confidence forecast. 50-59% = Slight favorite.
What do top-player lines show?: Season stat leaders for each side. Totals vary by sport (points, yards, goals, or batting line).
What is MechaPicks?: The MechaPip logo in the MechaPicks column means MechaPip signaled that pick (paper or live). Rows without the logo are model forecasts only.
What injury statuses are shown?: Out listings for teams on today's board. Public ESPN injury listings, refreshed throughout the day.
How does MechaPip use injuries?: Out and Doubtful listings can adjust team Elo ratings before a forecast. The blog table shows Out players only.