Elo model predictions | K=18.6 | Home Adv=76.5 | Platt-calibrated | April 21, 2026
| Matchup | Winner | Win% | Elo Edge | Top Away Players | Top Home Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics | Celtics ✅ | 61% | +164 pts | T. Maxey 28.3p / 4.1r / 6.6a J. Embiid 26.9p / 7.7r / 3.9a P. George 17.3p / 5.3r / 3.6a |
J. Brown 28.7p / 6.9r / 5.1a J. Tatum 21.8p / 10.0r / 5.3a P. Pritchard 17.0p / 3.9r / 5.2a |
| Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs | Spurs ✅ | 65% | +298 pts | D. Avdija 24.2p / 6.9r / 6.7a S. Sharpe 20.8p / 4.3r / 2.6a J. Grant 18.6p / 3.5r / 2.1a |
V. Wembanyama 25.0p / 11.5r / 3.1a D. Fox 18.6p / 3.8r / 6.2a S. Castle 16.7p / 5.3r / 7.4a |
| Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers | Lakers | 55% | +15 pts | K. Durant 26.0p / 5.5r / 4.8a A. Sengun 20.4p / 8.9r / 6.2a A. Thompson 18.3p / 7.8r / 5.3a |
L. Dončić 33.5p / 7.7r / 8.3a A. Reaves 23.3p / 4.7r / 5.5a L. James 20.9p / 6.1r / 7.2a |
🔥 = 70%+ confidence | ✅ = 60-69% | Stats: season averages (PPG / RPG / APG)
For entertainment & analysis purposes only. Not financial advice.
