Elo model predictions | K=1.5 | Home Adv=32.4 | Platt-calibrated | April 19, 2026
| Matchup | Winner | Win% | Elo Edge | Top Away Players | Top Home Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants @ Washington Nationals | Giants | 54% | 85 pts | P. Bailey 15HR / 0RBI / 0.240AVG D. Susac 9HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG T. Mahle 6HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG |
K. Ruiz 21HR / 0RBI / 0.260AVG D. Millas 18HR / 0RBI / 0.283AVG J. Wood 7HR / 18RBI / 0.247AVG |
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Pirates | 55% | +-3 pts | N. Fortes 20HR / 0RBI / 0.249AVG H. Feduccia 7HR / 0RBI / 0.192AVG J. Caminero 5HR / 10RBI / 0.250AVG |
H. Davis 8HR / 0RBI / 0.221AVG J. Bart 8HR / 0RBI / 0.224AVG B. Lowe 7HR / 18RBI / 0.267AVG |
| Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees | Yankees ✅ | 61% | +65 pts | S. Perez 13HR / 0RBI / 0.209AVG C. Jensen 12HR / 12RBI / 0.000AVG N. Cameron 5HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG |
A. Wells 14HR / 0RBI / 0.226AVG A. Judge 8HR / 14RBI / 0.000AVG B. Rice 7HR / 17RBI / 0.339AVG |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Guardians | Guardians | 55% | +28 pts | S. Basallo 14HR / 0RBI / 0.250AVG G. Henderson 7HR / 15RBI / 0.000AVG A. Rutschman 6HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG |
B. Naylor 19HR / 0RBI / 0.227AVG J. Ramírez 6HR / 12RBI / 0.000AVG A. Hedges 6HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Miami Marlins | Brewers | 55% | 101 pts | W. Contreras 14HR / 11RBI / 0.239AVG J. Bauers 5HR / 13RBI / 0.000AVG J. Misiorowski 4HR / 0RBI / 0.177AVG |
L. Hicks 13HR / 19RBI / 0.218AVG A. Ramírez 7HR / 10RBI / 0.218AVG S. Alcantara 4HR / 0RBI / 0.197AVG |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros | Astros | 56% | +27 pts | P. Pagés 13HR / 0RBI / 0.274AVG I. Herrera 9HR / 11RBI / 0.000AVG J. Walker 8HR / 16RBI / 0.300AVG |
Y. Diaz 21HR / 0RBI / 0.268AVG C. Vázquez 13HR / 10RBI / 0.000AVG Y. Alvarez 9HR / 20RBI / 0.329AVG |
| Cincinnati Reds @ Minnesota Twins | Twins | 53% | +-24 pts | T. Stephenson 11HR / 0RBI / 0.227AVG S. Stewart 7HR / 19RBI / 0.286AVG E. De La Cruz 6HR / 12RBI / 0.267AVG |
R. Jeffers 12HR / 12RBI / 0.274AVG S. Woods Richardson 4HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG J. Bell 3HR / 15RBI / 0.270AVG |
| New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs | Cubs | 58% | +3 pts | F. Alvarez 19HR / 0RBI / 0.257AVG F. Peralta 4HR / 0RBI / 0.192AVG K. Senga 4HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG |
C. Kelly 18HR / 10RBI / 0.240AVG J. Taillon 6HR / 0RBI / 0.235AVG I. Happ 6HR / 11RBI / 0.000AVG |
| Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies | Dodgers | 56% | 205 pts | W. Smith 12HR / 10RBI / 0.181AVG M. Muncy 6HR / 0RBI / 0.261AVG A. Pages 5HR / 21RBI / 0.378AVG |
B. Sullivan 15HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG H. Goodman 11HR / 0RBI / 0.259AVG M. Moniak 5HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG |
| Chicago White Sox @ Athletics | Athletics ✅ | 62% | +65 pts | E. Quero 11HR / 0RBI / 0.243AVG R. McGuire 9HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG M. Murakami 7HR / 14RBI / 0.000AVG |
S. Langeliers 16HR / 12RBI / 0.263AVG A. Wynns 8HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG L. Severino 4HR / 0RBI / 0.250AVG |
| San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Angels | Padres | 52% | 97 pts | F. Fermin 7HR / 0RBI / 0.229AVG L. Campusano 6HR / 0RBI / 0.247AVG G. Márquez 5HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG |
L. O'Hoppe 15HR / 0RBI / 0.212AVG M. Trout 7HR / 16RBI / 0.000AVG Z. Neto 5HR / 10RBI / 0.250AVG |
| Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners | Mariners | 53% | +0 pts | D. Jansen 16HR / 0RBI / 0.227AVG K. Higashioka 6HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG N. Eovaldi 5HR / 0RBI / 0.295AVG |
C. Raleigh 14HR / 11RBI / 0.251AVG L. Raley 5HR / 13RBI / 0.318AVG G. Kirby 4HR / 0RBI / 0.225AVG |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Diamondbacks | 52% | +-24 pts | T. Heineman 11HR / 0RBI / 0.274AVG B. Valenzuela 8HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG A. Kirk 5HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG |
G. Moreno 9HR / 0RBI / 0.240AVG J. McCann 8HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG A. Del Castillo 6HR / 10RBI / 0.000AVG |
| Detroit Tigers @ Boston Red Sox | Sox | 55% | +-1 pts | D. Dingler 8HR / 14RBI / 0.216AVG K. Carpenter 4HR / 12RBI / 0.000AVG J. Rogers 4HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG |
C. Narváez 16HR / 0RBI / 0.249AVG C. Wong 10HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG S. Gray 3HR / 0RBI / 0.265AVG |
| Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies | Phillies | 54% | +8 pts | D. Baldwin 12HR / 19RBI / 0.225AVG C. Sale 5HR / 0RBI / 0.210AVG M. Olson 5HR / 15RBI / 0.296AVG |
J. Realmuto 15HR / 0RBI / 0.271AVG K. Schwarber 6HR / 12RBI / 0.000AVG T. Walker 6HR / 0RBI / 0.000AVG |
🔥 = 70%+ confidence | ✅ = 60-69% | Stats: season stats (HR / RBI / AVG)
For entertainment & analysis purposes only. Not financial advice.