Elo model predictions | K=8.5 | Home Adv=32.0 | Platt-calibrated | April 23, 2026
| Matchup | Winner | Win% | Elo Edge | Top Away Players | Top Home Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New York Knicks @ Atlanta Hawks  |
Knicks |
68% | 47 pts | J. Brunson 26.0p / 3.3r / 6.8a K. Towns 20.1p / 11.9r / 3.0a O. Anunoby 16.7p / 5.2r / 2.2a |
J. Johnson 22.5p / 10.3r / 7.9a N. Alexander-Walker 20.8p / 3.4r / 3.7a C. McCollum 18.7p / 3.3r / 3.9a |
 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Toronto Raptors  |
Cavaliers |
64% | 98 pts | D. Mitchell 27.9p / 4.5r / 5.7a J. Harden 23.6p / 4.8r / 8.0a E. Mobley 18.2p / 9.0r / 3.6a |
B. Ingram 21.5p / 5.6r / 3.7a R. Barrett 19.3p / 5.3r / 3.3a S. Barnes 18.1p / 7.5r / 5.9a |
 Denver Nuggets @ Minnesota Timberwolves  |
Nuggets |
58% | 89 pts | N. Jokić 27.7p / 12.9r / 10.7a J. Murray 25.4p / 4.4r / 7.1a A. Gordon 16.2p / 5.8r / 2.7a |
A. Edwards 28.8p / 5.0r / 3.7a J. Randle 21.1p / 6.7r / 5.0a A. Dosunmu 14.8p / 3.4r / 3.6a |
70%+ = strong pick | 60-69% = moderate pick | Stats: season averages (PPG / RPG / APG)
For entertainment & analysis purposes only. Not financial advice.