Elo model predictions | K=4.5 | Home Adv=20.0 | Platt-calibrated | April 09, 2026
| Matchup | Winner | Win% | Elo Edge | Top Away Players | Top Home Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors | Raptors ✅ | 65% | +17 pts | N. Powell 21.9p / 3.6r / 2.5a T. Herro 21.2p / 4.6r / 4.0a B. Adebayo 20.0p / 10.0r / 3.0a |
B. Ingram 21.3p / 5.5r / 3.6a R. Barrett 19.1p / 5.3r / 3.3a S. Barnes 18.2p / 7.5r / 5.9a |
| Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards | Bulls ✅ | 61% | 156 pts | J. Giddey 17.0p / 8.3r / 9.1a M. Buzelis 16.3p / 5.8r / 2.0a C. Sexton 15.3p / 2.3r / 3.3a |
A. Davis 20.4p / 11.1r / 2.8a T. Young 17.9p / 2.0r / 8.0a A. Sarr 16.3p / 7.4r / 2.7a |
| Indiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets | Nets ✅ | 66% | +61 pts | P. Siakam 24.0p / 6.6r / 3.8a A. Nembhard 16.9p / 2.8r / 7.7a I. Zubac 14.1p / 10.6r / 2.2a |
M. Porter Jr. 24.2p / 7.1r / 3.0a N. Clowney 12.3p / 4.1r / 1.6a N. Claxton 11.7p / 6.9r / 3.7a |
| Boston Celtics @ New York Knicks | Knicks | 53% | +-51 pts | J. Brown 28.8p / 7.0r / 5.2a J. Tatum 21.6p / 9.8r / 5.1a P. Pritchard 16.9p / 4.0r / 5.1a |
J. Brunson 26.0p / 3.4r / 6.8a K. Towns 20.1p / 11.9r / 3.0a O. Anunoby 17.0p / 5.3r / 2.2a |
| Philadelphia 76ers @ Houston Rockets | Rockets ✅ | 66% | +86 pts | T. Maxey 28.4p / 4.1r / 6.7a J. Embiid 26.9p / 7.7r / 3.9a P. George 17.7p / 5.4r / 3.8a |
K. Durant 25.8p / 5.4r / 4.7a A. Sengun 20.5p / 8.9r / 6.2a A. Thompson 18.0p / 7.8r / 5.3a |
| Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors | Lakers | 56% | 139 pts | L. Dončić 33.5p / 7.7r / 8.3a A. Reaves 23.3p / 4.7r / 5.5a L. James 20.8p / 6.1r / 7.1a |
S. Curry 27.0p / 3.5r / 4.8a J. Butler III 20.0p / 5.6r / 4.9a K. Porziņģis 17.0p / 5.1r / 2.6a |
🔥 = 70%+ confidence | ✅ = 60-69% | Stats: season averages (PPG / RPG / APG)
For entertainment & analysis purposes only. Not financial advice.