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Elo model predictions  |  K=4.5  |  Home Adv=20.0 | Platt-calibrated  |  April 08, 2026

Matchup Winner Win% Elo Edge Top Away Players Top Home Players
Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Cavaliers 55% +52 pts
J. Johnson  22.7p / 10.3r / 8.0a
N. Alexander-Walker  20.8p / 3.5r / 3.7a
C. McCollum  18.7p / 3.3r / 3.9a
D. Mitchell  27.8p / 4.5r / 5.7a
J. Harden  23.7p / 4.9r / 8.1a
E. Mobley  18.2p / 8.9r / 3.7a
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Orlando Magic Timberwolves 56% 53 pts
A. Edwards  28.9p / 5.0r / 3.7a
J. Randle  21.1p / 6.7r / 5.0a
A. Dosunmu  14.8p / 3.5r / 3.6a
P. Banchero  22.3p / 8.4r / 5.1a
D. Bane  20.5p / 4.2r / 4.1a
F. Wagner  20.5p / 5.5r / 3.4a
Milwaukee Bucks @ Detroit Pistons Pistons 🔥 85% +345 pts
G. Antetokounmpo  27.6p / 9.8r / 5.4a
K. Porter Jr.  17.4p / 5.2r / 7.4a
R. Rollins  17.2p / 4.6r / 5.6a
C. Cunningham  24.5p / 5.6r / 9.9a
J. Duren  19.5p / 10.6r / 1.9a
T. Harris  13.2p / 5.1r / 2.6a
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Spurs 🔥 84% +296 pts
D. Avdija  24.0p / 7.0r / 6.7a
S. Sharpe  21.4p / 4.4r / 2.6a
J. Grant  18.6p / 3.5r / 2.1a
V. Wembanyama  24.8p / 11.5r / 3.1a
D. Fox  18.4p / 3.7r / 6.1a
S. Castle  16.8p / 5.2r / 7.4a
Memphis Grizzlies @ Denver Nuggets Nuggets 🔥 91% +325 pts
T. Jerome  19.7p / 2.8r / 5.7a
J. Morant  19.5p / 3.3r / 8.1a
D. Whitehead  14.7p / 3.3r / 1.7a
N. Jokić  28.0p / 12.9r / 10.9a
J. Murray  25.4p / 4.4r / 7.2a
A. Gordon  16.5p / 5.9r / 2.6a
Oklahoma City Thunder @ LA Clippers Thunder 🔥 73% 262 pts
S. Gilgeous-Alexander  31.3p / 4.3r / 6.5a
J. Williams  17.0p / 4.6r / 5.5a
C. Holmgren  16.9p / 8.8r / 1.6a
K. Leonard  28.1p / 6.3r / 3.6a
D. Garland  18.9p / 2.3r / 6.7a
B. Mathurin  18.0p / 5.5r / 2.3a
Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Suns 🔥 84% +233 pts
C. Flagg  21.2p / 6.6r / 4.5a
N. Marshall  15.2p / 4.7r / 3.3a
P. Washington  14.2p / 7.0r / 1.8a
D. Booker  25.9p / 3.9r / 6.0a
D. Brooks  20.2p / 3.6r / 1.8a
J. Green  18.3p / 3.7r / 2.9a

🔥 = 70%+ confidence  |  ✅ = 60-69%  |  Stats: season averages (PPG / RPG / APG)
For entertainment & analysis purposes only. Not financial advice.

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