Elo model predictions | K=4.5 | Home Adv=20.0 | Platt-calibrated | April 12, 2026
| Matchup | Winner | Win% | Elo Edge | Top Away Players | Top Home Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics | Celtics ✅ | 69% | +158 pts | P. Banchero 22.2p / 8.4r / 5.1a F. Wagner 20.6p / 5.2r / 3.4a D. Bane 20.2p / 4.1r / 4.2a |
J. Brown 28.7p / 6.9r / 5.1a J. Tatum 21.8p / 10.0r / 5.3a P. Pritchard 17.0p / 3.9r / 5.2a |
| Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers | Cavaliers 🔥 | 87% | +433 pts | A. Davis 20.4p / 11.1r / 2.8a T. Young 17.9p / 2.0r / 8.0a A. Sarr 16.3p / 7.4r / 2.7a |
D. Mitchell 27.9p / 4.5r / 5.7a J. Harden 23.6p / 4.8r / 8.0a E. Mobley 18.2p / 9.0r / 3.6a |
| Detroit Pistons @ Indiana Pacers | Pistons 🔥 | 91% | 501 pts | C. Cunningham 24.2p / 5.5r / 9.8a J. Duren 19.5p / 10.5r / 2.0a T. Harris 13.1p / 5.1r / 2.5a |
P. Siakam 24.0p / 6.6r / 3.8a A. Nembhard 16.9p / 2.8r / 7.7a I. Zubac 14.1p / 10.6r / 2.2a |
| Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat | Heat | 53% | +-69 pts | J. Johnson 22.5p / 10.3r / 7.9a N. Alexander-Walker 20.8p / 3.4r / 3.7a C. McCollum 18.7p / 3.3r / 3.9a |
N. Powell 21.7p / 3.5r / 2.5a T. Herro 21.0p / 4.6r / 4.0a B. Adebayo 20.0p / 10.0r / 3.2a |
| Charlotte Hornets @ New York Knicks | Hornets | 52% | -38 pts | B. Miller 20.2p / 4.9r / 3.4a L. Ball 20.1p / 4.8r / 7.2a K. Knueppel 18.6p / 5.3r / 3.4a |
J. Brunson 26.0p / 3.3r / 6.8a K. Towns 20.1p / 11.9r / 3.0a O. Anunoby 16.7p / 5.2r / 2.2a |
| Milwaukee Bucks @ Philadelphia 76ers | 76ers 🔥 | 77% | +158 pts | G. Antetokounmpo 27.6p / 9.8r / 5.4a K. Porter Jr. 17.4p / 5.2r / 7.4a R. Rollins 17.3p / 4.6r / 5.6a |
T. Maxey 28.4p / 4.2r / 6.7a J. Embiid 26.9p / 7.7r / 3.9a P. George 17.5p / 5.3r / 3.6a |
| Brooklyn Nets @ Toronto Raptors | Raptors 🔥 | 87% | +286 pts | M. Porter Jr. 24.2p / 7.1r / 3.0a N. Clowney 12.3p / 4.1r / 1.6a N. Claxton 11.7p / 6.9r / 3.7a |
B. Ingram 21.4p / 5.5r / 3.7a R. Barrett 19.1p / 5.3r / 3.3a S. Barnes 18.1p / 7.4r / 5.8a |
| Chicago Bulls @ Dallas Mavericks | Mavericks | 52% | +-43 pts | J. Giddey 17.0p / 8.3r / 9.1a M. Buzelis 16.3p / 5.8r / 2.1a C. Sexton 15.4p / 2.3r / 3.3a |
C. Flagg 21.2p / 6.7r / 4.6a N. Marshall 15.2p / 4.7r / 3.3a P. Washington 14.2p / 7.0r / 1.8a |
| Memphis Grizzlies @ Houston Rockets | Rockets 🔥 | 86% | +316 pts | T. Jerome 19.7p / 2.8r / 5.7a J. Morant 19.5p / 3.3r / 8.1a D. Whitehead 14.4p / 4.0r / 1.6a |
K. Durant 26.0p / 5.5r / 4.8a A. Sengun 20.4p / 8.9r / 6.2a A. Thompson 18.3p / 7.8r / 5.3a |
| New Orleans Pelicans @ Minnesota Timberwolves | Timberwolves 🔥 | 76% | +176 pts | T. Murphy III 21.5p / 5.7r / 3.8a Z. Williamson 21.0p / 5.7r / 3.2a S. Bey 17.7p / 5.6r / 2.5a |
A. Edwards 28.8p / 5.0r / 3.7a J. Randle 21.1p / 6.7r / 5.0a A. Dosunmu 14.8p / 3.4r / 3.6a |
| Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder | Thunder 🔥 | 77% | +253 pts | D. Booker 26.1p / 3.9r / 6.0a D. Brooks 20.2p / 3.6r / 1.8a J. Green 17.8p / 3.6r / 2.8a |
S. Gilgeous-Alexander 31.1p / 4.3r / 6.6a C. Holmgren 17.1p / 8.9r / 1.7a J. Williams 17.1p / 4.6r / 5.5a |
| Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs | Spurs 🔥 | 83% | +161 pts | N. Jokić 27.8p / 12.9r / 10.9a J. Murray 25.4p / 4.4r / 7.1a A. Gordon 16.2p / 5.8r / 2.7a |
V. Wembanyama 25.0p / 11.5r / 3.1a D. Fox 18.5p / 3.7r / 6.2a S. Castle 16.8p / 5.2r / 7.4a |
| Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Lakers | Lakers 🔥 | 91% | +349 pts | L. Markkanen 26.7p / 6.9r / 2.1a K. George 23.6p / 3.7r / 6.1a J. Jackson Jr. 19.4p / 5.7r / 2.0a |
L. Dončić 33.5p / 7.7r / 8.3a A. Reaves 23.3p / 4.7r / 5.5a L. James 21.0p / 6.1r / 7.2a |
| Golden State Warriors @ LA Clippers | Clippers ✅ | 67% | +77 pts | S. Curry 26.6p / 3.5r / 4.8a J. Butler III 20.0p / 5.6r / 4.9a K. Porziņģis 16.8p / 5.1r / 2.6a |
K. Leonard 27.9p / 6.4r / 3.6a D. Garland 18.9p / 2.4r / 6.7a B. Mathurin 17.5p / 5.4r / 2.3a |
| Sacramento Kings @ Portland Trail Blazers | Blazers 🔥 | 84% | +229 pts | Z. LaVine 19.2p / 2.8r / 2.3a D. DeRozan 18.4p / 2.9r / 4.1a D. Sabonis 15.8p / 11.4r / 4.1a |
D. Avdija 24.2p / 6.9r / 6.6a S. Sharpe 21.1p / 4.4r / 2.6a J. Grant 18.6p / 3.5r / 2.1a |
🔥 = 70%+ confidence | ✅ = 60-69% | Stats: season averages (PPG / RPG / APG)
For entertainment & analysis purposes only. Not financial advice.