Elo model predictions | K=4.5 | Home Adv=20.0 | Platt-calibrated | April 10, 2026
| Matchup | Winner | Win% | Elo Edge | Top Away Players | Top Home Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets | Pistons | 52% | 91 pts | C. Cunningham 24.4p / 5.6r / 9.9a J. Duren 19.5p / 10.6r / 1.9a T. Harris 13.2p / 5.1r / 2.6a |
B. Miller 20.2p / 5.0r / 3.4a L. Ball 20.0p / 4.8r / 7.1a K. Knueppel 18.7p / 5.3r / 3.4a |
| Miami Heat @ Washington Wizards | Heat 🔥 | 79% | 316 pts | N. Powell 21.9p / 3.6r / 2.5a T. Herro 21.2p / 4.6r / 4.0a B. Adebayo 20.0p / 10.0r / 3.0a |
A. Davis 20.4p / 11.1r / 2.8a T. Young 17.9p / 2.0r / 8.0a A. Sarr 16.3p / 7.4r / 2.7a |
| Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks | Hawks | 58% | +-59 pts | D. Mitchell 27.9p / 4.5r / 5.7a J. Harden 23.7p / 4.9r / 8.0a E. Mobley 18.3p / 9.1r / 3.6a |
J. Johnson 22.6p / 10.3r / 7.9a N. Alexander-Walker 20.9p / 3.5r / 3.7a C. McCollum 18.6p / 3.3r / 3.9a |
| New Orleans Pelicans @ Boston Celtics | Celtics 🔥 | 87% | +294 pts | T. Murphy III 21.5p / 5.7r / 3.8a Z. Williamson 21.0p / 5.7r / 3.2a S. Bey 17.7p / 5.6r / 2.5a |
J. Brown 28.8p / 7.0r / 5.2a J. Tatum 21.6p / 9.8r / 5.1a P. Pritchard 16.9p / 4.0r / 5.1a |
| Philadelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers | 76ers 🔥 | 78% | 320 pts | T. Maxey 28.4p / 4.1r / 6.7a J. Embiid 26.9p / 7.7r / 3.9a P. George 17.7p / 5.4r / 3.8a |
P. Siakam 24.0p / 6.6r / 3.8a A. Nembhard 16.9p / 2.8r / 7.7a I. Zubac 14.1p / 10.6r / 2.2a |
| Toronto Raptors @ New York Knicks | Knicks ✅ | 68% | +103 pts | B. Ingram 21.3p / 5.5r / 3.6a R. Barrett 19.1p / 5.3r / 3.3a S. Barnes 18.2p / 7.5r / 5.9a |
J. Brunson 26.0p / 3.4r / 6.8a K. Towns 20.1p / 11.9r / 3.0a O. Anunoby 17.0p / 5.3r / 2.2a |
| Orlando Magic @ Chicago Bulls | Magic ✅ | 69% | 167 pts | P. Banchero 22.3p / 8.4r / 5.1a D. Bane 20.5p / 4.2r / 4.2a F. Wagner 20.4p / 5.3r / 3.4a |
J. Giddey 17.0p / 8.3r / 9.1a M. Buzelis 16.3p / 5.8r / 2.0a C. Sexton 15.3p / 2.3r / 3.3a |
| Minnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets | Rockets ✅ | 61% | +43 pts | A. Edwards 28.9p / 5.0r / 3.7a J. Randle 21.1p / 6.7r / 5.0a A. Dosunmu 14.8p / 3.5r / 3.6a |
K. Durant 25.8p / 5.4r / 4.7a A. Sengun 20.5p / 8.9r / 6.2a A. Thompson 18.0p / 7.8r / 5.3a |
| Brooklyn Nets @ Milwaukee Bucks | Bucks ✅ | 66% | +94 pts | M. Porter Jr. 24.2p / 7.1r / 3.0a N. Clowney 12.3p / 4.1r / 1.6a N. Claxton 11.7p / 6.9r / 3.7a |
G. Antetokounmpo 27.6p / 9.8r / 5.4a K. Porter Jr. 17.4p / 5.2r / 7.4a R. Rollins 17.3p / 4.6r / 5.6a |
| Dallas Mavericks @ San Antonio Spurs | Spurs 🔥 | 94% | +487 pts | C. Flagg 21.0p / 6.7r / 4.6a N. Marshall 15.2p / 4.7r / 3.3a P. Washington 14.2p / 7.0r / 1.8a |
V. Wembanyama 24.8p / 11.5r / 3.1a D. Fox 18.5p / 3.8r / 6.1a S. Castle 16.8p / 5.2r / 7.4a |
| Memphis Grizzlies @ Utah Jazz | Grizzlies | 55% | 44 pts | T. Jerome 19.7p / 2.8r / 5.7a J. Morant 19.5p / 3.3r / 8.1a S. Aldama 14.0p / 6.7r / 2.9a |
L. Markkanen 26.7p / 6.9r / 2.1a K. George 23.6p / 3.7r / 6.1a J. Jackson Jr. 19.4p / 5.7r / 2.0a |
| Oklahoma City Thunder @ Denver Nuggets | Nuggets | 54% | +-176 pts | S. Gilgeous-Alexander 31.1p / 4.3r / 6.6a C. Holmgren 17.1p / 8.9r / 1.7a J. Williams 17.1p / 4.6r / 5.5a |
N. Jokić 27.8p / 12.9r / 10.9a J. Murray 25.4p / 4.4r / 7.1a A. Gordon 16.2p / 5.8r / 2.7a |
| LA Clippers @ Portland Trail Blazers | Clippers | 54% | 37 pts | K. Leonard 28.0p / 6.3r / 3.6a D. Garland 18.9p / 2.3r / 6.7a B. Mathurin 17.9p / 5.5r / 2.3a |
D. Avdija 24.0p / 6.9r / 6.7a S. Sharpe 21.4p / 4.4r / 2.6a J. Grant 18.6p / 3.5r / 2.1a |
| Golden State Warriors @ Sacramento Kings | Warriors ✅ | 65% | 192 pts | S. Curry 27.0p / 3.5r / 4.8a J. Butler III 20.0p / 5.6r / 4.9a K. Porziņģis 17.0p / 5.1r / 2.6a |
Z. LaVine 19.2p / 2.8r / 2.3a D. DeRozan 18.4p / 2.9r / 4.1a D. Sabonis 15.8p / 11.4r / 4.1a |
| Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Lakers | Lakers ✅ | 60% | +55 pts | D. Booker 26.1p / 3.9r / 6.0a D. Brooks 20.3p / 3.7r / 1.8a J. Green 17.8p / 3.6r / 2.8a |
L. Dončić 33.5p / 7.7r / 8.3a A. Reaves 23.3p / 4.7r / 5.5a L. James 20.8p / 6.1r / 7.1a |
🔥 = 70%+ confidence | ✅ = 60-69% | Stats: season averages (PPG / RPG / APG)
For entertainment & analysis purposes only. Not financial advice.